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The War Room Bet Thread V6

Discussion in 'The War Room' started by Lead, Nov 7, 2020.

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Best bet(s) settled in the last bet thread (see closed bets section in post 3)

  1. Bet 55 Jack V Savage v. MMAisGod

    50.0%
  2. Bet 51 kpt018 v. HockeyBJJ

    75.0%
  3. Bet 26 HereticBD v. VivaRevolution

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  4. Bet 45 HockeyBJJ v. PolishHeadlock2

    50.0%
  5. Bet 52 Jack V Savage v. giusti825

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  6. Bet 41 Serenity Now v. Yorkist (ObamaPhoneLady)

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  7. Bet 34 VivaRevolution v. Rob Battisti

    25.0%
  8. Bet 49 Prokofievian v. Richie Madano

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  9. Bet 56 Jack V Savage v. Tropodan

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  10. Bet 47 sickc0d3r v. HereticBD

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  11. Bet 50 Jack V Savage v. HereticBD

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
Multiple votes are allowed.
  1. Lead /Led/ blanket Platinum Member

    Joined:
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    Location:
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    Disclaimer:
    -This thread is meant to serve as a public record of wagers between posters to be settled by an assigned arbitrator. A poster is only held to their honor of upholding their end of the bargain and could possibly not honor the bet punishment. The result of this will only come into play in the rankings system (explained below) and the public ridicule that may follow.

    The Rules:
    -Bet types are limited to name, avatar, and/or signature. Other proposals can be made but likely won't be considered in the ranking system. No account/e-suicide bets as silencing part of the community isn't very WR like. This is suppose to be something fun but not fatal for our regulars here. No cash bets as the site doesn't want to host that.


    How to Make and Finalize a Bet
    When coming in here, please propose your wager to the other poster involved and tag @Lead so the progress can be tracked. Bets cannot be finalized until they are formatted in this manner:
    1. The exact statement the bet is premised upon
    2. Stance each poster is taking in regards to the statement
    3. The date the bet will be decided (this can become tentative based of the officiators call)
    4. The reward/punishment for the winner/loser
    5. The duration of the reward/punishment
    6 (OPTIONAL) A situation which makes the bet void that isn't clear with the content in 1 & 2. This needs to be very clear if included.

    7 (OPTIONAL) The arbiter (see list below) the posters agree to call the bet. The default would be @Lead if no one else is selected
    I will get both posters to quote and agree to the formatted bet before making it official. At that point, the bet is live and cannot be undone unless both parties agree to drop it and let me know. I will make sure both parties are certain anytime something like that is done.
    At the time a bet is expected to be called, the posters involved are expected to sort it out first and see if they agree to who won/lost. If there is a disagreement to who won/lost the bet, the moderator(s) selected for the bet can make the call. If it's multiple moderators, majority decision decides the winner and likely will be discussed privately via PM.
    -Once the bet is decided, the bet will be closed and officially counted towards the public records/rankings

    This is is the list of WR moderator (if they accept upfront) in #7, they will judge the bet at hand in the event you don't want Lead as the judge:
    Madmick, Zankou, Ruprecht, panamaican, irish_thug, Khabib Khanate


    Requirements
    -Both posters involved in the bet must have either an account that's been around over 1 year or over 1000 posts. A poster previously registered in a WR Election can automatically qualify as well. Exceptions can be given but shouldn't be expected.
    -If at any time, a poster is overextended with open bets, future bets can be rejected until the result. Posters can ask me at any time whether this is the case to avoid finding out as they are trying to make a new bet.

    Rankings/Records
    -Records will be maintained as bets are called. Rankings will have the most accurate information but I will attempt to have information between threads about informal current records in between threads.
    -With every ten bets that are decided (not including null/draws), a new thread will be made with updated rankings.
    -The rankings will include a champion based on who has the highest score based on the bets previously officiated through this thread
    -The score applied to each poster will be based on ranking in opponent faced, duration of the reward/punishment of bets made, type of bet made (name, av, and/or, sig), and how new/old the resolved bet is. Due to limitations, the longest duration of a bet will be capped at 5 years.
    -The poster who is crowned the champ will be considered champ until the time new rankings dethrone them from the top spot. During the time of their reign, their record and score will be accounted for historical perspective and comparisons of each title reign. Please keep in mind that beating the current champ does not dethrone them necessarily or crown yourself as the champ.
    -Any accounts that are seen not serving out their name, avatar, and/or signature bet punishment will be assigned an asterisk to their name and removed from future rankings. The asterisk will be removed once the account serves the punishments they promised to honor in the thread but they will only be restored in the rankings once those prior obligated punishments are fulfilled completely. In other words, honor all your bets and you should be fine. Any complaints about another poster not honoring their bet needs to be submitted promptly in the thread for the asterisk against the poster to be considered or the dispute regarding the punishment resolved.


    Previous Threads

    The War Room Bet Thread
    The War Room Bet Thread v2 (10 bets)
    The War Room Bet Thread v3 (20 bets)
    The War Room Bet Thread v4 (30 bets)

    The War Room Bet Thread v5 (40 bets)
     
    Last edited: Jan 22, 2021
  2. Lead /Led/ blanket Platinum Member

    Joined:
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    42,594
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    Location:
    409
    Rankings (51 Bets)
    C- @Jack V Savage (11-0)
    #1- @waiguoren (8-3)
    #2- @oleDirtyBast4rd (1-0)
    #3- @PolarBearPaulVarelans (1-0)
    #4- @Prokofievian (1-0)
    #5- @HereticBD (3-2)
    #6- @Highmanproblems (1-0)

    #7- @HUNTERMANIA (1-0)
    #8- @Serenity Now (1-0)
    #9T- @IGIT (1-0)
    #9T- @kpt018 (1-0)
    #9T- @HockeyBjj (1-1)
    #12- @Amerikuracana (1-0)
    #13- @sickc0d3r (1-0)
    #14- @VivaRevolution (1-3)
    #15- @Space (1-0)
    #16T- @Rex Kwon Do (1-0)
    #16T- @Hans Gruber (2-0)
    #16T- @Quipling (1-1)
    #19- @Lead (3-3)
    #20- @ObamaPhoneLady (1-1)
    #21- @Tropodan (1-1)
    #22- @HomerThompson (2-4)

    (21 bettors are unlisted as they are without wins and 2 bettors are unlisted for not honoring the punishment of their prior bet)

    *Signifies current dispute about serving out a bet punishment. Results in drop from future ranking if not addressed beforehand

    WR Bet Champion Lineage (Record during reign)
    1st- @Amerikuracana (0-0)

    2nd- @Jack V Savage (2-0)
    3rd- @waiguoren (1-2)
    4th- @Jack V Savage (4-0)


     
    Last edited: Jan 22, 2021
    JDragon likes this.
  3. Lead /Led/ blanket Platinum Member

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2009
    Messages:
    42,594
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    Location:
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    Open Bets

    #37. @xcvbn vs. @Hunter Simpson v. @Quipling
    1. Company A in the (probably) sealed subpoena case that went to SCOTUS is owned by this country:
    2. @xcvbn - Israel @Hunter Simpson - Turkey @Quipling - Qatar
    4. Avatar
    5. 1 month
    6. If Company A is not owned by any of the named companies, the bet is null.
    7. Other parties may join the betting pool if they select an unnamed country and current participants approve.

    ---------------

    #43. @bobgeese v. @waiguoren
    1. Nikki Haley will be the 2024 Republican nominee for president.
    2. @waiguoren - against @bobgeese - for
    3. Official Announcement at the 2024 Republican National Convention (around July 2024)
    4. Signature bet
    5. 1 year

    #60. @Jack V Savage v. @The ScorpioN
    1. Joe Biden will last at least one year in office as President
    2. @Jack V Savage - for, @The ScorpioN - against
    3. 1/20/2022
    4. Signature Bet
    5. 3 months

    #61. @Jack V Savage v. @Diogenes of Sinope
    1. Joe Biden will last at least two years in office as President
    2. @Jack V Savage - for, @Diogenes of Sinope - against
    3. 1/20/2023
    4. Signature Bet
    5. 6 months

    #62. @Jack V Savage v. @Rob Battisti
    1. CPI will under 5% from May 2021 - May 2022
    2. @Jack V Savage - For, @Rob Battisti - Against
    3. Tentatively 6/1/2022 or when BLS releases the final month of May 2022
    4. Signature Bet
    5. 6 months
    6. For clarity in determining the answer, I will grab the value from first column in the table on this page labeled "All items". For reference, we already know that May 2021 is at 5.0%. Those 13 numbers from May 2021 to May 2022 will be added together and then divided by 13 to get our answer. If it is below 5%, Jack would win. If it is 5% over higher, Rob would win. I will not round the calculation so if it's 4.5% or 4.95% for example, Jack would win.
    Site being referenced: https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm
     
    Last edited: Jun 12, 2021
  4. Lead /Led/ blanket Platinum Member

    Joined:
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    Location:
    409
    Closed Bets
    #10 @VivaRevolution v. @Jack V Savage
    1. Trump will be at 33% or more with Bovada's betting odds
    2. VivaRevolution- For, Jack V Savage- Against
    3. 11/07/16 8:00PM ESt
    4. Signature bet
    5. 11/08/16-12/07/16
    *I will use this site to convert the betting odds to percentages http://sportsbettingsites.org/betting-tools/no-vig-calculator/'
    Winner: Jack V Savage

    #1 @Fawlty v. @Tropodan (Onesided)
    1. Donald Trump wins general election
    2. Tropodan, for. Fawlty, against.
    3. 11/08/2016
    4. If Trump wins the general election, Fawlty wears av of Tropodan's choosing. Freeroll (no punishment if Tropodan loses).
    5. 11/08/2016-01/20/2017
    Winner: Tropodan

    #4 @Space v. @Lead
    1. Donald Trump wins the general election
    2. Space- for, Lead- against
    3. 11/08/2016
    4. Signature bet- winner picks losers signature
    5. 11/08/2016-01/20/2017 (Election day to Inauguration day)
    Winner: Space

    #7 @Quipling v. @Rex Kwon Do
    1. Winner of the U.S. Presidential Election
    2. Quipling : Hillary - Rex :Trump
    3. 11/08/16
    4. Av Bet- Loser of the bet changes his av to a suitably presidential picture of the winning candidate
    5.11/09/16- 12/09/16
    Winner: Rex Kwon Do

    #9 @m52nickerson v @Hans Gruber
    1. The winner of Florida's 29 electoral votes.
    2. @m52nickerson - Clinton will win, @Hans Gruber - Trump will win.
    3. 11/08/16 (tentatively)
    Winner: Hans Gruber

    #12 @Limbo Pete v. @Lead
    1. Who wins Nevada and Colorado in the 2016 Presidential Election
    2. Limbo Pete- Nevada Trump/ Colorado Clinton, Lead- Colorado Trump / Nevada Clinton
    3. 11/09/2016
    4. Signature bet
    5. 01/21/2017-02/21/2017
    6. Obviously if both states go Clinton or Trump, the bet is null
    Null

    #13 @Hans Gruber v. @Lead
    1. Trump will win Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania in the 2016 Presidential election
    2. Hans - For, Lead- Against
    3. 11/09/2016
    4. Avatar bet
    5. 11/9/2016-12/9/2016
    Winner: Hans Gruber

    #14 @BKMMAFAN v. @Amerikuracana
    1. Who wins Michigan in the 2016 Presidential Election?
    2. BKMMAFAN- Clinton, Amerikuracana- Trump
    3. 11/8/16 (tentatively)
    4. Signature and Avatar Bet
    5. 3 months, likely 11/09/16-2/09/16
    Winner: Amerikuracana

    #2 @waiguoren v. @m52nickerson
    1. Compare total discrepancies over four swing states (Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina)
    [​IMG]
    where each i indexes one of the states, the p's are the predicted Clinton lead in each state and the a's are the actual Clinton lead in each state.
    2. Whoever (Waiguoren using his prediction posted before noon on election day or m52nickeson with fivethirtyeight projected vote share polls plus for his prediction election day) has the smaller sum (using the equation above) wins.
    3. 11/08/2016 (Election day) or slightly after depending on results coming in
    4. Signature bet- winner picks losers signature
    5. 11/08/2016 (expected based on #3) to 01/20/2016
    Winner: waiguoren

    #5 @Concurrent GOAT v. @Rex Kwon Do
    1. Percent Margin Donald Trump beats Clinton by in US Pres. election popular vote
    2. Concurrent GOAT 0.1% to 2.0% Rex Kwon Doh 2.0%+
    3. 11/08/16
    4. Avatar bet- Winner picks the losers av
    5. 11/09/16-12/08/16 (Depends when the results are completely in)
    Null

    __________________________________________________________________
    #6 @KnightTemplar v. @Rex Kwon Do
    1. Percent Margin Donald Trump beats Clinton by in the US Pres. election popular vote
    2. @KnightTemplar 0.1% to 2.0% @Rex Kwon Do 2.0%+
    3. 11/08/16
    4. Signature bet- Winner picks the loser's signature; signature chosen must be quote praising Adolf Hitler, Fuhrer of Germany OR a quote by Adolf Hitler himself
    5. 11/09/16-12/08/16 (Depends when the results are completely in)
    Null

    #8 @waiguoren v. @cooks1
    1. National Popular vote margin with Clinton/Trump will be b>
    2. Waiguoren- For Cooks1- Against
    3. 1/21/16 (Day after inauguration day)
    4. Signature Bet
    5. 01/21/16 to next US Presidential election day
    6. If Clinton simultaneously wins the popular vote by over 6.4%, but loses on the electoral map and Trump is elected on that basis, the bet will be void, as Hillary did get over 6.4% of the popular vote, but she did not win by 6.4% of the popular vote
    Winner: waiguoren

    #11 @Jack V Savage v. @LucasWithLidOff
    1. Hillary Clinton will be indicted by 12/28/2016
    2. LucasWithLidOff- For, Jack V Savage- Against
    3. 12/29/16
    4. Avatar Bet
    5. Permanent
    Winner: Jack V Savage

    #3 @Jack V Savage v. @mcveteran81
    1. Obama will still be president a week after the scheduled inauguration date due to declaring a state of emergency
    2. mcveteran- True Jack V Savage- False
    3. 1/27/2017 (week after scheduled inauguration day)
    4. Signature bet- Winner picks the loser's signature
    5. 1/28/2017-2/27/2017
    Winner: Jack V Savage

    #18 @SidJustice v. @waiguoren
    1. Neil Gorsuch will not be confirmed to the Supreme Court on or before 4/7/2017
    2. SidJustice: Agree/ waiguoren: Disagree
    3. 4/8/2017
    4. Signature bet
    5. 1 year
    Winnner: waiguoren

    #15 @Jack V Savage vs. @drstrangelov
    1. Trump's favorability rating Real Clear Politics average is 51.8 before Labor Day
    2. drstanglov- For, Jack V Savage- against
    3. 09/04/2017 (Labor Day)
    4. Hybrid- Jack's avatar or Drstranglovs sig
    5. 1 month (tentatively 09/04/17-10/03/17)
    6. Attempted or successful assassination of Trump or attack by foreign government or there is pending or concluded vote on authorization for military action before his rating goes up, the bet is null
    Winner: Jack V Savage

    #20. @Fawlty v. @HomerThompson
    1. Flynn, Stone, Manafort, Page, Kushner, Don Jr, Eric, President Trump, Ivanka, Sessions, DeVos, Preibus, Ryan, Pruitt, Pompeo, Bannon, or Perry will be formally criminally indicted by 23:59 EST 15 June 2018
    2. @HomerThompson- 2 or more indicted, @Fawlty- 1 will be indicted, Tie- 0 are indicted
    3. 06/15/18
    4. Signature bet
    5. 3 months
    Winner: HomerThompson

    #22. @Quipling v. @N13
    1. Moore or Jones will be sworn in as Senator
    2. Quipling- Jones, @N13- Moore
    3. When either person is sworn in as Senator
    4. Avatar bet
    5. 1 month
    Winner: Quipling

    #23. @Lead v. @N13
    1. Moore or Jones will be sworn in as Senator
    2. @Lead- Jones, @N13- Moore
    3. When either person is sworn in as Senator
    4. Avatar bet
    5. 1 month
    Winner: Lead

    #19. @waiguoren v. @konagold
    1. President Donald Trump resigns or is impeached on or before June 2, 2018
    2. @konagold - for @waiguoren- against
    3. 06/09/2018
    4. Signature bet
    5. 1 year (est 6/9/18-6/8/19)
    Winner: waiguoren
    ______________________________________________________________________
     
    Last edited: Jan 22, 2021
  5. Lead /Led/ blanket Platinum Member

    Joined:
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    Closed Bets (Continued)
    #32. @Lead v. @JamesRussler
    1. Democrats will win 209 seats or more in the 2018 Midterm Election
    2. Lead- for, JamesRussler- against
    3. 11/07/2018 (tentative, races could take longer to call)
    4. Avatar bet
    5. 1 month
    *Party seats are determined by who caucuses with a party if there are independent candidates that win.

    Winner: Lead

    #27. @HomerThompson v. @JamesRussler
    1 & 2. 2018 Midterm Election results- James wins if (1) Republicans retain at least 218 seats in the House and (2) gain net 9 seats in the Senate (i.e. 60 seats total). Homer wins if (1) Democrats reach 218 seats or more in the House and (2) lose under 8 seats in the Senate.
    3. 11/07/2018 (tentative, races could take longer to call)
    4. Signature bet
    5. 2 months (tentatively 11/07/18-01/06/19)
    6. In the situation, neither of the two events happen, the bet is null
    Winner: HomerThompson


    #38. @SBJJ v. @GOATER
    1. Beto O'Rourke wins Texas in the 2018 midterms
    2. GOATER- for, SBJJ- against
    3. 11/07/2018 (tentatively)
    4. Signature bet
    5. 6 months
    Winner: SBJJ

    #37. @waiguoren v. @Jack V Savage
    1. Democrat Katie Hill will defeat Republican Steve Knight in the 2018 House of Representatives race for California's 25th Congressional district.
    2. Jack V Savage for, waiguoren against
    3. When the California Secretary of State certifies the results of the 2018 Congressional elections.
    4. Sig bet
    5. 3 months
    Winner: Jack V Savage

    #33. @44nutman v. @HereticBD
    1. Trump being charged with Money Laundering by Jan 1st, 2019
    2. @44nutman for, @HereticBD against
    3. 01/01/2019
    4. Avatar bet
    5. 1 month
    Winner: HereticBD

    #35. @waiguoren v. @Pelosi2016
    1. Either Joe Biden or Bernie Sanders will declare a candidacy for president for the 2020 US presidential election.
    2. waiguoren for; Pelosi2016 against
    3. Election day 2020, or whenever one of Sanders/Biden files the requisite paperwork (whichever occurs first)
    4. Name bet
    5. 1 year
    Winner: waiguroen

    #30. @Jack V Savage v. @SBJJ
    1. Commerce Department's second estimate for 2018 Real GDP growth will be 2.90% or lower
    2. Jack V- For, SBJJ- Against
    3. Tentatively 02/28/19
    4. Signature bet
    5. 3 months
    6. We will be able to pull the result from here: https://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/news_release_sort_national.htm
    Winner: Jack V Savage

    #29. @waiguoren v. @PolishHeadlock
    1. The Mueller investigation will indict Trump and accuse Trump of committing a crime to EITHER
    a) cooperate with / help Russia carry out the DNC/DCCC/Clinton office hack
    OR
    b) offer Russia concessions (policy, money, etc) in exchange for the fruits of one of the hacks above
    2. PolishHeadlock- for, waiguoren- against
    3. When the Mueller investigation concludes
    4. Avatar and Signature bet
    5. 5 years
    6. Null if Mueller is fired or Trump unexpectedly passes
    *Lead, Zankou, and panamaican will make the call on the bet when the investigation concludes.
    Winner: waiguoren

    #17 @waiguoren v. @rj144
    1. Trump will win the 2020 Presidential Election
    2. Waiguoren- for rj144- against
    3. 11/04/2020
    4. Signature bet
    5. 1 year
    6. Bet is null if Trump doesn't run in 2020 or pulls out of race regardless of the reason why
    Cancelled

    #39. @JamesRussler v. @Lowmanproblems
    1. Within 6 months, DOJ will announce indictments for ANY of Comey, Strzok, McCabe, Ohr, Page, Yates, Lynch, Obama, Brennan, Clapper, or other government officials of the “Russia Collusion” investigation
    2. For- JamesRussler, Against- Lowmanproblems
    3. 10/16/19
    4. Avatar bet (specific avs dealing with candidate choice)
    5. 3 months
    6a. If lowman loses, the avatar is Trump with MAGA hat, If JamesRussler loses, the avatar is a candidate of Lowman's choice.
    6b. Due to the language of the bet, the bet winner will only be decided if both participants agree who won. In the event they disagree who won, the bet will be null.
    Winner: lowmanproblems

    #31. @waiguoren v. @andnowweknow
    1. Roger Stone will be indicted and convicted on at least one charge brought by Robert Mueller's team for Trump/Russia coordination/collusion/conspiracy.
    2. andnowweknow- for, waiguoren- against
    3. At the conclusion of Stone's trial, if it happens. If not, at the end of the Mueller investigation.
    4. Sig bet
    5. 10 months
    6. The conviction needs to be for coordination/collusion/conspiracy between Trump/Russia. For example: treason, conspiracy to defraud the USA, or conspiracy to commit an offense against the USA by coordinating with the Russian state would all give the win to andnowweknow. Tax fraud as in the Manafort case would not count. Perjury would not count. If Stone signs a plea agreement for any reason, the bet is a push.
    *Lead also reserves the right to have participants add two additional mods to decide who won if it's contested.
    Winner: waiguoren
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    #16 @Lead v. @HUNTERMANIA
    1. Trump will be impeached during his first term as President
    2. HUNTERMANIA- for , Lead- against
    3. End of Trump's term or if he is impeached beforehand
    4. Signature bet
    5. 3 months
    6. If Trump is removed from office from illness, death, or assassination, the bet will be null
    Winner: HUNTERMANIA

    #21. @HomerThompson v @oleDirtyBast4rd
    1. Trump is removed from office on or before December 31st, 2019
    2. HomerThompson- for, oleDirtyBast4rd- against
    3. 01/01/2020
    4. Signature bet
    5. 1 year
    6. Death and physical illness would result in a null bet. Mental illness and subsequent removal would count.
    Winner: oleDirtyBast4rd

    #24. @HomerThompson v @Lead
    1. Trump is removed from office on or before December 31st, 2019
    2. HomerThompson- for, Lead- against
    3. 01/01/2020
    4. Avatar bet
    5. 1 month
    6. Death and physical illness would result in a null bet. Mental illness and subsequent removal would count.
    Winner: Lead

    #25. @waiguoren v @HomerThompson
    1. Trump is removed from office on or before December 31st, 2019
    2. HomerThompson- for, waiguoren- against
    3. 01/01/2020
    4. Sig bet
    5. 6 months
    6. Death and physical illness would result in a null bet. Mental illness and subsequent removal would count.
    Winner: waiguoren

    #28. @HomerThompson v. @IGIT
    1. Within 18 months of Trump's new justice being appointed, the supreme court will allow individual states to outlaw abortion.
    2. HomerThompson - For, IGIT - Against
    3. Tentatively 18 months once the Trump justice is confirmed (04/06/2020)
    4. Signature bet
    5. 2 months
    6. If Trump isn't able to get an appointee confirmed, the bet is null
    Winner: IGIT

    #36. @waiguoren v. @Trotsky
    1. Michael Avenatti or Cory Booker will be the 2020 Democratic nominee for president.
    2. waiguoren: Avenatti, Trotsky: Cory Booker
    3. The day of the 2020 Democratic National Convention
    4. Name bet
    5. 1 year
    6. If neither man is the 2020 Democratic nominee for president, the bet is a push.
    Null

    #40. @waiguoren v. @PolarBearPaulVarelans
    1. Bernard Sanders or Joseph Biden will be the 2020 Democratic nominee for US president.
    2. PolarBear- Biden, waiguoren- Sanders
    3. The day of 2020 Democratic National Convention
    4. Avatar and Signature bet
    5. 2 Months
    6. If neither man is the 2020 Democratic nominee for president, the bet will be a push.
    Winner: PolarBearPaulVarelans

    #42. @waiguoren v. @HereticBD
    1. Joseph Biden will be the 2020 Democratic nominee for president.
    2. @waiguoren- against @HereticBD -for
    3. 2020 Democratic National Convention (Tentatively 7/16/20)
    4. Signature bet
    5. 3 months
    Winner: HereticBD

    #46. @Rockapotomuss v. @Jack V Savage
    1. Hillary Clinton will be in the 2020 Democratic race for president, before or during the Democratic National Convention, by either filing her 2020 candidacy with the FEC or by receiving 300+ delegate/super delegate votes on a single ballot at the 2020 Democratic National Convention.
    2. @Rockapotomuss : for, @Jack V Savage : against
    3. Tentatively 07/16/2020 or when Clinton files for a candidacy with the FEC (whichever comes first)
    4. Signature bet.
    5. 3 months
    Winner: Jack V Savage

    #38. @VivaRevolution v. @Yorkist
    1. Donald Trump will lose in the Republican primary or not run for a second term.
    2. VivaRevolution- for, Yorkist- against
    3. Tentative (if Trump announces he isn't running or when a Republican nomination is secured)
    4. Avatar bet
    5. 1 month
    Winner: Yorkist
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    #55. @Jack V Savage v. @MMAisGod
    1. Donald Trump or Joe Biden will pull out of one of the 2020 Presidential debates
    2. @Jack V Savage - Donald Trump, @MMAisGod - Joe Biden
    3. If either candidate pulls out or once all the debates have completed
    4. Signature bet
    5. 3 months
    6. If neither candidate pulls out, the bet is null
    Winner: Jack V Savage

    #51. @HockeyBjj v. @kpt018
    1. Donald Trump will have a 3rd SCOTUS nominee confirmed by the Senate
    2. @kpt018- for, @HockeyBjj- against
    3. Tentatively on or before 01/20/2020
    4. Avatar bet
    5. 1 month
    6a. If Trump wins the 2020 general election and a nominee hasn't been confirmed, the bet is null.
    6b. The punishment will not overlap with the punishment for the WR fantasy football league and will be served after that one is satisfied, if necessary.
    Winner: kpt018

    #26. @HereticBD v. @VivaRevolution
    1. Bernie Sanders will win the 2020 Presidential Election
    2. VivaRevolution- for, HereticBD- against
    3. 11/04/2020
    4. Avatar & Signature bet
    5. HereticBD win=Viva's Av/Sig for 1 month; Viva win= HereticBD Av/Sig for 1 year
    Winner: HereticBD

    #45. @HockeyBjj v. @PolishHeadlock2
    1. Tulsi Gabbard will be on at least one state ballot for the 2020 presidential election as a third party candidate
    2. @PolishHeadlock2 - for, @HockeyBjj- against
    3. 11/07/2020
    4. Avatar bet
    5. 2 months
    6. Write in votes do not count as being on the ballot
    Winner: HockeyBJJ

    #52. @Jack V Savage v @giusti825
    1. The winner of the 2020 Presidential Election Popular Vote will be _________
    2. @Jack V Savage - Biden @giusti825 - Trump
    3. 11/03/2020 (Tentatively)
    4. Signature bet
    5. 1 months
    Winner: Jack V Savage

    #41. @Yorkist v. @Serenity Now
    1. Trump will win the 2020 Presidential Election
    2. Yorkist- for, Serenity Now- against
    3. 11/04/2020 (tentative)
    4. Avatar bet
    5. 1 month
    Winner: Serenity Now

    #34. @VivaRevolution v. @Rob Battisti
    1. Trump will win the 2020 presidential election
    2. Rob Battisti- For, VivaRevolution- against
    3. 11/7/2020 (tentatively)
    4. Avatar bet
    5. 3 months
    Winner: VivaRevolution
     
    Last edited: Jan 22, 2021
  6. Lead /Led/ blanket Platinum Member

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2009
    Messages:
    42,594
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    7,943
    Location:
    409
    Closed Bets (Continued)
    #44. @Cunningham v. @waiguoren
    1. Donald Trump will win the 2020 election for president.
    2. @waiguoren - against @Cunningham - for
    3. November 9, 2020
    4. Sig and av bet
    5. 1 year
    6. The bet is only valid if Peter Buttigieg or Bernard Sanders is the Democratic nominee for president on election day 2020. If Trump doesn't run for whatever reason, bet is void.
    Null

    #49. @Prokofievian v. @Richie Madano
    1. Donald Trump will win the 2020 election by a margin of at least 78 or more electoral votes.
    2. @Richie Madano - For, @Prokofievian - Against
    3. 11/04/2020 tentatively (Election day)
    4. Avatar bet
    5. 3 months
    6a. If Trump isn’t on the ballot for 2020, the bet is null.
    6b. We will assume there are no rogue electoral votes and they will vote as assigned by their state.
    6c. If Election Day is moved to a later date, the bet is null unless the participants have it re-approved.
    6d. The margin above is based on the opposing candidate that receives the 2nd most electoral votes in the event Trump wins.
    Winner: Prokofievian

    #56. @Tropodan v. @Jack V Savage
    1. Donald Trump will have a better margin with both the electoral vote (77+) and popular vote (-2,868,686) in the 2020 presidential election compared to the 2016 presidential election.
    2. @Tropodan - For, @Jack V Savage - Against
    3. 11/3/2020 (tentative)
    4. Avatar bet
    5. 2 months
    Winner: Jack V Savage

    #47. @sickc0d3r v @HereticBD
    1. Donald Trump will not be elected for a second term in the 2020 presidential election
    2. sickc0d3r- for, HereticBD- against
    3. 11/04/2020 (tentatively based on when results come in)
    4. Signature bet
    5. 1 month
    Winner: sickc0d3r

    #50. @Jack V Savage v @HereticBD
    1. The winner of the 2020 presidential election will be ________
    2. @Jack V Savage - Joe Biden @HereticBD - Donald Trump
    3. 11/03/2020 (Tentatively)
    4. Signature bet
    5. 2 months
    6. The bet will be settled when any of the three main networks (NBC, ABC, CBS) call a winner of the election as this will be assumed as the eventual official winner.
    Winner: Jack V Savage
    ————————————————————

    #53. @SATW v. @Quipling
    1. Trump will win the 2020 Presidential Election
    2. @SATW- For @Quipling Against
    3. 11/3/2020 (tentatively)
    4. Avatar bet if @Quipling win; Nothing if SATW wins (Free roll)
    5. 1 month
    Winner: Quipling

    #48. @HockeyBjj v. @kenetics
    1. Bitcoin will hit 20k US Dollars on or before April 24th 2021
    2. @kenetics for, @HockeyBjj against
    3. 04/24/2021 or if Bitcoin hits 20k before then
    4. Avatar bet
    5. 2 months
    6. Price determined by “Morningstar for currency and coinbase for crypto currency”. That’s what google uses when you simply google “Bitcoin price”
    Winner: kenetics

    #54. @Oceanmachine v. @Fawlty
    1. The GOP will increase their Senate seats (from 53) in the 2020 election
    2. @Oceanmachine For @Fawlty Against
    3. 11/3/2020 (tentatively)
    4. Signature bet
    5. 1 month
    Winner: Fawlty

    #59. @Oceanmachine v. @MMAisGod
    1. Trump will win the 2020 presidential election with at least 2 out of 3 of the following states: Wisconsin, Michigan, or Minnesota
    2. @Oceanmachine - for @MMAisGod - against
    3. 11/3/2020 (tentatively)
    4. Avatar bet
    5. 3 months
    Winner: MMAisGod

    #57. @Trotsky v. @HeirApparent
    1. Donald Trump will be over or under 300.5 Electoral College votes for the 2020 presidential election
    2. @Trotsky - under @HeirApparent - over
    3. 11/3/2020 (Tentatively)
    4. Avatar bet
    5. 3 months
    Winner: Trotsky

    #58. @Trotsky v @second sight
    1. Who will win at least 270 electoral college votes in the 2020 presidential election?
    2. @Trotsky - Biden, @second sight - Trump
    3. 11/3/2020 (tentatively)
    4. Signature bet
    5. 3 months
    Winner: Trotsky

    #46. @Crazy Diamond v. @Richie Madano
    1. Donald Trump will serve a 2nd term as President of the United States
    2. @Richie Madano - for, @Crazy Diamond - against
    3. Tentatively Jan 20, 2021 (Inauguration day)
    4. Avatar Or Signature Bet (Winners choice)
    5. 3 Months
    6. In the event Trump dies during his first term, the bet is null
    Winner: Crazy Diamond (Andy Cap)
     
    Last edited: Jan 23, 2021
  7. Lead /Led/ blanket Platinum Member

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    Carry on
     
  8. K1levelgrappler Red Belt

    Joined:
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    If anybody won an av bet on the election this would be a good one to stick somebody with

    [​IMG]
     
    wonderbread and JDragon like this.
  9. JDragon Lawn and Order!

    Joined:
    Nov 28, 2010
    Messages:
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    Location:
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    #andstill

    Undisputed, undefeated.
     
    James Bomb and Jack V Savage like this.
  10. Jack V Savage Secretary of Keepin' It Real/Nicest Guy on Sherdog

    Joined:
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    Messages:
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    Overtures and Diogenes of Sinope like this.
  11. JDragon Lawn and Order!

    Joined:
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    Location:
    Germany
    I also would suggest this

    [​IMG]
     
    Higus likes this.
  12. Lead /Led/ blanket Platinum Member

    Joined:
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    The window is still the same at the moment for any new bets but you two still obviously can agree that you already have a deal. I’ll be sure to update you first if that window changes.
     
    Jack V Savage likes this.
  13. HereticBD Plutonium Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 28, 2010
    Messages:
    61,170
    Likes Received:
    25,187
    Location:
    In the hearts and minds of everyone
    I'm gonna give @SicK95nghkjdjs(or whatever) 'till the end of the week to give me a sig. Otherwise it's all yours @Jack V Savage. I don't think he's paying much attention, or just doesn't care.
     
  14. Lead /Led/ blanket Platinum Member

    Joined:
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    Location:
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    @sickc0d3r
     
  15. HereticBD Plutonium Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 28, 2010
    Messages:
    61,170
    Likes Received:
    25,187
    Location:
    In the hearts and minds of everyone
    I think he might be in that spot where you win a sig bet, but all the pressure shifts to the you to come up with something witty.

    Nobody reads sigs, @sickc0d3r. No pressure. Just hurry up already.
     
    HockeyBjj and sickc0d3r like this.
  16. Lead /Led/ blanket Platinum Member

    Joined:
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    I have to turn my phone sideways to even see them and I’m far to lazy to do that.
     
    Shoemaker and JDragon like this.
  17. wonderbread Stiff Member Banned

    Joined:
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    Location:
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    This works too
    [​IMG]
     
  18. Overtures Guest

    Why did I bet all caps flake ass
     
    Limbo Pete and Higus like this.
  19. Trotsky Banned Banned

    Joined:
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    Messages:
    34,479
    Likes Received:
    15,758
    @second sight @Lead

    Here is your new sig:

    Making my way downtown
    Walking fast, faces pass and I'm homebound
    Staring blankly ahead
    Just making my way
    Making a way through the crowd
    And I need you
    And I miss you
    And now I wonder
    If I could fall into the sky
    Do you think time would pass me by?
    Cause you know I'd walk a thousand miles
    If I could just see you tonight
    It's always times like these
    When I think of you
    And wonder if you ever think of me
    Cause everything's so wrong and I don't belong
    Living in your precious memory
    Cause I need you
    And I miss you
    And now I wonder
    If I could fall into the sky
    Do you think time would pass me by?
    Cause you know I'd walk a thousand miles
    If I could just see you tonight
    And I, I don't wanna let you know
    I, I drown in your memory
    I, I don't wanna let this go
    I, I don't
    Making my way downtown
    Walking fast, faces pass and I'm homebound
    Staring blankly ahead, just making my way
    Making a way through the crowd
    And I still need you
    And I still miss you
    And now I wonder
    If I could fall into the sky
    Do you think time would pass me by?
    Cause you know I'd walk a thousand miles
    If I could just see you, oh, oh
    If I could fall into the sky
    Do you think time would pass me by?
    Cause you know I'd walk a thousand miles
    If I could just see you
    If I could just hold you tonight​
     
    Fawlty, JDragon and Limbo Pete like this.
  20. Fawlty Banned Banned

    Joined:
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    Location:
    War Room Lounge
    Banworthy tbh
     
    dezzy, Sketch and Jack V Savage like this.

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