[Comprehensive 2022 Prospects Prediction Thread]

JustOnce

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Well, folks, 2022 is almost around the corner. There aren't many fight cards left.

Predict how the prospects will fair in 2022 and bump this thread again if you were spot on! Thread from April of this year that got no traction lol (https://forums.sherdog.com/threads/prospect-thread-2021-will-it-be-different-from-2020.4176181/)



UFC's january vid on fighters on the rise from 2020 for reference

FLW

Su Mudaerji (14-4)
Amir Albazi (14-1)
Tagir Ulanbekov (13-1)
Matheus Nicolau (17-2-1)
Rogerio Bontorin (17-3)
David Dvorak (20-3)
Manel Kape (16-6)
Zhalgas Zhumagulov (14-5)
Askar Askarov (13-0-1)* maybe past prospect

------

BW: Jack Shore is a real deal, but there are great prospects as well and a relatively solid division ahead of him.

Jack Shore (15-0)
Timur Valiev (18-2)
Adrian Yanez (13-2)
Sean O'Malley (14-1) -
Raufeon Stots (17-1)
Raoni Barcelos (16-2)
Julio Arce (17-4)
Chris Guiterrez (17-4-2)
Nathan Maness (14-1)
Raulian Paiva (21-3) -> Should've lost against Zhalgas at Flw. I believe an opponent that's incredibly favourable match up for O'Malley, especially after a big upset win, that makes me think UFC is still in on O'Malley. Match ups are everything, so many tougher fights than Paiva. I don't think Sugar is half as good as he or his fans seem to think he is.

-----

FW: Arguably Top 5 prospects in one weight class, Evloev, Topuria, Mitchell, Mckee and Allen. Whoever matched up Evloev and Topuria this early should be punched in the fucking nuts.

Movsar Evloev (15-0)
Illia Topuria (11-0)
Bryce Mitchell (14-0)
Aj Mckee (18-0)
Arnold Allen (17-1)
Giga Chikadeze (14-2)
Sodiq Yusuff (11-2)
Tucker Lutz (12-1)
Hakeem Dawodu (12-2-1)
Zubaira Tukhugov (20-5-1)
Lerone Murphy (11-0-1)
Michael Trizano (9-1)
Gavin Tucker (13-2)
Movlid Khaybulaev (20-0-1)
Adam Borics (17-1)

----

LW: Deep field of prospects. Probably the deepest. If you ask me, might be stronger field than top 10 outside top guys. I think it is.

Arman Tsarukyan (17-2)
Mateusz Gamrot (19-1)
Brad Riddell (10-1)
Gregor Gillepsie (14-1)
Mark Madson (11-0)
Grant Dawson (17-1-1)
Paddy Pimblett (17-3)
Islam Mamedov (20-1-1)
Damir Ismagulov (23-1)
Rafael Fiziev (10-1)
Brent Primus (11-2)
Guram Kutaleladze (12-2)
Mason Jones (11-1)
Nasrat Haqparast (17-4) Might have shown his ceiling but still only 26
Joe Solecki - (11-3) I know he lost but yeah - I knew Gordon was a tough match up

------

WW: It's Khamzat's world, but some Uber prospects in Brady and Shavkat and Amosov if you count him as prospect still.

Khamzat Chimaev (10-0)
Sean Brady (14-0)
Shavkat Rakhmonov (14-0)
Khaos Williams (12-2)
Randy Brown (14-4)
Miguel Baeza (10-1)
Erick Silva (20-11)
Yaroslav Amosov (26-0) * prob past prospect

-----

MW:

Phil Hawes (11-2)
Dricus Du Plesis (16-2)
Nassourdine Imavov (10-3)
Gregory Rodrigues (11-3)
Anthony Hernandez (9-2)
Roman Dolidze (9-1)
Rodolfo Vieira (9-1)
Kyle Daukuas (10-2)
Edmen Shabazyan (11-2)
Julian Marquez (9-2)
Jacob Malkoun (5-1)
Puna Soriano (8-1)
Brendan Allen (17-4)*
Trevin Giles (14-3)*
Bruno Silva (21-6)*
Makhmud Muradov (25-7)*

---

LHW: It used to be the most stacked division in all of MMA during Jone's prime. Now, it's looking barren even in prospects, relatively speaking. What happened?

Jim Crute (12-2)
Kennedy Nzechukwu (9-1)
Jamahal Hill (9-1)
Magomed Ismailov (17-2-1)
William Knight (10-2)
Da un Jung (14-2-1)
Karl Albrektsson (13-3)
Julius Anglickas (10-2)
Reinier de Riddier (14-0)
Danilo Marques (11-3)
MIchal Oleksijczuk (16-4)
Alonzo Menifield (11-2)
Shamil Gamzatov (14-1)
Dustin Jacoby (15-5-1)*
Ion Cutelaba (16-6-1)*
Paul Craig (15-4-1)*
Marcin Prachnio (15-5)*
Jiri Prochazka (28-3-1)**
Magomed Ankaleev (14-1)**
Alexander Rakic (14-2)**
Vadim Nemkov (14-2)**

----

HW: Very exciting time for heavyweight prospects was the last year. We had Gane, Aspinall, Daukaus, Romanov and they all kept it up. I remember defending Daukaus from people who were calling him regional fighter, there were quite a few, but I bet they all in hiding now. Fortune in Bellator is probably a real deal as well and Isaev from PFL is an interesting one. In UFC, Aspinall and Romanov with Gane moving out are likely best prospects.

Tom Aspinall (11-2)
Chris Daukaus (12-3)
Alexander Romanov (15-0)
Tyrell Fortune (11-1)
Juan Espino (10-2) - Got robbed against Romanov
Valentin Moldavsky (11-1)
Ali Isaev (9-0)
Carlos Felipe (11-2)
Bruno Cappelozza (14-5)
Renan Ferreira (8-2) - Got screwed over Werdum
Tai Tuivasa (12-3)*
Sergey Spivak (13-3)*
Jairzinho Rozenstruik (12-3) **
Ciryl Gane (10-0) ***
Sergey Pavlovich (14-1) *
Blagoi Ivanov (18-4) *
Arjan Bhullar (11-1)
Greg Hardy? (7-4)

---

The year's almost over. Who will remain on the trajectory of an elite fighter near the end of 2022? Make your predictions!
 
Last edited:
Well, folks, 2022 is almost around the corner. There aren't many fight cards left.

Predict how the prospects will fair in 2022 and bump this thread again if you were spot on! Thread from April of this year that got no traction lol (https://forums.sherdog.com/threads/prospect-thread-2021-will-it-be-different-from-2020.4176181/)



UFC's january vid on fighters on the rise from 2020 for reference

FLW

Su Mudaerji (14-4)
Amir Albazi (14-1)
Tagir Ulanbekov (13-1)
Matheus Nicolau (17-2-1)
Rogerio Bontorin (17-3)
David Dvorak (20-3)
Manel Kape (16-6)
Zhalgas Zhumagulov (14-5)
Askar Askarov (13-0-1)* maybe past prospect

------

BW: Jack Shore is a real deal, but there are great prospects as well and a relatively solid division ahead of him.

Jack Shore (15-0)
Timur Valiev (18-2)
Adrian Yanez (13-2)
Sean O'Malley (14-1) -
Raufeon Stots (17-1)
Raoni Barcelos (16-2)
Julio Arce (17-4)
Chris Guiterrez (17-4-2)
Nathan Maness (14-1)
Raulian Paiva (21-3) -> Should've lost against Zhalgas at Flw. I believe an opponent that's incredibly favourable match up for O'Malley, especially after a big upset win, that makes me think UFC is still in on O'Malley. Match ups are everything, so many tougher fights than Paiva. I don't think Sugar is half as good as he or his fans seem to think he is.

-----

FW: Arguably Top 5 prospects in one weight class, Evloev, Topuria, Mitchell, Mckee and Allen. Whoever matched up Evloev and Topuria this early should be punched in the fucking nuts.

Movsar Evloev (15-0)
Illia Topuria (11-0)
Bryce Mitchell (14-0)
Aj Mckee (18-0)
Arnold Allen (17-1)
Giga Chikadeze (14-2)
Sodiq Yusuff (11-2)
Tucker Lutz (12-1)
Hakeem Dawodu (12-2-1)
Zubaira Tukhugov (20-5-1)
Lerone Murphy (11-0-1)
Michael Trizano (9-1)
Gavin Tucker (13-2)
Movlid Khaybulaev (20-0-1)
Adam Borics (17-1)

----

LW: Deep field of prospects. Probably the deepest. If you ask me, might be stronger field than top 10 outside top guys. I think it is.

Arman Tsarukyan (17-2)
Mateusz Gamrot (19-1)
Brad Riddell (10-1)
Gregor Gillepsie (14-1)
Mark Madson (11-0)
Grant Dawson (17-1-1)
Paddy Pimblett (17-3)
Islam Mamedov (20-1-1)
Damir Ismagulov (23-1)
Rafael Fiziev (10-1)
Brent Primus (11-2)
Guram Kutaleladze (12-2)
Joe Solecki - (11-3) I know he lost but yeah - I knew Gordon was a tough match up

------

WW: It's Khamzat's world, but some Uber prospects in Brady and Shavkat and Amosov if you count him as prospect still.

Khamzat Chimaev (10-0)
Sean Brady (14-0)
Shavkat Rakhmonov (14-0)
Khaos Williams (12-2)
Randy Brown (14-4)
Miguel Baeza (10-1)
Erick Silva (20-11)
Yaroslav Amosov (26-0) * prob past prospect
Nasrat Haqparast (17-4) Might have shown his ceiling but still only 26

-----

MW:

Phil Hawes (11-2)
Dricus Du Plesis (16-2)
Nassourdine Imavov (10-3)
Gregory Rodrigues (11-3)
Anthony Hernandez (9-2)
Roman Dolidze (9-1)
Rodolfo Vieira (9-1)
Kyle Daukuas (10-2)
Edmen Shabazyan (11-2)
Julian Marquez (9-2)
Jacob Malkoun (5-1)
Puna Soriano (8-1)
Brendan Allen (17-4)*
Trevin Giles (14-3)*
Bruno Silva (21-6)*
Makhmud Muradov (25-7)*

---

LHW: It used to be the most stacked division in all of MMA during Jone's prime. Now, it's looking barren even in prospects, relatively speaking. What happened?

Jim Crute (12-2)
Kennedy Nzechukwu (9-1)
Jamahal Hill (9-1)
Magomed Ismailov (17-2-1)
William Knight (10-2)
Da un Jung (14-2-1)
Karl Albrektsson (13-3)
Julius Anglickas (10-2)
Reinier de Riddier (14-0)
Danilo Marques (11-3)
MIchal Oleksijczuk (16-4)
Alonzo Menifield (11-2)
Shamil Gamzatov (14-1)
Dustin Jacoby (15-5-1)*
Ion Cutelaba (16-6-1)*
Paul Craig (15-4-1)*
Marcin Prachnio (15-5)*
Jiri Prochazka (28-3-1)**
Magomed Ankaleev (14-1)**
Alexander Rakic (14-2)**
Vadim Nemkov (14-2)**

----

HW: Very exciting time for heavyweight prospects was the last year. We had Gane, Aspinall, Daukaus, Romanov and they all kept it up. I remember defending Daukaus from people who were calling him regional fighter, there were quite a few, but I bet they all in hiding now. Fortune in Bellator is probably a real deal as well and Isaev from PFL is an interesting one. In UFC, Aspinall and Romanov with Gane moving out are likely best prospects.

Tom Aspinall (11-2)
Chris Daukaus (12-3)
Alexander Romanov (15-0)
Tyrell Fortune (11-1)
Juan Espino (10-2) - Got robbed against Romanov
Valentin Moldavsky (11-1)
Ali Isaev (9-0)
Carlos Felipe (11-2)
Bruno Cappelozza (14-5)
Renan Ferreira (8-2) - Got screwed over Werdum
Tai Tuivasa (12-3)*
Sergey Spivak (13-3)*
Jairzinho Rozenstruik (12-3) **
Ciryl Gane (10-0) ***
Sergey Pavlovich (14-1) *
Blagoi Ivanov (18-4) *
Arjan Bhullar (11-1)
Greg Hardy? (7-4)

---

The year's almost over. Who will remain on the trajectory of an elite fighter near the end of 2022? Make your predictions!

I’m exceptionally confused by the criteria being used to identify prospects vs elite fighters.

Even in your April thread I would have said Gane and aj mckee were well past the threshold of being true prospects. The secret was already out so to speak
 
I’m exceptionally confused by the criteria being used to identify prospects vs elite fighters.

Even in your April thread I would have said Gane and aj mckee were well past the threshold of being true prospects. The secret was already out so to speak

I use my own criteria of my own opinion I guess. I mean it may vary from person to person. This time I tried to put * these to fighters who I think more if not most people may think are not prospects.

I just happened to have followed a lot of guys from the very beginning, even Cejudo feels like a prospect to me. I mean he's not, but yeah.
 
It's kinda funny if you think about it, it didn't look like Cejudo was going to amount to anything. He was missing weights and shit...looking mediocre...

then I guess everything kinda clicked...
 
For FW, I would add David Onama. That kid showed some true grit and heavy hands against his last minute outing against Mason Jones.
 
For FW, I would add David Onama. That kid showed some true grit and heavy hands against his last minute outing against Mason Jones.

Oh yeah that guy looked super promising
 
Raulian Paiva (21-3) -> Should've lost against Zhalgas at Flw. I believe an opponent that's incredibly favourable match up for O'Malley, especially after a big upset win, that makes me think UFC is still in on O'Malley. Match ups are everything, so many tougher fights than Paiva. I don't think Sugar is half as good as he or his fans seem to think he is.
O'mahleg is a training partner of Kyler Phillips and they got a pretty similar fighting style. On one hand it's easier to gameplan around but not sure the match up is an easy win.
I just wanna see O'starine vs Munhoz (to see him get murked he has 0 way to win)
 
O'mahleg is a training partner of Kyler Phillips and they got a pretty similar fighting style. On one hand it's easier to gameplan around but not sure the match up is an easy win.
I just wanna see O'starine vs Munhoz (to see him get murked he has 0 way to win)

What O'Malley is nothing like Kyler phillips. What
 
For FW, I would add David Onama. That kid showed some true grit and heavy hands against his last minute outing against Mason Jones.

He looked very good, but I kinda looked him up and he's 8-1 but he fought mostly cans it looks like. We will see how he progresses, but I think we shouldn't add him based on impressive loss. I think I'm going to add Mason Jones tho so thanks lol
 
I mean LW is a shark tank man, fucking killers. I swear, outside top 20 is better than top 10 outside top guys.
 
Machida's prospect is fighting this weekend too at 10-1. We will see how he looks too.
 
Why is Nasrat at WW?
Well, folks, 2022 is almost around the corner. There aren't many fight cards left.


WW: It's Khamzat's world, but some Uber prospects in Brady and Shavkat and Amosov if you count him as prospect still.


Nasrat Haqparast (17-4) Might have shown his ceiling but still only 26
 
oh yeah I probably got him mixed up with Kelvin, who is now at MW haha good point
Aw ok. btw thanks for this list.
It shows how insanely stacked FW is rn. I think the rankings are gonna have some big changes in 2022.
 
Why is Nasrat at WW?

thanks lol, but man LW is a killer division now and back a decade ago....probably the most deepest stacked division of all time....holy shit but top 10 kinda feels weak

UFC just made up their stupid ranking one day and just pain in the ass for giving fighters good excuse to duck opponents
 
Aw ok. btw thanks for this list.
It shows how insanely stacked FW is rn. I think the rankings are gonna have some big changes in 2022.

hey man thanks for reading lol

FW is...fucking bullocks. Whoever made Topuria vs Illuria should be kicked in the nuts.

LW is deeper, but the top 5 prospects over at FW is the best in all of MMA I think and it's not really close.

Topuria
Evloev
Allen
Mitchell
Mckee

Yeah I think this is best top 5 per division. I know Mckee hype is in full bulloom, but the rest of the guys are undefeated too, well Allen has one loss but fighting tougher competition.
 
Those five guys' combined record is 75-1...
 
thanks lol, but man LW is a killer division now and back a decade ago....probably the most deepest stacked division of all time....holy shit but top 10 kinda feels weak

UFC just made up their stupid ranking one day and just pain in the ass for giving fighters good excuse to duck opponents
I think Gamrot is gonna be a big problem. Grant Dawson looks goos, but I missed his last fight which he got a draw in.
I don't think Paddy is gonna go far at LW, too many killers that can exploit his style.
 
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