Your Official UFN 120 Bets | Page 2

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Nov 6, 2017.

  1. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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    UFN 120 Risk $2621.25

    Dustin Poirier (+100) vs Anthony Pettis $100.00 for $100.00
    Dustin Poirier/Anthony Pettis Over 2½ (-120) $120.00 for $100.00

    Diego Sanchez +3½ points (+165) vs Matt Brown $100.00 for $165.00
    Diego Sanchez/Matt Brown Over 2½ (+135) $100.00 for $135.00

    Andrei Arlovski (+280) vs Junior Albini $100.00 for $280.00
    Andrei Arlovski wins by TKO/KO (+486) $25.00 for $121.50

    Cezar Ferreira/Nate Marquardt Under 1½ (+170) $100.00 for $170.00

    Raphael Assuncao/Matthew Lopez Over 2½ (-250) $187.50 for $75.00

    Clay Guida (-125) vs Joe Lauzon $375.00 for $300.00

    Marlon Moraes (-115) vs John Dodson $345.00 for $300.00

    Viviane Pereira/Tatiana Suarez Under 2½ (+185) $100.00 for $185.00

    Sage Northcutt (-160) vs Michel Quinones $480.00 for $300.00
    Sage Northcutt wins by submission (+650) $25.00 for $162.50

    Nina Ansaroff (+167) vs Angela Hill $100.00 for $167.00

    Court McGee/Sean Strickland Over 2½ (-235) $176.25 for $75.00

    Jake Collier/Marcel Fortuna Over 1½ (-190) $95.00 for $50.00

    Darren Stewart/Karl Roberson Under 2½ (-145) $72.50 for $50.00

    Clay Guida/Joe Lauzon FOTN award winner (+600) $20.00 for $120.00
     
    #21
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  2. Antagonist88 Green Belt

    Antagonist88
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    1.466u Brown/Diego u2.5 -110
    3.2u Marquardt/Mutante o1.5 -160 (May hedge)
    7u Guida +110
    0.66u Guida DEC +180
    0.15u Guida R3
    3u Lauzon NSC -160
    1u Lauzon SUB +541
    5.4u Dodson -120
    0.75u Dodson DEC +235
    0.25u Dodson TKO/KO +515
    1.66u Moraes DEC +180 (effectively 2.5u Dodson)
    3.6u Suarez/Viv o2.5 -135
    0.66u Suarez SUB +296
    0.66u Quinones +165
    2.8u Hill/Nina o2.5 -210
    0.33u Nina DEC +300
    0.133u Nina SUB +850

    Plus some parlays. TOTAL RISK: Around 35u. More than I realized, but a lot of it is in hedges
     
    #22
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  3. And White Belt

    And
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    Added:

    Ansaroff Dec. +350 0.4u
     
    #23
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  4. stretcharmstrong Blue Belt

    stretcharmstrong
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    1u - Pettis @2.00
    0.5u - Arlovski ITD @5.00
    0.5u - Pettis/Moraes/Guida/Sage @12.00
    1.2u - Assuncao/Lopez GTD @1.83
     
    #24
  5. Polarize Green Belt

    Polarize
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    -7u last event.
    ---------

    2.25u Roberson (1.44)
    1u Quinones (2.40)
    0.5u Ansaroff (2.62)
    2u Pettis (2.00)

    2.5u Ansaroff-Hill DEC (1.57)
    0.5u Ferreira DEC (2.75)
    0.75u Fortuna ITD (2.30)

    parlays:
    0.5u Roberson/Ansaroff-Hill DEC (2.26)
    0.5u Roberson/Mcgee-Strickland o2.5 (2.10)
    1u Ansaroff-Hill DEC/ Mcgee-Strickland o2.5 (2.28)
     
    #25
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  6. t6p Purple Belt

    t6p
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    2u Pettis NSC -129 -2u

    0.4u Arlovski +285 +1.14u
    0.2u Arlovski NSC +322 0u
    0.1u Arvolski KO +495 -0.1u

    0.2u Marquardt KO +605 -0.2u

    1u Assuncao-Lopez GTD -180 -1u
    0.5u Lopez +315 -0.5u

    1u Guida +110 +1.1u
    1u Guida-Lauzon o2.5 -150 -1u
    0.2u Lauzon SUB +541 -0.2u
    0.05u Guida RD3 +1800 -0.05u

    1u Moraes-Dodson GTD -185 +0.54u
    1u Dodson NSC -112 0u
    0.5u Moraes DEC +190 +0.95u

    3u Northcutt -160 +1.875u
    0.1u Northcutt SUB +875 -0.1u

    1u Ansaroff NSC +150 0u
    0.1u Ansaroff SUB +1010 -0.1u

    0.5u Fortuna ITD +148 -0.5u
    0.2 Fortuna KO +430 -0.2u
    0.1u Collier DEC +655 +0.655u

    0.2u Fortuna/Northcutt/Moraes/Guida/Pettis -0.2u

    0.8u RR (3s,4s,5) Fortuna ITD/Northcutt ITD/Moraes DEC/Guida DEC/Pettis ITD -0.8u
    1.3u RR (2s,3s,4s,5) Ansaroff DEC/Suarez SUB/Lopez/Ferriera DEC/Brown DEC -0.72u

    Live:
    0.3u Quinones +1000 -0.3u
    0.1u Lopez +850 -0.1u
    0.5u Pettis +350 -0.5u

    NET: -2.31u

    Meh, whatever. I can't catch a break. Beyond frustrated at this point.
     
    #26
    Last edited: Nov 13, 2017
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  7. piglord Brown Belt

    piglord
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    got a bit reckless, should have just stuck to my main plays. whatever, a small win is better than a loss.

    WINS

    Roberson, northcutt, suarez £75 returns £229

    Moraes £75 returns £165

    Cezar, guida £102 returns £303

    LOSSES

    Lopez £50 returns £200

    Hill dec, moraes dec, guida dec £15 returns £210

    Hill dec, northcutt r1, moraes dec, arlovski r1, pettis ko £5 returns £5346

    Lauzon r1 £10 returns £80

    Marquardt £50 returns £118

    Roberson, northcutt, suarez, moraes, guida, cezar, albini, brown, pettis £10 returns £454

    Brown, pettis £100 returns £250

    PROFIT: £205
     
    #27
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  8. Antagonist88 Green Belt

    Antagonist88
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    Up abut 4u in total. Not out of last week's hole, but I'll take it and move on to the next week
     
    #28
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  9. MT6ix Yellow Belt

    MT6ix
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    3 out of 3. Up 3 units on the night.
     
    #29
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  10. Obsidian Fracture No sunshine when it's on

    Obsidian Fracture
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    Hit all 3 of these, but had other bets that didn't go my way. Ended up down ~$20 = 0.5U
     
    #30
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  11. And White Belt

    And
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    Pettis ML -105 2u -2u

    Brown-Sanchez GTD +162 0.5u -0.5u
    Sanchez (SC=NA) +489 0.3u -0.3u

    Sanchez R3 +2525 0.1u -0.1u

    Not Albini ITD +164 1u +1.64u
    Arlovski ML +275 0.4u +1.1u
    Albini-Arlovski GTD +350 0.2u +0.7u

    Arlovski R1 +800 0.1u -0.1u

    Marquardt ITD +510 0.2u -0.2u
    Marquardt R3 +2500 0.1u -0.1u


    Assunçao -3.5 -125 0.5u +0.4u
    Assunçao ITD +329 0.3u +0.987u
    Assunçao R3 +1600 0.1u +1.6u


    Guida ML -108 2u +1.852u
    Guida (SC=NA) +270 1u +2.7u
    Guida-Lauzon ends ITD +165 1u +1.65u
    Guida -3.5 +185 0.5u +0.925u

    Lauzon R1 +700 0.5u -0.5u
    Guida Sub +1480 0.2u -0.2u
    Guida R3 +2300 0.1u -0.1u


    Moraes ML +100 1u +1u

    Suarez ITD +197 0.3u -0.3u
    Suarez Sub +335 0.2u -0.2u

    Pereira (SC=NA) +375 0.15u

    Northcutt ITD +191 0.5u -0.5u
    Northcutt -3.5 +110 0.5u +0.55u
    Northcutt (SC=NA) -128 0.5u

    Ansaroff ML +165 1u +1.65u
    Ansaroff (SC=NA) +162 1u
    Ansaroff Dec. +350 0.4u +1.4u
    Ansaroff Sub +950 0.1u -0.1u

    Total: +12.304u
     
    #31
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  12. AxeMurderer Orange Belt

    AxeMurderer
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    UFN 120 +265
    win - McGee/Strickland O2.5 $50 to win $25
    win - Northcutt $165 to win $96
    loss - Lopez/Assuncao O2.5 & Guida/Lauzon O2.5 Parlay $150 to win $201
    loss - Suarez wins by submission $30 to win $90
    win - Moraes / Dodson goes 3 round distance $50 to win $22
    win - Moraes wins by 3 round decision $25 to win $42
    loss - Guida wins by 3 round decision $50 to win $67
    win - Assuncao wins inside distance $50 to win $157
    win - Raphael Assuncao $25 to win $8
    loss - Matthew Lopez $5 to win $42
    win - Poirier / Pettis ITD $185 to win $100
    win - Sanchez / Brown ITD $185 to win $100
    loss - Junior Albini $50 to win $23

    not bad. fun night of fights. I will take it
     
    #32
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  13. Sadistics Blue Belt

    Sadistics
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    Up about 12u, needed that after last week.

    Live-bets:
    Screenshot_20171112-020654.jpg
     
    #33
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  14. Gugabe Yellow Belt

    Gugabe
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    5.14u profit on Sherdog picks, 15u on my tipping site picks and 23u including some live action and a few long shots.
     
    #34
  15. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    Man, I liked your plays yesterday, too

    I genuinely don't see a bad bet there. I really don't. Chin up.. you put yourself in some good spots. Your only mistake was passing on some other opportunities, I think, and that's somewhat fixable
     
    #35
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  16. NorthernLights Orange Belt

    NorthernLights
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    3u Lauzon/Guida Winner by decision - 1.83
    2u Pettis - 1.80

    0.5u Brown/Sanchez u1.5 - 2.10
    0.5u Brown KO/TKO - 1.76
    0.5u Moraes DEC - 2.50
    0.5u Ansaroff - 2.70

    0.5u Assuncao/Lopez FGTD - 1.83
    0.3u Lauzon R1 - 8.00
    0.25u Pettis ITD - 2.40

    0.2u Collier DEC - 6.50
    0.2u Lotto Parlays
    0.2u Fortuna SUB - 3.75

    0.1u Ansaroff DEC - 4.50
    0.1u Arlovski DEC - 9.50
    0.5u Arlovski - 3.83
    0.5u Ferreira DEC - 2.75
    0.05u Assuncao R3 - 17.00
    0.05u Pettis R3 - 12.00
    0.05u Pettis R4 - 19.00


    Live bets:
    1u Pettis - 4.33
    1u Pettis/Poirier ends ITD - 1.40
    1u Arlovski - 1.90
    1u Ferreira - 1.80
    0.5u Ansaroff DEC - 2.10

    0.2u Suarez ITD - 1.90

    Total: +2.12u

    Weird night for me...I made a lot of small plays that paid off but lost the big ones. I actually had 3u on Guida ML but bought out of it because I thought a decision could go either way (and Guida won't finish Lauzon anyway, RIGHT GUYS?!!) and the Ohmbet line for "Winner by decision" was way better than the over or FGTD and blablabla. Lost quite a bit on Pettis too, but I still feel like livebetting him was the right move given how many risks Poirier was taking. But a win is a win! Moving on to the next one.
     
    #36
  17. t6p Purple Belt

    t6p
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    Thanks man. I'm gonna take a hard look at some of my numbers this week and see if I can make some small tweaks. That's four straight losing events, worst run since I started tracking. One thing I know for sure is that my live betting SUCKS. I liked the prices on Ansaroff, Mutante and AA between rounds, but didn't pull the trigger on any of them.
     
    #37
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  18. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    UFN 120 Net: +455.75
    poirier +129: 210 for 270 / poirier DEC: 21 parlays / O4.0: 21 parlays / pettis SUB: 9 parlays / pettis NSC: 145 for 100
    sanchez: 21 parlays / sanchez DEC: 9 parlays / sanchez ITD: 7 parlays / sanchez SUB: 15 for 210 / sanchez RD3: 10 for 262.50 / sanchez +3.5: 39 parlays

    AA +285: 50 for 142.50 - 21 parlays / AA DEC: 25 for 237.50 - 7 parlays / DEC: 9 parlays / O1.5: 50 for 70 - 21 parlays
    mutante -130: 207.50 for 160
    / mutante SUB: 9 parlays / marquardt KO: 30 for 195 - 7 parlays / marquardt NSC: 9 parlays
    lopez +443: 150 for 665 - 21 parlays / lopez DEC: 33 for 151.14 - 16 parlays / lopez +3.5: 39 parlays / DEC: 90 for 50 / O2.5: 90 for 50
    lauzon -120: 120 for 100 / lauzon ITD: 9 parlays / lauzon RD1: 7 parlays / lauzon NSC: 431.25 for 250 / O2.5: 77.50 for 50
    / RD1: 25 for 103 / guida DEC: 85 for 146 - 18 parlays / guida RD3: 15 for 240
    moraes +110: 353.75 for 390 / moraes DEC: 50 for 95 - 18 parlays / dodson KO: 9 parlays / dodson NSC: 182.50 for 125 - 21 parlays
    suarez DEC: 18 parlays / suarez SUB: 75 for 267.50 - 21 parlays / pereira DEC: 25 for 100 - 18 parlays
    northcutt -165: 165 for 100 / northcutt DEC: 35 for 86.80 - 21 parlays / northcutt SUB: 40 for 303.80 - 7 parlays / northcutt RD1: 9 parlays / ITD: 50 for 52.50
    ansaroff DEC: 21 parlays / ansaroff SUB: 7 parlays / ansaroff NSC: 21 parlays / hill DEC: 18 parlays
    strickland ITD: 18 parlays
    / strickland NSC: 383.75 for 250 / O2.5: 97.50 for 50
    collier +220: 50 for 110 - 21 parlays / collier DEC: 20 for 131 - 7 parlays / DEC: 18 parlays / O1.5: 82.50 for 50

    stewart: 21 parlays / stewart DEC: 9 parlays / NOT roberson ITD: 70 for 50
    props
    FOTN: lauzon-guida: 25 for 200

    parlays
    56 RR for (paid +124.44) 3,135.98: poirierDEC/ sanchez/ AA/ lopez/ suarezSUB/ northcuttDEC/ ansaroffDEC/ collier
    49 RR for (paid -45.50) 605.56: poirierpettisO4.0/ sanchez+3.5/ AAalbiniO1.5/ lopez+3.5/ dodsonNSC/ ansaroffNSC/ stewart
    31.50 RR for 767.06: pettisSUB/ AAalbiniDEC/ mutanteSUB/ lopezDEC/ dodsonKO/ pereiraDEC/ stricklandITD

    28 RR for (paid +35.11) 1,531.69: 28 RR for sanchezITD/ AADEC/ marqKO/ lopezDEC/ jlauRD1/ northcuttSUB/ ninaSUB/ collierDEC
    21 RR for 2,114.22: sanchezDEC/ marqNSC/ jlauITD/ pereiraDEC/ northcuttRD1/ stricklandITD/ stewartDEC
    42 RR for (paid -24.85) 509.89: sanchez+3.5/ lopez+3.5/ guidaDEC/ moraesDEC/ suarezDEC/ hillDEC/[ collierfortunaDEC

    ---

    J-lau result really hurts, man. just making a point to stay even keel emotionally and what-not these days.

    onto next week.
     
    #38

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