Alexander Romanov - Future Champ?

Gabe

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5-0 in the UFC against average competition and he has made it look pretty easy. He fights his first top 10 opponent on Saturday which is veteran Marcin Tybura. He’s the only prospect at heavyweight that hasn’t been derailed yet so can he win the title?
 
I don't think he gets past Blaydes, who's Romanov going to have to face before fighting for a tittle, me thinks.

I really don't like the fact that Romanov found a way out against Espino and his cardio looked suspect. He lost weigh though, we will see if that helps.

It's kinda like Brady, was on both bandwaggons before their debuts, but I didn't like that Romanov kinda found a way out, then probably robbed Espino blind, and Brady is looking for easy fights. Mentally, it doesn't sound great, but talent is there. Both, well Romanov is 16-0 and Brady is 15-0.

I thought Latifi and even Tanner could make it interesting. Outside Espino, he hasn't really fought anyone with all due respect. The fight between Romanov vs Spivak would be pretty good.

We will see how the fight against Tybura goes. I lean Romanov, but Tybura is pretty good.

All in all, no I don't think Romanov will ever be a champion. I think he loses bad against Blaydes. Not sure about Aspinall or Gane. I think he beats Tai.
 
I wonder how the fight against Tyrell Fortune or Moldasky from Bellator would go. It''s good indication right there what a joke it is that UFC brands itself as some premier number 1 MMA org, but fills their rosters with fighters way out of league paying them 5k/5k and not always sign elite fighters or prospects.
 
Yes. "ov" in the end of your name means you are a good person and a champion!
 
At LHW yes

At HW I dont think so. He lost most of all his fat and is a jacked 236lbs now. He could make that water weight cut but to make it easier he should trim down to 230lbs or 233lbs. A 28lb water weight is a world easier than a 31lb water weight cut.

He is 6"2 with 75 inch reach and good wrestling and strength.

HW is taken over now by all the 6"3 to 6"6 guys with 80 inch or more reach who are jacked weighing 245lbs to 280lbs

I feel a 233lb wrestler will have a better shot at LHW than HW
 
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I wonder how the fight against Tyrell Fortune or Moldasky from Bellator would go. It''s good indication right there what a joke it is that UFC brands itself as some premier number 1 MMA org, but fills their rosters with fighters way out of league paying them 5k/5k and not always sign elite fighters or prospects.
Shut up. Those dudes are scrubs
 
You got Spivak, Romanov and Pavlovich, 3 ex-Soviet prospects ready to ascend. He should handle Tibura easily, if he has any shot of being a real contender. We'll see how it goes against Blaydes, but that fight is still ways away.
 
No, once you do a deep dive into his record it really doesn't hold up. On the regional scene he was basically a can-crusher-crusher. For instance, in his sixth pro bout he fought Alexander Stolyarov who had a 20-5 record, finishing him in the first round. That sounds immensely impressive until you dig a little deeper and realize that Stolyarov's resume is composed almost entirely of cans with 0-0 or 0-1 records or thereabouts. Anyone with a remote amount of skill who's proven in the sport beat him handily, usually finishing him (including Jeff Monson).

This pattern continues with a lot of those ostensibly more experienced dudes Romanov fought in the beginning stages of his career: solid records at a glance, but atrocious levels of competition. The first remotely legitimate guy Romanov beat on the regional scene was in his ninth pro bout where he fought Virgil Zwicker: a Bellator veteran with wins over OSP, Houston Alexander, and Razak Al-Hassan... but Virgil is a pure striker and a natural 205er who was 36 years old at the time and coming off a knockout loss to Alexander Emelianenko... so it's probably best to take this win with a grain of salt IMO.

In the UFC, Romanov's resume hasn't looked that much better. Roque Martinez is not and never was UFC-caliber. Marcos Rogerio de Lima is a bloated 205er with a Happy Meal Black Belt who's been submitted five times in his career and rides or dies with an "explosive 1st round knockout flurry or bust" strategy in pretty much every outing because he has no gas tank whatsoever. Vanderaa's greatest achievements in the promotion are winning a Decision over Justin Tafa of all people and losing a competitive fight against Grandpa Arlovski. Chase Sherman is a one-dimensional kickboxer with decent volume for a Heavyweight, but has looked middling at best ever since he got off the sauce.

Which leaves Juan Espino. So, hot take here -- I don't think Juan is necessarily some elite prospect at this point. Had a few things gone differently in his life, allowing him to show up in the UFC many years ago? Sure, I'd be high on him. But now at this stage in his career he simply represents a skilled unranked Heavyweight grappler and a "What could have been?" novelty. Don't get me wrong: he's talented, he's dangerous, and the skill set he possesses is one that's fairly unique within the division. Had Romanov gone out there and finished him or even won a dominant Decision over him, I'd have been impressed. But he didn't. He had his moments, sure enough, but the way that fight was trending prior to the foul and subsequent Technical Decision... Romanov legitimately struggled with Espino and might very well have ended up losing on the scorecards if not for that foul.

So what are we left with, really? A guy who dominated a bunch of cans and can-crushers on the regional scene, beat fairly middling competition within the UFC itself, and who barely scraped by the one legitimate opponent he's faced in the Octagon: a 40-year-old novelty grappler and former prospect who had been very inactive leading into that bout.

Honestly, the more I look into all of this the more part of me expects Tybura to weather the early storm and school Romanov in a "Y'all must've forgot" sort of performance simply because Marcin is a known quantity with decent all-around skills despite not being exceptional in any one area. Don't get me wrong: Alexander has legitimate talent. He's physically strong, a dominant and oppressive wrestler, has lethal GnP, and is good at finding submissions after he softens up his opponents. I can absolutely see him becoming a consistent Top 10 fixture at Heavyweight one day.

But his resume doesn't hold up to scrutiny and he doesn't strike me as the kind of guy who will adapt well to adversity or maintain composure whilst being the nail. This doesn't bode well for him once he starts fighting the old guard of the Heavyweight Division who know how to grapple -- guys with a pulse who won't keel over the moment he cinches up a body-lock and tries to lift them. I'm also a bit suspicious of his gas tank in a high-pace three-round environment, much less a five-rounder (though I suspect the weight he took off will help somewhat in that regard even if it might make some takedowns/positions on the mat harder to secure).

People have mentioned him fighting Blaydes... lol. Curtis would knock his ass out on the feet or toss him around like a sack of potatoes after stuffing his TDs. It would be uncomfortable to watch.
 
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No, once you do a deep dive into his record it really doesn't hold up. On the regional scene he was basically a can-crusher-crusher. For instance, in his sixth pro bout he fought Alexander Stolyarov who had a 20-5 record, finishing him in the first round. That sounds immensely impressive until you dig a little deeper and realize that Stolyarov's resume is composed almost entirely of cans with 0-0 or 0-1 records or thereabouts. Anyone with a remote amount of skill who's proven in the sport beat him handily, usually finishing him (including Jeff Monson).

A lot of those ostensibly more experienced dudes Romanov fought in the beginning stages of his career follow that same pattern. The first remotely legitimate guy he beat on the regional scene was probably Virgil Zwicker, a Bellator veteran with wins over OSP, Houston Alexander, and Razak Al-Hassan... but Virgil is a natural 205er who was coming off a knockout loss to Alexander Emelianenko when he lost to Romanov, so take it for what it's worth.

In the UFC, Romanov's resume hasn't looked that much better. Roque Martinez is not and never was UFC-caliber. Marcos Rogerio de Lima is a bloated 205er with a Happy Meal Black Belt who rides or dies with an "explosive 1st round knockout flurry or bust" strategy in pretty much every outing. Vanderaa's greatest achievements in the promotion are winning a Decision over Justin Tafa of all people and having a competitive fight against Grandpa Arlovski that he ultimately lost. Chase Sherman is a one-dimensional kickboxer with decent volume for a Heavyweight, but has looked middling at best ever since he got off the sauce.

Which leaves Juan Espino. So, hot take here -- I don't think Juan is necessarily some elite prospect at this point. Had a few things gone differently in his life maybe, but now at this stage in his career he simply represents a skilled Heavyweight grappler and a novelty "What could have been?" fighter. Don't get me wrong: he's talented, he's dangerous, and the skill set he possesses is one that's fairly unique in the division. Had Romanov gone out there and finished him or even won a dominant decision over him, I'd have been impressed. But he didn't. He had his moments, sure enough, but the way that fight was trending prior to the foul and subsequent Technical Decision Espino might very well have won on the scorecards.

So what are we left with, really? A guy who dominated primarily a bunch of cans and can-crushers on the regional scene, extremely middling competition within the UFC itself, and struggled immensely against the one legitimate opponent he's faced in the Octagon: a 40-year-old grappler and formerly great prospect who had been very inactive as of late.

Honestly, the more I look into all of this the more part of me expects Tybura to weather the early storm and school Romanov in a "Y'all must've forgot" sort of performance. Don't get me wrong: Alexandr has legitimate skills. He's physically strong, a dominant and oppressive wrestler, lethal GnP, and is good at finding opportunistic submissions. I can absolutely see him becoming a Top 10 fixture at Heavyweight. But his resume doesn't hold up to scrutiny and he doesn't strike me as the guy who will adapt well to adversity and being the nail once he starts fighting the old guard of the Heavyweight Division -- guys who won't keel over the moment he cinches up a body-lock and tries to lift. I'm also a bit suspicious of his gas tank in a high-pace three-round fight, much less a five-rounder (though I suspect the weight he took off will help somewhat in that regard even if it might make some takedowns/positions on the mat harder to secure).

People have mentioned him fighting Blaydes... lol. Curtis would knock his ass out on the feet or toss him around like a sack of potatoes after stuffing his TDs. It would be uncomfortable to watch.
Interesting analysis as usual, sir. I appreciate that your posts seem to always be well thought out, with little to no emotion entering into your arguments.
 
You got Spivak, Romanov and Pavlovich, 3 ex-Soviet prospects ready to ascend. He should handle Tibura easily, if he has any shot of being a real contender. We'll see how it goes against Blaydes, but that fight is still ways away.

I want him to take over LHW. He can make the water weight cut especially if he just lose 3lbs more. DC did it 234lbs/235lbs to 205

Pavlovich I believe will be HW champ. Spivak will be a gatekeeper like Volkov

No, once you do a deep dive into his record it really doesn't hold up. On the regional scene he was basically a can-crusher-crusher. For instance, in his sixth pro bout he fought Alexander Stolyarov who had a 20-5 record, finishing him in the first round. That sounds immensely impressive until you dig a little deeper and realize that Stolyarov's resume is composed almost entirely of cans with 0-0 or 0-1 records or thereabouts. Anyone with a remote amount of skill who's proven in the sport beat him handily, usually finishing him (including Jeff Monson).

A lot of those ostensibly more experienced dudes Romanov fought in the beginning stages of his career follow that same pattern. The first remotely legitimate guy he beat on the regional scene was probably Virgil Zwicker, a Bellator veteran with wins over OSP, Houston Alexander, and Razak Al-Hassan... but Virgil is a natural 205er who was coming off a knockout loss to Alexander Emelianenko when he lost to Romanov, so take it for what it's worth.

In the UFC, Romanov's resume hasn't looked that much better. Roque Martinez is not and never was UFC-caliber. Marcos Rogerio de Lima is a bloated 205er with a Happy Meal Black Belt who rides or dies with an "explosive 1st round knockout flurry or bust" strategy in pretty much every outing. Vanderaa's greatest achievements in the promotion are winning a Decision over Justin Tafa of all people and having a competitive fight against Grandpa Arlovski that he ultimately lost. Chase Sherman is a one-dimensional kickboxer with decent volume for a Heavyweight, but has looked middling at best ever since he got off the sauce.

Which leaves Juan Espino. So, hot take here -- I don't think Juan is necessarily some elite prospect at this point. Had a few things gone differently in his life maybe, but now at this stage in his career he simply represents a skilled Heavyweight grappler and a novelty "What could have been?" fighter. Don't get me wrong: he's talented, he's dangerous, and the skill set he possesses is one that's fairly unique in the division. Had Romanov gone out there and finished him or even won a dominant decision over him, I'd have been impressed. But he didn't. He had his moments, sure enough, but the way that fight was trending prior to the foul and subsequent Technical Decision Espino might very well have won on the scorecards.

So what are we left with, really? A guy who dominated primarily a bunch of cans and can-crushers on the regional scene, extremely middling competition within the UFC itself, and struggled immensely against the one legitimate opponent he's faced in the Octagon: a 40-year-old grappler and formerly great prospect who had been very inactive as of late.

Honestly, the more I look into all of this the more part of me expects Tybura to weather the early storm and school Romanov in a "Y'all must've forgot" sort of performance. Don't get me wrong: Alexandr has legitimate skills. He's physically strong, a dominant and oppressive wrestler, lethal GnP, and is good at finding opportunistic submissions. I can absolutely see him becoming a Top 10 fixture at Heavyweight. But his resume doesn't hold up to scrutiny and he doesn't strike me as the guy who will adapt well to adversity and being the nail once he starts fighting the old guard of the Heavyweight Division -- guys who won't keel over the moment he cinches up a body-lock and tries to lift. I'm also a bit suspicious of his gas tank in a high-pace three-round fight, much less a five-rounder (though I suspect the weight he took off will help somewhat in that regard even if it might make some takedowns/positions on the mat harder to secure).

People have mentioned him fighting Blaydes... lol. Curtis would knock his ass out on the feet or toss him around like a sack of potatoes after stuffing his TDs. It would be uncomfortable to watch.

Romanov is essentially a large LHW and thus small HW. He was 260lbs chubby lost most of his fat is now 236lbs
 
Interesting analysis as usual, sir. I appreciate that your posts seem to always be well thought out, with little to no emotion entering into your arguments.

Much appreciated! I'm glad someone finds value in my nerdy pedantic attempts at analysis lol.

Unfortunately I am just as guilty as the next guy when it comes to occasionally letting emotion cloud my judgment.

Romanov is essentially a large LHW and thus small HW. He was 260lbs chubby lost most of his fat is now 236lbs

I mentioned him dropping the weight in my post. I think it'll be a net gain for him.

I'd have to see him make 205 in a consistently healthy way before I bought into the idea of him there. I don't think he's ever done it. I agree he's not the largest HW going.
 
I want him to take over LHW. He can make the water weight cut especially if he just lose 3lbs more. DC did it 234lbs/235lbs to 205

Pavlovich I believe will be HW champ. Spivak will be a gatekeeper like Volkov



Romanov is essentially a large LHW and thus small HW. He was 260lbs chubby lost most of his fat is now 236lbs
I think Spivak got a shot of being a lot better than just a gatekeeper, especially at HW; I think for example he can beat Volkov, who has been close to top 5 for a while(and Tai is ranked #3, who would be on the floor a lot against Spivak potentially)...But we'll see in time.
 
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I think Spivak got a shot of being a lot better than just a gatekeeper, especially at HW; I think for example he can beat Volkov, who has been close to top 5 for a while(and Tai is ranked #3, who would be on the floor a lot against Spivak potentially)...But we'll see in time.

For sure but id rather see Gane or Pavlovich dominate. Spivak lost his aura. Too many losses

Sergey has 1x loss as a noob to a seasoned Overeem. If he goes on a tear and wins the belt he will be HW GOAT.

I also like Gane for this reason he could easily avenge his 1 loss and then go on a tear.

To me GOAT aura is greater in a fighter who never lost or even who only lost 1x
 
He is a beast. A given how horrible HW division is he should be top5.
 
Should have an L vs Espino

Judges got confused after the long break in round 3
 
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