Can't not have a play on Munhoz's leg kicks against glass legged O'Malley.
Also playing Robbie. I think he's too technical for Barberena and won't be bothered by pressure.
Look at all of the pure strikers O'Malley has faced in the UFC:
http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/b50a426a33da0012
Munhoz isn't known for his take downs, but I think he can get O'Malley down. Munhoz also has the ability to spam a lot of low kicks and punches, has the submission threat, and can close the distance to make it ugly.
Without a lot of distance, O'Malley can't do anything in this fight. He either catches Munhoz early, or this will look like a spot where you wish you would've bet the +220 underdog who is more skilled in MMA, has more striking output, has the BJJ advantage, has the leg kick advantage, has fought the best guys, and is actually taking a step down in competition against a guy who is still unproven against guys who won't strike with him for the entire fight.
I assume Munhoz will do whatever it takes to win this fight, and ATT will create a good game plan against a guy who has weak legs and can't do anything when his back is on the mat.
At the very least, I'd recommend a small bet on Munhoz +220 pre-fight, and then live bet Munhoz if O'Malley can't clearly dominate/finish him in Round 1.
As for Robbie Lawler, I think he's going to wrestle in this fight. He hasn't used it in awhile, but he can clinch and wrestle just fine against Barberena, especially since it's Barb's weakness. Lawler trains with Sanford and will probably have a good game plan versus a sloppy striker with a glaring weakness on the ground, and his problem of eating too many punches and having weak cardio. I'm thinking Lawler by decision.