General MMA discussion and future lines - July 2016

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Joseph Budden said:
Feel bad for Bigfoot, but just hoping Nelson by KO is under -200 so I can make some serious bread on that TRT-less chin
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Big Country's over hand right would be total overkill if it landed Bigfoot's glass jaw. I don't want to see it happen... I'm actually concerned with Bigfoot's health at this point.

That being said I'd be all over a sub -200 Nelson KO line.
 
Joseph Budden said:
Oh lord. Bigfoot vs Big Country in September.
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Just when i said id never bet hw's again especially nelson after he got black beasted i bet ngannou last week and will be betting on nelson again here. Good lord bigfoot needs to retire. Pls lets get a reasonable line.
 
How is Bigfoot still getting sanctioned to fight? Roy is basically done and it doesn't even matter. The concern for Bigfoot's well being is well founded. Roy is gonna wreck him.
 
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Josh Clark has good boxing, he won by submission to get into the TUF 19 house and lost a decision against Corey Anderson on the season. He's never been KO'ed in a pro MMA fight. If he survives the early onslaught from Giles I like him for a late TKO or decision at dog money.

RFA 41 Risk $100.00

Josh Clark (+145) vs Trevin Giles $100.00 for $145.00
 
JimGunn said:
Josh Clark has good boxing, he won by submission to get into the TUF 19 house and lost a decision against Corey Anderson on the season. He's never been KO'ed in a pro MMA fight. If he survives the early onslaught from Giles I like him for a late TKO or decision at dog money.

RFA 41 Risk $100.00

Josh Clark (+145) vs Trevin Giles $100.00 for $145.00
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http://www.mmaweekly.com/josh-clark-hopes-a-win-at-rfa-41-will-lead-to-ufc-return

some red flags.. been out almost two years becourse of concussion? must have been pretty serious also took the fight on short notice
 
Anyone laying money on McGoat before the Irish find their way to Vegas? I think his line will shoot down the week of. Then hedge on Nate?
 
Tebowned said:
Anyone laying money on McGoat before the Irish find their way to Vegas? I think his line will shoot down the week of. Then hedge on Nate?
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Man IDK. If I was in Vegas maybe, but seems like the online books don't mirror the Vegas books as much as they used to. I don't want to get caught holding the bag with $ on Conor in a fight I don't think he wins. I'd rather take Nate at slight dog odds now since I think he should be favored. I put 50% of what I may have on Nate now. If his line improves, I'll add more. If it stays where it is, I'll probably still add more. If it drops and he becomes the favorite, I'm fine with having a smaller bet on him.
 
mkess101 said:
Man IDK. If I was in Vegas maybe, but seems like the online books don't mirror the Vegas books as much as they used to. I don't want to get caught holding the bag with $ on Conor in a fight I don't think he wins. I'd rather take Nate at slight dog odds now since I think he should be favored. I put 50% of what I may have on Nate now. If his line improves, I'll add more. If it stays where it is, I'll probably still add more. If it drops and he becomes the favorite, I'm fine with having a smaller bet on him.
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Man besides 2 fights and 1 against the FW GOAT his odds have always got worse. I'll take my chances but nothing huge.

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Anyone know a site that tells you what the odds in vegas are right now?
 
Tebowned said:
Man besides 2 fights and 1 against the FW GOAT his odds have always got worse. I'll take my chances but nothing huge.

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Yeah fair enough but none of those were coming off a loss. And not just a loss, but a loss where he landed the same clean shots he always does but the other guy waved him in for more instead of falling over, then beat him up and choked him out. And he's fighting the same guy immediately after LOL. So even some of the Irish guys who might be rooting like mad for Conor may ease off a bit on dropping their hard earned $ on him (or bet less at least). They have memories, they saw it.

One thing I just saw (can't believe I missed this) is Nate KO is +530! The last fight easily could have ended that way if Conor doesn't give his back. I see this fight going similarly as the first albeit at a bit slower pace. I'm hitting this line for sure. I think Nate stops him again, but a bit later. Rd 4 maybe would be my guess. Conor will try to conserve a bit of energy but eventually Nate's volume and the fact he can take Conor's power will break Conor again. Nate sub is only +255. I think there's close to an equal chance of a KO. Love this KO line.
 
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