UFN 108 - Swanson vs Lobov - Nashville | Page 58

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Apr 1, 2017.

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  1. PuertoRican Silver Belt

    PuertoRican
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    You're doing a 1 month sig bet with @Stunna77.

    You and I have a bet as well: I change my sig for 1 month if Schnell loses, but you have to rejoin our Sherdog DraftKings events for 4 events in a row if Schnell wins (1 month's worth of events).
     
    #1141
  2. wack3d Silver Belt

    wack3d
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    lol wtf :eek: take my money
     
    #1142
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  3. MMA Goodfella Jury-Jiu-Jitsu Purple Belt in capping

    MMA Goodfella
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    "Kenny Rice is my mentor" -Todd Grisham

    Yeah, I understand the concerns, but Ryan Benoit is not anywhere close to as good a fighter as Dustin Ortiz is. What's more, Ryan doesn't possess an nth of the wrestling ability of Ortiz. When have you ever known Dustin to engage in a boxing match. He is consistently in his opponents face grinding the shit out of them against the cage or else putting them on their back and working them over. We're talking about a guy who was able to beat top-notch grapple/wrestlers and high level fighters like Makovsky, Borg, Scoggins while hanging tough with A level guys incidentally Benavidez, Jussier and Reis.

    Moreneo is a MASSIVE step down in comp.
     
    #1143
  4. edole Brown Belt

    edole
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    sounds good.
     
    #1144
  5. cagebrain MMA Expert Bettor

    cagebrain
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    At -155, yeah I actually like OSP as a small play. Nothing huge because he can't be trusted. I parlayed him with Cub -3.5

    My main play on the fight is the under. Got it was the absolute LOL price of -125 (thanks @EzFlyer !!). Now it's -265. #valuecity #peaklines #timing
     
    #1145
  6. MMA Gambling Expert #1

    MMA Gambling Expert
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    Yeah Ryan Benoit is one of the worst flyweights in the UFC but Moreno out matched him everywhere, can't believe that was a split. Can't believe Ortiz vs Mach was a split either, thats Canada though.

    My biggest fear for Ortiz is him not being able to get the TD's or hold Moreno down, because if he can't he's going to be lost on the feet, the range will be very troubling for him.

    Just a really hard fight for me to cap because of the unknowns of Moreno, but from what I've seen he looks very good.
     
    #1146
  7. MMA Gambling Expert #1

    MMA Gambling Expert
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    Damn, that Moreno money coming in, tempting me on Ortiz.

    More Ellenberger money coming in too.
     
    #1147
  8. cagebrain MMA Expert Bettor

    cagebrain
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    hit Ortiz. I am with @MMA Goodfella on this one, i think he should be -200. Moreno's tdd and grappling will be exposed in this fight. He is too green.

    Also, just take Moreno NSC its +175. (i got +210) theres almost no chance Ortiz finishes him, this line should be flipped #LOL #valuetown

    I hit Moreno ITD it was +1180 but now its back to +600 range.

    #dattimingdoe
     
    #1148
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  9. MMA Gambling Expert #1

    MMA Gambling Expert
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    Yeah at -120 Ortiz would be tempting and it may get there but Moreno impresses me, it's hard to bet against him. Might be another split, Ortiz is constantly in close fights.
     
    #1149
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  10. mkess101 Gimme dat neck Khabib

    mkess101
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    Yep I hit those Moreno props but now Ortiz dec is +140 and I think it's by far the most likely outcome. Hitting that too.
     
    #1150
  11. NinjaCat456 Blue Belt

    NinjaCat456
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    Agreed, no way can you trust OSP as a -150-odd favourite. The way he quit against Manuwa. The way he just drifts to the scorecards seemingly unconcerned about the outcome of the fight. You can see his heart's just not in it.
     
    #1151
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  12. Roads55 Brown Belt

    Roads55
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    his brain and chin may not be in it after the manuwa near decapitation, and his war against oezdamir. red flags for me
     
    #1152
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  13. Sham5916910 Red Belt

    Sham5916910
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    Exactly this. Morenos tdd and scrambling ability is unknown therefore i cannot be confident in ortiz i dont bet blind. Yes i think ortiz wins but no way i bet against someone who has unknowns especially when thats ortiz's only way to win.
     
    #1153
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  14. Antagonist88 Yellow Belt

    Antagonist88
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    Tempted to play Holtzman DEC now at +odds
     
    #1154
  15. edole Brown Belt

    edole
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    big or small cage tonight??????
     
    #1155
  16. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

    Shoulder
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    I totally agree, I still feel good about my De Lima at 2.50 action.
     
    #1156
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  17. Sham5916910 Red Belt

    Sham5916910
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    When did we last have small cage? Think its pretty much redundant now?
     
    #1157
  18. piglord Brown Belt

    piglord
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    i'm only seeing +800 in europe, did you find better?
     
    #1158
  19. Roads55 Brown Belt

    Roads55
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    not noticed tbh, small cage tonight?

    don't blame you, think I'll skip this one though. might go small on some unders or itd bets just before it starts, and try and LB it. if osp grapples then it could be a good LB oppurtunity
     
    #1159
  20. edole Brown Belt

    edole
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    [​IMG]
     
    #1160
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