2025: A Year of Cursed Title Fights?

WoozyFailGuy

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It's felt like a boring year when it comes to who is grabbing gold for the most part. Even with the rise of the likes of Topuria knocking out competition in title fights and Poatan enacting his marauding vengeance, this year has been...a weird one for the UFC.

DateEventLocationWeight ClassFightMethodRoundTime
Jan 18, 2025UFC 311Inglewood, CA, USABantamweightMerab Dvalishvili (c) def. Umar NurmagomedovDecision (unanimous) (48–47, 48–47, 49–46)55:00
Jan 18, 2025UFC 311Inglewood, CA, USALightweightIslam Makhachev (c) def. Renato MoicanoSubmission (brabo choke)14:05
Feb 9, 2025UFC 312Sydney, AustraliaWomen's StrawweightZhang Weili (c) def. Tatiana SuarezDecision (unanimous) (49–46, 49–46, 49–45)55:00
Feb 9, 2025UFC 312Sydney, AustraliaMiddleweightDricus du Plessis (c) def. Sean StricklandDecision (unanimous) (50–45, 50–45, 49–46)55:00
Mar 8, 2025UFC 313Las Vegas, NV, USALight HeavyweightMagomed Ankalaev def. Alex Pereira (c)Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 48–47, 48–47)55:00
Apr 12, 2025UFC 314Miami, FL, USAFeatherweightAlexander Volkanovski def. Diego LopesDecision (unanimous) (48–47, 49–46, 49–46)55:00
May 10, 2025UFC 315Montreal, QC, CanadaWomen's FlyweightValentina Shevchenko (c) def. Manon FiorotDecision (unanimous) (48–47, 48–47, 48–47)55:00
May 10, 2025UFC 315Montreal, QC, CanadaWelterweightJack Della Maddalena def. Belal Muhammad (c)Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 48–47, 49–46)55:00
Jun 7, 2025UFC 316Newark, NJ, USAWomen's BantamweightJulianna Peña (c) def. Kayla HarrisonSubmission (kimura)24:55
Jun 7, 2025UFC 316Newark, NJ, USABantamweightMerab Dvalishvili (c) def. Sean O'MalleySubmission (north-south choke)34:42
Jun 28, 2025UFC 317Las Vegas, NV, USAFlyweightAlexandre Pantoja (c) def. Kai Kara-FranceSubmission (rear-naked choke)31:54
Jun 28, 2025UFC 317Las Vegas, NV, USALightweightIlia Topuria def. Charles OliveiraKO (punches)12:27
Aug 16, 2025UFC 319Chicago, IL, USAMiddleweightKhamzat Chimaev def. Dricus du Plessis (c)Decision (unanimous) (50–44, 50–44, 50–44)55:00
Oct 4, 2025UFC 320Las Vegas, NV, USABantamweightMerab Dvalishvili (c) def. Cory SandhagenDecision (unanimous) (49–45, 49–45, 49–46)55:00
Oct 4, 2025UFC 320Las Vegas, NV, USALight HeavyweightAlex Pereira def. Magomed Ankalaev (c)TKO (punches and elbows)11:20
Oct 25, 2025UFC 321Abu Dhabi, UAEWomen's StrawweightVirna Jandiroba def. Mackenzie DernDecision (unanimous) (48–47, 48–47, 49–46)55:00
Oct 25, 2025UFC 321Abu Dhabi, UAEHeavyweightTom Aspinall (c) vs. Ciryl GaneNC (accidental eye poke)14:35
Nov 15, 2025UFC 322New York City, NY, USAWomen's FlyweightValentina Shevchenko (c) def. Zhang WeiliDecision (unanimous) (50–45, 50–45, 50–45)55:00
Nov 15, 2025UFC 322New York City, NY, USAWelterweightIslam Makhachev def. Jack Della Maddalena (c)Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 50–45, 50–45)55:00

With Yan vs Merab rounding out the year, I will take the liberty of counting their upcoming fight as a decision regardless of which way it goes, as this makes it an even 20 title fights and the numbers easier.

This gives us 13/20 title fights going to the cards, or 65%.
Out of the finishes we have the following:
  • Overmatched short notice Moicano choked out
  • Kayla Harrison tearing off (arguably overmatched) Pena's arm
  • Merab North South vs O'Maller (great finish)
  • Pantoja RNC vs Kai Kara France, more or less expected, Pantoja by RNC is close to being a meme
  • Topuria KO vs Chucky Olives :(
  • Poatan execution of Ankalaev
  • ...Tom's NC against Gane...
Out of these we can eliminate both the NC of course as well as the finishes against overmatched opponents such as Moicano and Pena (sorry to the two Pena fans), leaving us with...4 real finishes in title fights this year, or about one every three months.

The finishing rate in title fights even including the fudgy ones has dipped down to around 33% compared to 50-75% in previous years.

What is happening? Are the matchups just better leading to less finishes? Are champions becoming "safe"?
Was it just a wonky year of matchups?
Will this improve in the Paramount era? Should we give fighters brass knuckles?
 
That decision rate is absolutely brutal, especially given how one sided most of those fights were.
 
That decision rate is absolutely brutal, especially given how one sided most of those fights were.
I feel like that has also made this year especially a slog. Fights like Khamzat/DDP and Islam/Jack just kind of suck the life out of a fight fan, though admittedly Islam was much, much more entertaining than Khamzat and Jack put up much more of a fight than DDP.

We had 4 spectacular KOs last night end up in 50 minutes of grappling dominance, definitely took the wind out of everyone's sails.
I like grappling, I grapple whenever I can, but man it is not the most entertaining fight to watch and precisely the reason I don't watch any grappling tournaments.
 
100%!
The performance bonuses should be bumped up to $100k as well, we had them at $65k for a while before someone up high decided they needed a new vacation home.
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at least umar vs merab and zhang vs tatiana was a great title fight. i guess there was that lmao
 
Poatan and El Matador bless
Without the two of them...there would not have been a single title fight which ended via strikes this year :eek: :eek: :eek:

at least umar vs merab and zhang vs tatiana was a great title fight. i guess there was that lmao
I agree, I've actually enjoyed all of Merab's fights this year, he's in his flow-groove season and I hope he keeps it up.
 
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I feel like that has also made this year especially a slog. Fights like Khamzat/DDP and Islam/Jack just kind of suck the life out of a fight fan, though admittedly Islam was much, much more entertaining than Khamzat and Jack put up much more of a fight than DDP.

We had 4 spectacular KOs last night end up in 50 minutes of grappling dominance, definitely took the wind out of everyone's sails.
I like grappling, I grapple whenever I can, but man it is not the most entertaining fight to watch and precisely the reason I don't watch any grappling tournaments.
I feel robbed because 12-6 elbows really opened up the ground and pound and we have been seeing real damage done from that half guard position now.
People are getting busted up from there and having to move which creates more action, but Shev and Islam went Prime lay and pray and actively settled into there to grind out rounds.

I knew it was going to happen with Shev vs Weili and I am done watching Shev fight now because she doesn't need to do it.

Islam might still win me back if he goes out and actually tries to do something next fight. He can do it when he gets pushed hard. If he grinds Usman out like JDM I will just catch the fight on replay and watch for technical tips. It's becoming hard to justify wasting a day at home to watch the equivalent of a local grappling tournament, let alone pay for the card to watch it live. It really makes you appreciate Khabibs ground and pound and even repeat takedowns in his fights.
 
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