Your Official UFN 109 Bets

4.25 units Till + Munhoz + Cirk @ -110

0.75 units Munhoz +Cirk @ +120

0.1 units Razak + Till @ +150

0.7 units Sobotta @ +100

0.5 units Till + Musoke over + Munhoz + Taleb + Cirk @ +200

0.2 units on a 9 leg (i think) lotto @ +3500 but can't be arsed to type it out.

This is the most i've ever committed money wise to a card. Gonna be sweating my damn balls off.

I'm done except I might add to Sobotta. Probably wise to wait and see if i need Cirk to close everything. If so i will prob add, if not i will prob add cos I'm chasing so yeah more will be added to Sob!
 
$40/$100
smith/comozzi over 2.5 -245
circunov inside distance -167
gus/glover starts round 3 -178
 
Till + Cirkunov for 1k (about 90u lol)

parlay.jpg
 
1.5u Till, Cirk ITD + Camozzi ITD = 9u

0.5u Taleb DEC, Held/Had to go distance, Smith/Cammozi doesn't go distance = 4.5u

0.5u Musoke DEC, Sobotta ITD, Taleb DEC = 9.4u

0.1u Glover ITD, Madadi ITD, Sobotta, Hermansson ITD, Akhmedov, Errol Spence(boxing, Groves (boxing) = 167u

Good luck guys
 
Teixera +230 1.5u
Teixera/Gus O2.5 -125 1u
Teixera NSC +253 .5u
Teixera +5.5 points +155 .5u
Teixera Split DEC +1460 .1u

Cirkunov -260 6.5u
Cirkunov RD3 +800 .3u

Sobotta +100 1u
Sobotta DEC +230 .3u

Alhassan KO -140 1u
Alhassan/Akhmedov ends within 1st minute +455 .2u
Alhassan/Akhmedov U0.5rds .2u

Taleb DEC -125 .5u

Munhoz RD1 +250 .5u
Munhoz ITD -120 .5u
Munhoz SUB +180 .5u
Munhoz/Stasiak U2.5 +120 .5u

Smith +185 1u
Smith/Cammozi O2.5 -140 3.5u
Smith DEC +375 .5u

Madadi RD3 +2525 .1u
Madadi DEC +210 .5u

Musoke -130 1u
Musoke/Velickovic O2.5 -158 5u
Musoke NSC -121 2u
Musoke DEC +175 .5u

Till RD1 +300 .5u
Till KO +180 .5u

Hadzovic +260 .5u
Hadzovic RD3 +2400 .1u
Hadzovic +3.5 +145 .5u

Munhoz -476 + Taleb -434 + Cirkunov -370 2u for 1.8u

Munhoz -450 + Till -300 + Taleb -300 2u for 2.2u

Munhoz -450 + Musoke -120 1u for 1.2u

Nicholson NSC -138 + Cammozi NSC -227 1u for 1.5u

Munhoz -3.5 -425 + Nicholson +3.5 -205 + Alhassan NSC -370 1u for 1.3u

Cirkunov -300 + Torres -270 (won) + Munhoz -490 + Till -350 .75u for 2u

Cirkunov + Till + Munhoz + Smith/Cammozi O2.5 + Taleb + Musoke/Velickovic O2.5 .5u for 3u

About 50u wagered, yet I feel good about every bet
 
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3u Till + Cirkunov - 1.75
2.5u Hermansson - 1.85
1u Saunders - 1.94
1u GT o 37.5 sig. strikes - 1.87
0.75u Gus DEC - 4.25
0,75u Velickovic/Musoke o2.5 - 1.65
0.5u Alhassan/Akhmedov o1.5 - 2.25
0.5u Madadi/Silva o2.5 + Velickovic/Musoke o2.5 - 2,01
0.5u Madadi - 2.62
0.5u Cirkunov ITD - 1.62
0.5u Gus/GT o2.5 + Till ITD + Madadi/Silva o2.5 - 4.95
0.5u Till ITD - 2.20
0.25u Madadi DEC - 3.15
0.25u Akhmedov DEC - 8.00
0.25u Taleb ITD - 2.80
0,1u Gus R4 - 17.00
0,1u Gus R5 - 21.00
 
$7 on Texeira to win $17.8
$5 on Enkamp to win $18.75
$5 on Akhmedov to win $10

Let them dogs bark. Good luck to all.
 
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$7 on Texeira to win $17.8
$5 on Enkamp to win $18.75
$5 on Akhmedov to win $10

Let them dogs bark. Good luck to all.
Kaffe! I remember you. Havent seen you in awhile. How ya been bud?
 
1.5 Till itd
.2u Stasiak

All I got so far. Probably won't be playing much on this card.
 
No strong picks. Mainly just practicing u/o and prop hedges, line movement predictions, choosing the opening side to lb, parlay insurances etc. My first rr got out of hand. It was supposed to be 0.1u total, not per parlay.

Gus - Tex un dec 0.5u 3.75
Gustafson not ITD 1u 1.76
Teixeira 1u 3.4
Teixeira 0u for 1.5u
Teixeira sub 0.1u 11.75
Cirk - Volk o1.5 0.5u 1.9 P
Akhmedov 0.75u 3.0
Akhmedov dec 0.25u 6.5
Saunders 1u 1.95 5d
Saunders - Sabotta 0.5u o2.5
Taleb 1u 1.43
Taleb sub 0.1u 17.0
Nicholson 0.25u 2.55
Velickovic 0.25u 2.55
Velickovic R3 0.05u 21.0
Musoke - Velickovic o2.5 0.5u
Madadi 0.5 2.4
Madadi - Silva u2.5 0.1u 2.8
Ayari 0.25u 4.1
Ayari itd 0.1u 16.00
Hadzovic 0.25u 3.75

Ayari - Till u2.5 + Tex +5.5 0.1u
Gus (1.5) + Cirk (1.3) 1u 1,98
Sabotta (2.0) + Cirk (1.25) 0.1u 2.53
Smith - Camozzi o2.5 + Till 0.4u 2.1
Smith (2.75) - Enkamp (3.6) 0.05u 9.9
Velickovic (2.55) + Nicholson (2.55) 0.2u
Gus ITD (2.03) + Sabotta (3.1) dec 0.05u
Hometown undercard sweep RR: Enkamp (3.6) + Hermansson (1.77) + Madadi (2.4) + Musoke (1.74) 0.6 u to win 9.5 u
 
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Kaffe! I remember you. Havent seen you in awhile. How ya been bud?

I've been great. I kinda drifted away from the betting thread for a while due to it becoming a bit too much oriented towards bragging and confrontations. It was great to see that posters such as yourself, EzFlyer, Oblivian and Goodfella were still around. Don't have much time to post in discussions, but always make sure to read your posts about matchups.

Evened out my bets, so now have:

$7 on Texeira to win 17.8
$7 on Enkamp to win $26.25
$7 on Akhmedov to win $14.5
 
Gus dec .5u +385, Starts round 4 .85u -120
Cirk itd .33u -138
Sobotta 1u +120
Omari 1.66u +170
Taleb -3.5 1.2u -185
Munhoz sub .66u +270
Smith dec .33u +310, o2.5 1.35u -145
Bojan/Nico o2.5 1.1u -165
Held/Damir o2.5 1u +100

RR in 4s 7u at risk to win up to 14uish -- Cirk, o2.5 Camozzi/Smith, o2.5 Bojan/Nico, Munhoz -3.5, Till, Gus/Teixera starts round 2, Taleb, Reza/Silva o2.5

Hoping for great live bet and idk why but I have a knack for betting as I go with this early European cards. No doubt plays will be added and plays I already have will end up with greater risk. Smith dec will be added too (wanted it back in the +300s though), maybe Munhoz itd gets added to, Sobotta def gets added to especially if everything is going well. Feel good about this event, would say the only play I wish I could do over is no more than 1u on Omari

EDIT also share my for fun 1u to win 19u round robin in 3s -- Gus dec, Cirk itd, Sobotta dec, Taleb itd, Herm dec, Munhoz sub, Smith dec, Musoke dec, Omari, Reza, Damir/Held o2.5
 
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2u Razak + Till @ 2.55

2u Cirkunov + Munhoz @ 1.96

2u over 2.5 Camozzi + Taleb @ 2.02

2u over 2.5 Musoke-Velickovic @ 1.66

2u over 2.5 Held-Hadzovic @ 2.00

Added :

0.4u Taleb submission @ 17

1u Gus UD @ 4.50

1u Gus Dec @ 3.60

0.2u Hadzovic R3 @ 34

1u Musoke DEC @ 2.40

0.3u - o2.5 Gus, Misha, Sobotta, Al Hassan, Taleb, Munhoz, o2.5 Madadi, o2.5 Musoke, o2.5 Held, o2.5 Camozzi, Till @ 89

0.2u Gus decision + Cox decision + under 9.5 Allen + Brook + Okolie R1 @ 81.5 (last few from boxing)

Long term parlay : 1u Silva,Sobotta,Hermansson,Jones,Overeem,Gastelum,Shevchenko,Holly Holm, Kevin Lee,Tybura @ 118.5
 
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1u Gus/Glover o2.5 @1.72
1u Silva + Gus @2.04
1u Silva + Held @1.96

added 1u more ot Gus/Glover o2.5 @1.72
1u Hermansson @1.72
0.5u Hermansson DEC @2.50

1u Till + Held + Cirkunov + Taleb @2.50
 
UFN 109 Risk: 2,811
GT +250: 50 for 125 - 21 parlays / GT DEC: 10 parlays / GT RD1: 4 parlays / GT +5.5: 100 for 142.50 / GT NSC: 50 for 126.50 / RD4: 13 for 123.50 / RD5: 12 for 144 / gus
cirkunov -229: 457.50 for 200 / cirkunov KO: 30 for 154.50 / cirkunov RD2: 10 parlays / oezdemir
saunders -135: 270 for 200 / saunders DEC: 21 parlays / sobotta
akhmedov +191: 200 for 382.50 - 21 parlays / akhmedov DEC: 30 for 195 - 10 parlays / akhmedov RD3: 4 parlays / alhassan
taleb RD2: 10 parlays / enkamp
hermansson +102: 100 for 101.67 / hermansson NSC: 80 for 99.20 / ITD: 70 for 98 / nicholson
munhoz SUB: 50 for 145 / munhoz RD2: 10 parlays / stasiak
camozzi RD3: 10 for 122.50 - 4 parlays / camozzi NSC: 92.50 for 50 / O2.5; 135 for 100 / smith
madadi DEC: 21 parlays / madadi RD3: 4 parlays / O2.5: 210 for 150 / silva
velickovic +125: 150 for 187.50 / velickovic DEC: 21 parlays / velickovic SUB: 10 for 94 / velickovic RD3: 10 for 200 - 4 parlays / velickovic NSC: 80 for 101.60 / O2.5: 75 for 50 / musoke
till -275: 275 for 100 / till DEC: 21 parlays / ayari +3.5: 50 for 82.50
hadzovic +265: 50 for 132.50 / hadzovic DEC: 10 parlays / hadzovic RD3: 4 parlays / hadzovic +3.5: 50 for 80 - 21 parlays / held
props
FOTN: hermansson-nicholson: 10 for 70
parlays
30 RR for 1,123.46: GTDEC/ CirkRD2/ AkhmedovDEC/ talebRD2/ munhozRD2/ hadzovicDEC
49 RR for 1,435.80: GT/ saundersDEC/ akhmedov/ madadiDEC/ bojanDEC/ tillDEC/ hadzovic+3.5
12 RR for 4,323.20: GTRD1/ akhmedovRD3/ camozziRD3/ madadiRD3/ velickovicRD3/ hadzovicRD3
---

basically set.

i wish i had a lot less on saunders. overbet the openers. only regret at present.

edit: added some dumb RR's and FOTN tiny bet. added camozzi NSC.
 
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.5u Sobotta - DEC@ +230
1u Sobotta - ML@ +100
.2u Omair - DEC@ +550
.5u Omair/Alhassan starts 2 @+100
.25u Omair/Alhassan starts 3 @ +210
1u Smith/Camozzi over 2.5@-165
.25u Enkamp DEC @+604
.25 Enkamp ML @ +310
.25u Munhoz SUB - @+180
.25u Nicholson ML - @+145


Misha/Till/Munhoz - $125 for $108
Misha/Till/Brunson/Tybura/Hendricks - $75 for $261
Sobotta/Till/Tybura/Chiesa - $50 for $316
Sobotta/Till/Cheisa/Gus Unanimous DEC - $20 for $445
Sobotta/Till/Gus Unanimous DEC - $25 for $265


Hail mary parlays -
Misha/Sobotta/Munhoz/Till/Smith-Camozzi over 2.5/Madadi/Silva over 2.5 = $20 for $109
Held/Till/Silva/Munhoz/Nicholas/Sobotta/Misha/Gus - $20 to win $355

That's it for now. I got a lot of parlays riding on Till. Also confident as well.
 
0.5u Teixeira +260
0.5u Teixeira DEC +1160

1.68u Cirkunov -168

0.5u Akhmedov +200

0.3u Nicholson KO +365

0.5u Till/Cirkunov ITD +101
0.5u Till/Silva-Madadi o2.5/Taleb +128
0.55u RR (2s,3s,4) Till ITD/Munhoz SUB/Nicholson-Hermansson ITD/Cirkunov SUB

Smallest I've been on a card in a long time and I still feel like I forced it a bit. I may add another small play or two before the card starts and try to focus on live betting.
 
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Till, razak £185 returns £388

munhoz, cirkunov £320 returns £520

hadzovic £18 returns £69

gustafsson, Holloway, hermansson, cirkunov, sobotta, razak, munhoz, till, smith, hadzovic, taleb £5 (free bet) returns £1549

gustafsson, Holloway, sobotta, razak, till, smith, taleb £20 (free bet) returns £938

Joaquim Silva, Jack Hermansson, Peter Sobotta, Derrick Lewis, Marcin Tybura, Holly Holm, Kevin Lee, Alistair Overeem, Valentina Shevchenko, Kelvin Gastelum, Jon Jones £50 returns £13095

also looking to play sobotta in some capacity.
 
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