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makes perfect sense. the fight starts standing, so toney has at least one shot to clip couture before he's taken down - that's a puncher's chance. coupled with the fact that couture was a slow moving fighter and he definitely could have caught him with something.That doesn't make sense at all. Conor has actually trained boxing since he was 12. When he was 16 he turned to MMA. Toney had probably never trained MMA or any other martial art except boxing in his life.
obviously conor has a theoretical 'puncher's chance' as well, but it's much smaller. his training partners (c-level boxers themselves) are toying with him, and you're talking about one of the top 5 greatest boxers ever he's facing. with bigger gloves. the 1% that's going around sounds about right to me.