General MMA Discussion & Future Lines - May, 2017

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by mkess101, Apr 30, 2017.

  1. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    37,938
    Likes Received:
    17,103
    Location:
    philly
    I favor holobaugh at this stage , cardio edge should be a factor in rd 4/5

    But not sure if I'll lay the juice

    Edit: I said the above when he was -195. I'm not touching -265.
     
    Last edited: May 18, 2017
  2. BatBoyJG

    BatBoyJG Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Jan 27, 2010
    Messages:
    3,364
    Likes Received:
    1,090
    Location:
    NYC
    Likewise dude that's a crazy awesome line one of the best recently I think.

    Farkhad is a good fighter, but athletically he can not compete, he's been squeezing by his last few wins. I just can't see this not being a dominant win for Torres.

    I'm also taking Terry although I'd like better odds, it opened even & I thought he'd get bet down but it's gone to -110. I'll wait and see.
     
    Last edited: May 19, 2017
    EzFlyer likes this.
  3. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    37,938
    Likes Received:
    17,103
    Location:
    philly
    Yep. I cap Torres legit around -800

    Who's Terry? Not familiar with him
     
  4. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

    Joined:
    Mar 7, 2006
    Messages:
    38,708
    Likes Received:
    7,278
    Location:
    Merica
    Talk to me about this one. No idea on that fight.
     
  5. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 25, 2016
    Messages:
    2,503
    Likes Received:
    3,669
    5D:

    Valentina Shevchenko +120
    Amanda Nunes -150

    Hmm, was hoping for better on Shev. Holding off for now.
     
  6. Agent Mulder

    Agent Mulder Black Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2015
    Messages:
    5,090
    Likes Received:
    5,424
    Fuuuuk was hoping for Shev +150
     
    t6p likes this.
  7. BatBoyJG

    BatBoyJG Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Jan 27, 2010
    Messages:
    3,364
    Likes Received:
    1,090
    Location:
    NYC
    I'm almost a shade nervous as if they know something we don't. Like why would they open it at -185. Last fight vs a better opponent it opened in the same range & I think he ended up around -300 too. Really weird.

    Terry is a scrappy South American fighter (living in Miami) this is a bit of a fade on DeJesus. Dejesus kind of reminds me of Cedano very athletic, but no real process. I have read that he is a BJJ BB, but I don't really see evidence of that from his past fights.

    Terry has been training for a long time, had a competitive kick boxing match with SouthKath (or however you spell his name the dude that fought Alberto morales) and he trains at a legit gym in FFA. I think Terry out lasts DeJesus, and or takes him down and gets the sub. Also

    I'm not that confident in it, but I'm hoping to get +odds and then pulling the trigger.
     
    EzFlyer likes this.
  8. BatBoyJG

    BatBoyJG Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Jan 27, 2010
    Messages:
    3,364
    Likes Received:
    1,090
    Location:
    NYC
    DeJesus last fight is on YouTube. He did not look good at all on the ground (given the other guys BJJ was pretty good) and his striking was really wild and not accurate also no use of kicks really.
     
  9. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    37,938
    Likes Received:
    17,103
    Location:
    philly
    torres starting to get hammered.. -485 and climbing on bm...
     
  10. Jae Gibbz

    Jae Gibbz Black Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 16, 2009
    Messages:
    6,470
    Likes Received:
    2,864
    He's + odds now
     
  11. Joseph Budden

    Joseph Budden Banned Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2004
    Messages:
    22,473
    Likes Received:
    17,113
    Location:
    NJ
    I can't find Edir's last MMA fight but his stand up looks ok in that muay thai fight vs Soukmanthath. The Brazilian dude looks like garbage.
     
    BatBoyJG likes this.
  12. weedreference

    weedreference Green Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 17, 2010
    Messages:
    1,287
    Likes Received:
    719
    Damn Stevens -220... so tempting to fade. If only Turnquest was decent.
     
    Jae Gibbz and EzFlyer like this.
  13. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    37,938
    Likes Received:
    17,103
    Location:
    philly
    Titan 44 Risk: 605
    torres -270: 540 for 200
    jz +255: 40 for 102 / holobaugh
    turnquest +195: 25 for 48.75 / stevens
    ---
     
    Tebowned and Bless like this.
  14. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 25, 2016
    Messages:
    2,503
    Likes Received:
    3,669
    Lawler -150
    Cowboy +110
     
    EzFlyer likes this.
  15. pytycrys

    pytycrys Green Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 30, 2016
    Messages:
    1,390
    Likes Received:
    1,416
    Waiting for Lawler KO prop..
     
  16. Sadistics

    Sadistics Green Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 22, 2015
    Messages:
    1,226
    Likes Received:
    2,664
    Hmm, Lawler -106 at ohmbet, guess I gotta hit that
     
  17. BatBoyJG

    BatBoyJG Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Jan 27, 2010
    Messages:
    3,364
    Likes Received:
    1,090
    Location:
    NYC
    1 unit on Turnquest. I watched Stevens last fight & he imo lost it, & didn't look good. Turnquest is going to have a 8-9 inch reach advantage, has good cardio, and is at least even with Stevens on the feet. Fuck it bumping it up to a 1.75u play

    1.1u @ +195
    .65 @ +175
     
    EzFlyer, Sadistics and Tebowned like this.
  18. Joseph Budden

    Joseph Budden Banned Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2004
    Messages:
    22,473
    Likes Received:
    17,113
    Location:
    NJ
    Betting Balaev -130 in the ACB main event, 1.33u. Dude is rugged as fuck with an aggressive pressure wrestling style that he has now proven he can keep up for 25 mins. Bataev too low volume, too young, tdd kind of unproven but Donald Sanchez scores the sloppiest td of all time on him which leads me to believe a legit really good wrestler like Balaev is gonna have success, and honestly idk if his cardio is gonna hold up going against a guy whos gonna be in his face the entire twenty five mins

    EDIT lol looks like I moved him to -150. I cap him -180 so still not bad
     
  19. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2013
    Messages:
    10,828
    Likes Received:
    6,045
    Titan FC 44 Risk $177.50

    Jose Torres/Farkhad Sharipov does not start round 5 (-111) ~$97.50 for ~$87.84
    Gesias Cavalcante (+235) vs Kurt Holobaugh $50.00 for $117.50
    Robert Turnquest (+175) vs Marc Stevens $30.00 for $52.50
     
    Sadistics likes this.
  20. piglord

    piglord Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 5, 2014
    Messages:
    4,844
    Likes Received:
    4,868
    Location:
    Sewers
    shev + odds is good enough for me, think how terrible nunes will be in 3, 4 and 5.
     

Share This Page