Kape vs Royval betting odds

[Aurelian]

I'm seeing that Royval vs Kape bet odds that started out -198 Kape and +164 Royval. That line has moved to +195 on Royval right now with Kape at -230. Can anyone give me a good reason why I should not bet the house on Brandon here? Royval is beating elite level fighters in Moreno and Taira lately and has only lost to Pantoja since 2021. Kape is a good fighter but I don't see how he's such a favorite.

 

[EndlessCritic]

In a 5 round fight Royval +200 is a no-brainer.

 

[Aurelian]

In a 5 round fight Royval +200 is a no-brainer.

I know, that line is insane to me. I feel like -200 Royval makes more sense than +200. I'm wondering if Brandon recently broke a leg or something, lol.

 

[Aurelian]

So when I first saw the line I put $80 on it

Amount:$80.00
Statusending
To win:$156.00
Type:Money Line
Description:Martial Arts - MMA - Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape - Money Line | 29001 Brandon Royval +195 for GAME | 03/01/2025 05:00:00 PM (EST) | Pending

Then I thought about it and put another $90

Amount:$90.00
Statusending
To win:$175.50
Type:Money Line
Description:Martial Arts - MMA - Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape - Money Line | 29001 Brandon Royval +195 for GAME | 03/01/2025 05:00:00 PM (EST) | Pending

Then I thought about it some more and was like fuck it and put another $150 on it

Amount:$150.00
Statusending
To win:$292.50
Type:Money Line
Description:Martial Arts - MMA - Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape - Money Line | 29001 Brandon Royval +195 for GAME | 03/01/2025 05:00:00 PM (EST) | Pending