3u Roan Carneiro/Derek Brunson Under 2½ -140*
2u Tatsuya Kawajiri/Dennis Bermudez Over 2½ -150*
2u Brunson wins inside distance -135*
2u parlay:
Roan Carneiro/Derek Brunson Under 2½ -130*
Oluwale Bamgbose/Daniel Sarafian Under 1½ -150*
3u parlay:
Derek Brunson -370*
Marion Reneau -175*
The hail mary (1u):
Dennis Bermudez -340
Joe Riggs/Chris Camozzi Over 2½ -155
Jonavin Webb -245
Marion Reneau -175
Fight won’t go 5 round distance -265
Fight won’t go 3 round distance -180 (Carneiro / Brunson)
Singles
Garcia: $7.50 to win $7.14 Loss
Carneiro/Brunson ITD: $5 to win $3.85 $8.85
Abdurahimov: $5 to win $3.57 $8.57
Anthony Smith: $5 to win $3.33 $8.33
Mendes/Garbrandt ITD: $5 to win $2.38 $7.38
Campos: $3.75 to win $7.50 $11.25 Krause: $3.75 to win $2.50 $5.25 Kimbo: $3.75 to win $2.34 $6.09
Newton: $3.75 to win $2.78 Loss
Kawijiri (+3.5): $2.50 to win $4.25 $6.75
Pineda: $2.50 to win $3.25 Loss
Riggs (+3.5): $2.50 to win $2.38 Loss
Ramm: $1.25 to win $2.25 Loss
Moreno: $1.25 to win $2 Loss
Castillo: $1.25 to win $1.88 Loss
Risk of $53.25 $62.47
Parlays
Field over Spieth (Pebble) + Cerrone: $6.25 to win $3.67 $9.92
Field over Rose (Pebble) + Shamrock: $6.25 to win $4.57 Loss Field over Johnson (Northern) + Moraes + Sarafian/Bamgboose ITD: $5 to win $2.66 $7.66
Field over Mickelson (Pebble) + Moraes + Kimbo/Dada under 1.5: $3.75 to win $2.42 Loss Not Evans-Smith ITD + Cerrone (-3.5): $3.75 to win $3.53 $7.28
Field over McIlroy (Northern) + Valiev + Yager: $3.75 to win $2.39 Loss
Field over McIlroy (Northern) + Kimbo + Webb: $2.50 to win $2.42 Loss
Murphy + Webb: $2.50 to win $2.05 Loss
Campos/Guillard ITD + Cerrone/Oliveira ITD: $1.25 to win $1.30 $2.55
Risk of $35 $27.41
RISK OF $88.75 $89.88
TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $193.25 Running Profit = $28.25 (Approximate ROI for year 5.78%)
TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2014: $29 into $2742.43 Total Profit = $2723.44 (Approximate ROI: 12.6945%)
ufn 83Risk: 1,964.50
cerrone -260: 520 for 200 / RD 3: 10 for 59.90 / DEC: 40 for 100 / oliveira
brunson ITD: 108 for 100 / carneiro
mendes SUB: 30 for 195 / NOT garbrandt ITD: 79.50 for 50
kawajiri DEC: 33 for 148.50 / bermudez
riggs DEC: 50 for 187.50 / camozzi no scorecards: 100 parlays
krause -155: 155 for 100 / krause no scorecards: 300 for 200 / campbell DEC: 25 for 103.75
strickland DEC: 50 for 173 / O2.5: 125 for 100 / garcia
sarafian ITD: 124 for 100 / bamgbose
guimares +180: 50 for 90 / smith
webb SUB: 25 for 107.50 / coy
reneau SUB: 50 for 160 / evanssmith
murphy RD 2: 25 for 181.25 / murphy RD 3: 15 for 198.75 / murphy no scorecards: 50 parlay / faszholz
hamilton +105: 50 for 52.50
props
parlays
50 for 38.49 camozzi no scorecards -272 & murphy no scorecards -340
50 for XX camozzi no scorecards -272 & TBD
---
prolly waiting for weigh-ins before i finalize things at this point. still might hedge cerrone. lotta risk on krause, but i just don't think campbell finishes him. prolly gonna bet reneau, just haven't yet.
lol, 2 hours later i have $2k on this event, some medium bets and then a lot of small bets on dogs
Oliveira $50 to win $123
Carneiro $50 to win $163
Mendes $50 to win $150
Kawajiri $50 to win $150
Riggs $50 to win $110
Krause $200 to win $133
Strickland $200 to win $204
Garcia/Strickland o2.5 $400 to win $242
Sarafian $400 to win $200
Guimares $100 to win $125
Webb $300 to win $121
Hamilton $200 to win $196
Hamilton: $ 8 to win $ 8. Lost Serafian: $ 30 to win $ 22,50. Lost
Smith + Cody: $ 9 to win $ 9.56.
reneau + Camozzi/Riggs over 2.5: $ 10 to win $ 14.80. Lost
Bermudez + Brunson + Cerrone: $ 20 to win $ 23.87
Cerrone: $ 150 to win $ 52,50
$ 227 of risk over a $ 277 BR. YOLO. Won $ 37,93
New BR: $ 314,93.
Hope you had a good evening guys. Im going to sleep.
Hamilton Shamil over 1.5, both girl fights over 2.5, Sarafian Bamg under 1.5, Camozzi Riggs over 2.5, Brunson Carneiro under 2.5, Cowboys under 2.5, Krause Campbell over 2.5, Bermudez dec, Garcia dec. £20 for £11680.
UFC FN 83 bets:
Alex Oliveira vs Donald Cerrone: Donald Cerrone @1.39 (5units)
Dennis Bermudez vs Tatsuya Kawajiri: Dennis Bermudez @1.33 (2,4units)
Cody Garbrandt vs Augusto Mendes: Cody Garbrandt @1.30 (8units)
Roan Carneiro vs Derek Brunson: Roan Carneiro @4.35 (0,5units)
Oluwale Bamgbose vs Daniel Sarafian: Oluwale Bamgbose @ 2.70 (1unit)
Cody Garbrandt vs Augusto Mendes: Garbrandt wins by TKO/KO @2.20 (1unit)
PARLAY: @1.59 (7,5unit)
Dennis Bermudez - Tatsuya Kawajiri: Dennis Bermudez @1.25
Cody Garbrandt - Augusto Mendes: Cody Garbrandt @1.27
Cerrone -280
Cerrone by sub +220
Cerrone rd 3 +650
Olivera rd 1 +1100
Brunson SU in parlays -350 to -380
Brunson by KO/TKO +220
Mendes by sub +550
Mendes by dec +925
Bermudez -300 in parlays
Bermudez by dec +125 (Big on this one)
Bermudez/Kawajiri over 2.5 (Big)
Webb -220
Krause no scorecards -170 (Pretty big)
Riggs/Camozzi over 2.5 -165
Riggs pts handicap +3.5 -105
Riggs by dec +300
Bamgose/Sarafian does not start rd 2 +105
Sarafian by sub +180
Strickland/Garcia goes distance -140
Strickland by dec +275
Renau by sub +340
Fasholz pts handicap +3.5 at +115
Murphy in rd 2 +750
Murphy in rd 3 +1350
Hamilton by dec +550
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