Your Official UFC 211 Bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Apr 19, 2017.

  1. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    #1
  2. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    0.5u andrade +150
    1.4u andrade-JJ O3.5 -140

    1.2u maia -120

    1u alvarez +100
    0.34u alvarez DEC +294

    1.9u cejudo-pettis O2.5 -190
     
    #2
  3. Monster Meat Green Belt

    Monster Meat
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    love this card

    $20/$176
    cavs game 2 ml win
    spurs game 2 ml win
    cejudo by decision -117
    edgar/yair over 2.5 -220
    Joanna by decision +153

    $35/$102
    Mighty mouse -5.5 -375 win
    cejudo/pettis over 2.5 -260
    edgar/yair over 2.5 -220
    Joanna/Andrade over 3.5 -185

    $14.52/$56
    sterling/mendes over 2.5 win
    Elliot/smolka over 2.5 win
    green/magomedov over 2.5 win
    cavs -1.5 series games won
    spurs -1.5 series games won

    $43/$101
    Demetrious -1050 win
    edgar/yair over 2.5 -210
    cejudo by decision -117
    no triple crown winner -850
     
    #3
  4. Clit Yeastwood White Belt

    Clit Yeastwood
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    1u JDS +170
    3u Maia +110 (wanted to play mas at bigger dog odds but I won't complain getting Maia with a + in front of him)
     
    #4
    Last edited: May 12, 2017
  5. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    1.15u miocic -115

    0.5u more andrade +155

    0.725u edgar -145

    0.55u more maia -110
     
    #5
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  6. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

    Shoulder
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    Miocic KO 1.5U@2.00
    Maia 3U@1.80

    Edgar - Rod O2.5 + Lil Pettis - Cejudo O2.5 1.5U@2.05

    Edit:
    Andrade 1U@2.50, 0.5U@2.62 SUB 0.1U@7.50
    Mas R3 0.2U@15.00, draw 0.1U@67.00
    Yair 1U@2.30
    Poirer ITD 0.5U@3.20
    Reyes 1U@4.25
    Cherman Dec 0.1U@10.00
    Benitez dec 0.2U@2.87
     
    #6
    Last edited: May 13, 2017
  7. Sadistics Blue Belt

    Sadistics
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    Love this card as a fan, not sure how I feel about it yet as a bettor. That always changes after tape watch though.

    JDS +175 1u

    Andrade +175 2u
    Andrade NSC -135 4u

    Poirier +100 2u
    Poirier NSC -130 3u


    Swanson -3.5 -350 (won) + Andrade NSC -135 2u for 2.5u
     
    #7
    Last edited: Apr 25, 2017
  8. Yotsuya Orange Belt

    Yotsuya
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    Miocic 1 u 1.86
    Andrande 0.6 u 2.5
    Maia 1.2 u 1.85
    Rodriquez 0.9 u 2.5
    Poirier 3.8 u 2.05

    (I raised my unit size 50% after UFN108 and these are mostly old bets, so lots of decimals here.)
     
    #8
  9. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    ok yea, not to keep spamming, just consolidating:

    1.15u stipe -115

    1.5u andrade +150
    1.4u andrade-jj O3.5 -140

    1.4u edgar -140

    3u maia +100

    1u alvarez +100
    0.34u alvarez DEC +294

    1.9u cejudo-pettis O2.5 -190

    this card is incredible. wonder which fights will get canceled in the next couple weeks.
     
    #9
  10. Agent Mulder Brown Belt

    Agent Mulder
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    4u Maia -120
    3u Andrade +175 (likely to end up with 2u after line movement)
    2u Stipe -115

    0.33u Stipe r1 +400
     
    #10
  11. Stunna77 Green Belt

    Stunna77
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    Haven't been posting bets in here since I was keeping my spreadsheet in my sig, however since Edole owns my sig for a month I will try to post here :)

    So far:

    5u Andrade +150
    2u Andrade NSC -135
    2u Maia +100
    0.25u Mas Rd 3 +1325
    1u Yair +155
    1u Stipe -115
    0.5u Pettis Dec +525
    0.5u Poirier KO +405

    Added: 4u Vick + Benitez +106
     
    #11
    Last edited: May 4, 2017
  12. Kaffe Brown Belt

    Kaffe
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    $20 on Maia to win $23.

    Maia at +odds? Yes please. Good luck to all.
     
    #12
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  13. Monster Meat Green Belt

    Monster Meat
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    added:
    $5/$225
    Alvarez by decision +310
    cejudo/pettis over 2.5 -290
    edgar/yair goes to decision -190
    miocic wins in round 1 +395

    $30/$63.51
    Rockets +11.5 win
    Saul Alvarez -650 win
    edgar/yair over 2.5 -230
    cejudo/pettis over 2.5 -290
     
    #13
    Last edited: May 8, 2017
  14. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    1u casey +100

    1.5u skelly +100

    0.5u barzola +155
    0.99u barzola-benitez O2.5 -180

    2.95u branch-jotko O2.5 -197

    i'm like 18-19 units deep on this card already, hoo boy, this card is likely gonna end up being my biggest stake of 2017
     
    #14
  15. iGnP Red Belt

    iGnP
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    Other than a Stipe/JDS bet that I have yet to make, I think these are the only bets that I'm going to have. I might add more to current bets or add some props

    Andrade (+145) risk: 2u

    Poirier (+100) risk: 2u

    Rodriguez (+115) risk: 3u
    Rodriguez by DEC (+275) risk: 0.5u

    Maia/Masvidal Draw (+5500) risk: 0.1u

    Cejudo -3.5 (+110) risk: 1u
     
    #15
  16. jrleclerc88 Blue Belt

    jrleclerc88
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    Alvarez + jj. 85 for 171.. Saul + Pettis 10 for 35.. Saul+alvarez+jj+stipe 25 for 116
     
    #16
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  17. Thunderflash500 Double Yellow Card

    Thunderflash500
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    100 on Maia. Too win something like 105. Can't remember exactly
     
    #17
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  18. Antagonist88 Green Belt

    Antagonist88
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    Think I'm finally set for now unless lines shift or I add more of the later props. Definitely think this will be the card that finally forces me to sit down at look at my betting structures, since the way I bet JJ and Maia is just downright stupid for this card. Gonna put some of the blame on boredom/degen instincts and putting down a stupid 2u RR weeks ago during the withdrawal period of no cards, but I definitely cost myself money with poor betting structure. Regardless, here are my plays.

    3.1u Maia +110
    0.66u Maia SUB/ITD +380 (So much line movement)
    2u Edgar -130
    2u JJ -155
    1u Poirier EVs
    0.33u Poirier ITD +240
    1.33u Stipe -120
    1u Christensen +240
    1.8u Christensen ITD +542 (movement)
    2u Jotko -145
    0.6u Jotko DEC +165
    1.33u Knight +110
    0.4u Knight DEC +265
    1u Sherman ITD +143
    0.33u Pettis DEC +580
    0.66u Polo Reyes +xxx (Think the line is still moving up so haven't booked yet)
    1.25u Sherman/Coulter u1.5 -125
    0.07u Maia/Masvidal DRAW
    0.33u Benitez ML + Jotko/Branch o2.5 + Sherman/Coulter u1.5 + Knight ml +600 (Another boredom play I actually don't remember making)

    And now the stupid RR and subsequent stupid hedges that I made because of it. Just outright bad.

    RR'd in 2-4 legs: Maia SUB + JJ DEC + Edgar DEC + Cejudo/Pettis GTD. Total risk 2.2u to win ~17.5u. 11u.

    Dumb Hedges
    1u Maia DEC +354 (More line movement)
    1u Yair DEC +271
    1.25u Andrade NSC -125
    0.33u Andrade TKO/KO +515
    0.33u Andrade DEC +380
    0.33u JJ ITD +349
    0.66u Christensen DEC +650 (Kind of forced this on myself with the movement, should just be ML, I'm dumb)

    Aaaand a lotto RR in 2-5 team parlays. Christensen TKO/KO + Stipe DEC + Pettis DEC + Polo KO/TKO + Maia ITD. Total risk: 1u to win 867.8u 253u. Planned on it being Christensen DEC but the TKO line was just way too good, so that could be tilting.

    TLDR: Total risk is about 30 Units. Way too many. I'm also effectively 7u deep on Maia without a hedge, so will likely look to change that. 2nd biggest play is Joachim Christensen. Oh boy.

    Gonna be a wild one

    EDIT: Damn Cejudo's hand. Lot of weird plays now.

    Added a second lotto out of tilt from the cancellation; makes no sense.

    RR in 3s and 5: Christensen TKO/KO + Stipe DEC + Polo KO/TKO + Maia ITD + Knight R3. Risk: 0.33u to win around 833u
     
    #18
    Last edited: May 13, 2017
  19. Xenophon Hendrix White Belt

    Xenophon Hendrix
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    2 units Junior dos Santos +110
    3.1 units Joanna Jedrzejczyk -155
    2 units Demian Maia +110
    .6 units Sergio Pettis +340
    2.6 units Cortney Casey -130
    1.5 units Enrique Barzola +160
    .65 units Joachim Christensen +325
     
    #19
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  20. northsofia Yellow Belt

    northsofia
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    1u Alvarez @2.10
    1.5u Stipe/JDS o1,5 @1.58

    1u Maia @2.00
     
    #20
    Last edited: May 11, 2017
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