your official ufc fight night 127 bets

[mposhtkouhi]

Godbeer easy money

 

[mposhtkouhi]

1-0 godbeer

 

[mposhtkouhi]

god godbeer sucks so bad

 

[hugdeeznuts]

Ray/Edwards
Manuwa/Werdum

 

[mposhtkouhi]

Ray decision easy money

 

[JkMMA]

Ray decision easy money

Fail

 

[Captain Crunch28]

I’m aware this thread is bets only but since it isn’t posted by eZ then all rules go out the door.

Fellas I wanna say one thing to all of you, but specifically after viewing eZ’s bets, I thought “Jesus Christ”... this is wayyyyyy too many bets lol y’all are tryna predict a whole event? Shhhh pick your 1 win of the card and just drill it. All those picks man lol that’s basically betting on predicting a entire event there’s wayyyy too many wayys to lose. Pick 1 (ATMOST 2) fights that ur most confident in please fellas u will learn it’s not that hard to be patient and wait for your fight to start. U will feel better in the end

 

[Sadistics]

I’m aware this thread is bets only but since it isn’t posted by eZ then all rules go out the door.

Fellas I wanna say one thing to all of you, but specifically after viewing eZ’s bets, I thought “Jesus Christ”... this is wayyyyyy too many bets lol y’all are tryna predict a whole event? Shhhh pick your 1 win of the card and just drill it. All those picks man lol that’s basically betting on predicting a entire event there’s wayyyy too many wayys to lose. Pick 1 (ATMOST 2) fights that ur most confident in please fellas u will learn it’s not that hard to be patient and wait for your fight to start. U will feel better in the end

Why limit yourself? Makes no sense when someone says they see big value on one line, but since they already have 2 bets on the card they're passing. The fact that 2 fights are on the same card has no relevance, I look at each fight as it's own event.

Saying that, I got wrecked and am down 6.5u tonight. On the flipside had I done what you said and just bet my 2 most confident bets in Hakeem and Ankalaev I'd be down 10u.

 

[t6p]

0.1u Werdum KO +725 -0.1u

1u Blachowicz +185 +1.85u
0.3u Blachowicz NSC +332 0u
0.1u Blackowicz KO +1050 -0.1u

0.1u Ware ITD +1200 -0.1u

0.1u Craig SUB +1200 +1.2u

NET: +2.75u

Glad I didn't force anything on this card because it wouldn't have gone well. Hopefully others didn't get hurt too bad with these crazy results.

 

[piglord]

got everything wong. like a lot of people i was very confident in ankalaev and dawodu yet they both lost.

feel very salty about ware, hit his dec line hard live bet.

still, i made £517 on helenius dec (which sounds like it was a robbery) so only down £221 for the night. live to fight another day.

WINS

Blachowicz £112 returns £313

Arlovski, volkov £150 returns £1319

LOSSES

Volkov dec £90 returns £540

Volkov dec £20 returns £108

Blachowicz ko £50 returns £600

Blachowicz/manuwa draw £30 returns £2030

Godbeer dec £20 returns £200

Godbeer £40 returns £65

Ray, askin £150 returns £315

Ray, ankalaev, dawodu, sobotta, blachowicz, volkov £50 returns £2856

Dawodu, ankalaev £583 returns £1087

Dawodu £423 returns ?

Encamp £100 returns £250

Encamp £50 returns £118

encamp dec, sobotta, blachowicz, volkov dec £10 returns £2495

Phillips/byrd draw £10 returns £460

Sobotta £112 returns £313

Sobotta, blachowicz £100 returns £687

Sobotta itd £20 returns £220

Ware dec £50 returns £325

Ware dec £100 returns £603

Ware £100 returns £320

NET LOSS: £738

 

[MT6ix]

1u Werdum ML @ -175
1u Blachociwz ML @ +180
1u Byrd ML @ +110
1u Roberts ML @ -157

3/4 for the night. Up just over 2 units.

 

[null]

I’m aware this thread is bets only but since it isn’t posted by eZ then all rules go out the door.

Fellas I wanna say one thing to all of you, but specifically after viewing eZ’s bets, I thought “Jesus Christ”... this is wayyyyyy too many bets lol y’all are tryna predict a whole event? Shhhh pick your 1 win of the card and just drill it. All those picks man lol that’s basically betting on predicting a entire event there’s wayyyy too many wayys to lose. Pick 1 (ATMOST 2) fights that ur most confident in please fellas u will learn it’s not that hard to be patient and wait for your fight to start. U will feel better in the end

Well, I had more bets than anyone including over dozen on one single fight with the co-main event and I cleaned up again. Some of us have a different style than what you are suggesting and it works for us.

 

[Naught2Sixty]

1u jan Blachowicz ML +185
1.5u Blachowicz NSC +230
1.5u NOT Manuwa ITD -150 (Didn't have price on original post but corrected here)
1.75u Werdum ML -175
1.5u Sobotta ML +120
2u Charles Byrd +120
.1u Duqeusnoy by SUB +926
4 team parlay (Hakeem Dawodu -310, Magomed Ankalaev -700, Dmitry Sosnovskiy -280, Nasrat Haqparast -160) to win 1u

1.65u Nasrat Haqparast ML -165
.3u Byrd SUB +376
.5u Phillips Round 1 +335

+2.02u For FN 127

 

[EzFlyer]

UFN 127 Net: +616.39
volkov +168: 75 for 126
blachowicz +175: 150 for 262.50 / blachowicz RD1: 15 for 135 / blachowicz NSC: 150 for 264
duquesnoy -280: 280 for 100 / duquesnoy SUB: 14 for 122.50
sobotta +180: 225 for 405 / sobotta DEC: 35 for 121.80 / edwards SUB: 10 for 225
byrd +100: 75 for 75
enkamp-roberts: nada
henry +230: 75 for 172.50 / henry NSC: 75 for 183.50
craig NSC: 25 for 154.75
ray -170: 127.50 for 75
sosnovskiy-godbeer: nada
haqparast-narimani: nada
parlays
35 RR for 4,432.05: volkovDEC/ blachITD/ sobottaDEC/ byrdDEC/ enkampDEC/ henryDEC/ craigankDEC
21 RR for (paid +37.44) 2,639.26: blachRD1/ duqueSUB/ edwardsSUB/ henryITD/ craigNSC/ raySUB/ haqRD3
42 RR for (paid -33.80) 610.47: werdumSUB/ blachowicz/ duqueITD/ sobotta/ byrdITD/ enkamp/ rayNSC
---

disappointed in myself for not completely passing on the week like i said i would, even tho i took home 4 units. if that makes sense. still down 26 units in 2018, so it's tough to get excited. anyway, see ya in april for the biggie. back to boardgaming 24/7 with my free time.

 

[Jamah]

1.5u Volkov @2.87
1.5u Haqparast @1.61
1.5u Blachowicz @2.80

1u Sobotta @2.80
0.7u Enkamp @2.50

0.1u Blachowicz r1 @15.00
0.1u Blachowicz r2 @19.00
0.1u Blachowicz r3 @29.00

+3.5u Fun event with a lot of finishes.
I was dissapointed when Haqparast fight was cancelled, but I managed to win some units, so it was a good night after all.

 

[null]

Paul Craig getting that last second submission was an unbelievable turn of events which won big for me and Jan Blachowitz really came through in the co-main event with a big upset over Jimi Manuwa. If Jan had finished Manuwa like it appeared he might that would have been a a gigantic win. Even my underdog round robin came well in the positive with three wins, two losses and one cancellation out of six legs. Grand total of 11.38 units profit for the card.

UFN 127 Results Risk $3892.60

Fabricio Werdum (-170) vs Alexander Volkov $170.00 for $100.00= -$170.00
Fabricio Werdum -5½ points (-120) $120.00 for $100.00= -$120.00
Fabricio Werdum/Alexander Volkov starts round 3 (+106) ~$104.00 for ~$110.24= ~$110.24
Fabricio Werdum/Alexander Volkov Over 2½ (-125) $125.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Fabricio Werdum wins by 5 round decision (+355) $40.00 for $142.00= -$40.00
Fabricio Werdum wins by 5 round unanimous decision (+450) ~$24.00 for ~$108.00= -~$24.00
Fabricio Werdum wins by 5 round unanimous decision (+450) $25.00 for $118.75= -$25.00

Jan Blachowicz (+200) vs Jimi Manuwa $200.00 for $400.00= $400.00
Jan Blachowicz +3½ points (-110) $110.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Jan Blachowicz scorecards = no action (+230) $100.00 for $230.00= Cancelled
Jan Blachowicz wins inside distance (+462) $25.00 for $115.50= -$25.00
Jan Blachowicz wins in round 2 (+1400) $15.00 for $210.00= -$15.00
Jan Blachowicz wins in round 3 (+2000) $15.00 for $300.00= -$15.00
Jan Blachowicz wins by submission (+1200) $10.00 for $120.00= -$10.00
Jan Blachowicz wins by submission in round 2 (+5000) ~$8.00 for ~$400.00= -~$8.00
Jan Blachowicz wins by submission in round 3 (+7000) ~$8.00 for ~$560.00= -~$8.00
Jan Blachowicz wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+700) $50.00 for $350.00= -$50.00
Not Jimi Manuwa inside distance (-150) $150.00 for $100.00= $100.00

Tom Duquesnoy/Terrion Ware Over 2½ (-165) $165.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Not Tom Duquesnoy inside distance (-272) $108.80 for $40.00= $40.00
Tom Duquesnoy wins by 3 round decision (+104) $75.00 for $78.00= $78.00

Peter Sobotta (+190) vs Leon Edwards $100.00 for $190.00= -$100.00
Peter Sobotta wins by 3 round decision (+391) $75.00 for $293.25= -$75.00

Charles Byrd (-110) vs John Phillips $220.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Charles Byrd wins by submission (+400) $25.00 for $100.00= $100.00
John Phillips wins in round 1 (+335) $30.00 for $100.50= -$30.00

Oliver Enkamp (+150) vs Danny Roberts $100.00 for $150.00= -$100.00

Hakeem Dawodu (-250) vs Danny Henry $250.00 for $100.00= -$250.00
Hakeem Dawodu wins by TKO/KO (+170) $30.00 for $51.00= -$30.00

Paul Craig (+530) vs Magomed Ankalaev $75.00 for $397.50= $397.50
Paul Craig wins by submission (+1275) $30.00 for $382.50= $382.50
Magomed Ankalaev wins in round 2 (+400) $25.00 for $100.00= -$25.00
Paul Craig/Magomed Ankalaev Under 1½ (+105) $100.00 for $105.00= -$100.00

Kajan Johnson (+160) vs Stevie Ray $100.00 for $160.00= $160.00
Kajan Johnson/Stevie Ray goes 3 round distance (-180) $135.00 for $75.00= $75.00

Dmitriy Sosnovskiy wins in round 1 (+170) $25.00 for $42.50= -$25.00
Dmitriy Sosnovskiy wins by TKO/KO (+100) $50.00 for $50.00= -$50.00
Dmitriy Sosnovskiy/Mark Godbeer Under 1½ (-120) $120.00 for $100.00= -$120.00

Nad Narimani (+145) vs Nasrat Haqparast $100.00 for $145.00= Cancelled
Nad Narimani (+145) vs Nasrat Haqparast $100.00 for $145.00= Cancelled
Nad Narimani wins by 3 round decision (+250) $40.00 for $100.00= Cancelled

Fights to end in KO/TKO over 3½ (-172) $68.80 for $40.00= Cancelled
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 4½ (+162) $25.00 for $40.50= Cancelled
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 5½ (+440) $15.00 for $66.00= Cancelled
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 6½ (+1305) $10.00 for $130.50= Cancelled
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 7½ (+4500) $3.00 for $135.00= Cancelled
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 8½ (+25100) $2.00 for $502.00= Cancelled

Peter Sobotta/Leon Edwards awarded FOTN bonus (+400) ~$16.00 for ~$64.00= -~$16.00

Parlays:
Peter Sobotta (+175) vs Leon Edwards + Jan Blachowicz (+165) vs Jimi Manuwa $25.00 for $157.19= -$25.00
Charles Byrd (-105) vs John Phillips + Jan Blachowicz (+165) vs Jimi Manuwa $25.00 for $104.35= $104.35
Oliver Enkamp (+145) vs Danny Roberts + Jan Blachowicz (+165) vs Jimi Manuwa $25.00 for $137.31= -$25.00
Kajan Johnson (+155) vs Stevie Ray + Jan Blachowicz (+165) vs Jimi Manuwa $25.00 for $143.94= $143.94
Nad Narimani (+145) vs Nasrat Haqparast + Jan Blachowicz (+165) vs Jimi Manuwa $25.00 for $137.31= $41.25
Charles Byrd (-105) vs John Phillips + Peter Sobotta (+175) vs Leon Edwards $25.00 for $109.23= -$25.00
Oliver Enkamp (+145) vs Danny Roberts + Peter Sobotta (+175) vs Leon Edwards $25.00 for $143.44= -$25.00
Kajan Johnson (+155) vs Stevie Ray + Peter Sobotta (+175) vs Leon Edwards $25.00 for $150.31= -$25.00
Nad Narimani (+145) vs Nasrat Haqparast + Peter Sobotta (+175) vs Leon Edwards $25.00 for $143.44= -$25.00
Oliver Enkamp (+145) vs Danny Roberts + Charles Byrd (-105) vs John Phillips $25.00 for $94.58= -$25.00
Kajan Johnson (+155) vs Stevie Ray + Charles Byrd (-105) vs John Phillips $25.00 for $99.46= $99.46
Nad Narimani (+145) vs Nasrat Haqparast + Charles Byrd (-105) vs John Phillips $25.00 for $94.58= $23.81
Kajan Johnson (+155) vs Stevie Ray + Oliver Enkamp (+145) vs Danny Roberts $25.00 for $131.19= -$25.00
Nad Narimani (+145) vs Nasrat Haqparast + Oliver Enkamp (+145) vs Danny Roberts $25.00 for $125.06= -$25.00
Kajan Johnson (+155) vs Stevie Ray + Nad Narimani (+145) vs Nasrat Haqparast $25.00 for $131.19= $38.75
-----
Sub-Total= $1084.56
Sub-Total= ~$54.24

Total Profit= $1138.80

 

[piglord]

UFN 127 Net: +616.39
volkov +168: 75 for 126
blachowicz +175: 150 for 262.50 / blachowicz RD1: 15 for 135 / blachowicz NSC: 150 for 264
duquesnoy -280: 280 for 100 / duquesnoy SUB: 14 for 122.50
sobotta +180: 225 for 405 / sobotta DEC: 35 for 121.80 / edwards SUB: 10 for 225
byrd +100: 75 for 75
enkamp-roberts: nada
henry +230: 75 for 172.50 / henry NSC: 75 for 183.50
craig NSC: 25 for 154.75
ray -170: 127.50 for 75
sosnovskiy-godbeer: nada
haqparast-narimani: nada
parlays
35 RR for 4,432.05: volkovDEC/ blachITD/ sobottaDEC/ byrdDEC/ enkampDEC/ henryDEC/ craigankDEC
21 RR for (paid +37.44) 2,639.26: blachRD1/ duqueSUB/ edwardsSUB/ henryITD/ craigNSC/ raySUB/ haqRD3
42 RR for (paid -33.80) 610.47: werdumSUB/ blachowicz/ duqueITD/ sobotta/ byrdITD/ enkamp/ rayNSC
---

disappointed in myself for not completely passing on the week like i said i would, even tho i took home 4 units. if that makes sense. still down 26 units in 2018, so it's tough to get excited. anyway, see ya in april for the biggie. back to boardgaming 24/7 with my free time.

hey man got any good game recommendations?

 

[raketmannen]

I’m aware this thread is bets only but since it isn’t posted by eZ then all rules go out the door.

Fellas I wanna say one thing to all of you, but specifically after viewing eZ’s bets, I thought “Jesus Christ”... this is wayyyyyy too many bets lol y’all are tryna predict a whole event? Shhhh pick your 1 win of the card and just drill it. All those picks man lol that’s basically betting on predicting a entire event there’s wayyyy too many wayys to lose. Pick 1 (ATMOST 2) fights that ur most confident in please fellas u will learn it’s not that hard to be patient and wait for your fight to start. U will feel better in the end

I place as many bets as possible (40+ per event then a lot more livebets) because I think I'm good enough at recongnizing value. And if I consider myself being better than the bookies/the public, then the more bets I place the more chances I get to win. I know some people like to find 1 or 2 spots and just maxbet them, but any weird thing can happen and then you'd be fucked for the night. I've been very profitable as of yet so no need to change anything

 

[Social Distance Warrior]

Paul Craig getting that last second submission was an unbelievable turn of events which won big for me and Jan Blachowitz really came through in the co-main event with a big upset over Jimi Manuwa. If Jan had finished Manuwa like it appeared he might that would have been a a gigantic win. Even my underdog round robin came well in the positive with three wins, two losses and one cancellation out of six legs. Grand total of 11.38 units profit for the card.

UFN 127 Results Risk $3892.60

Fabricio Werdum (-170) vs Alexander Volkov $170.00 for $100.00= -$170.00
Fabricio Werdum -5½ points (-120) $120.00 for $100.00= -$120.00
Fabricio Werdum/Alexander Volkov starts round 3 (+106) ~$104.00 for ~$110.24= ~$110.24
Fabricio Werdum/Alexander Volkov Over 2½ (-125) $125.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Fabricio Werdum wins by 5 round decision (+355) $40.00 for $142.00= -$40.00
Fabricio Werdum wins by 5 round unanimous decision (+450) ~$24.00 for ~$108.00= -~$24.00
Fabricio Werdum wins by 5 round unanimous decision (+450) $25.00 for $118.75= -$25.00

Jan Blachowicz (+200) vs Jimi Manuwa $200.00 for $400.00= $400.00
Jan Blachowicz +3½ points (-110) $110.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Jan Blachowicz scorecards = no action (+230) $100.00 for $230.00= Cancelled
Jan Blachowicz wins inside distance (+462) $25.00 for $115.50= -$25.00
Jan Blachowicz wins in round 2 (+1400) $15.00 for $210.00= -$15.00
Jan Blachowicz wins in round 3 (+2000) $15.00 for $300.00= -$15.00
Jan Blachowicz wins by submission (+1200) $10.00 for $120.00= -$10.00
Jan Blachowicz wins by submission in round 2 (+5000) ~$8.00 for ~$400.00= -~$8.00
Jan Blachowicz wins by submission in round 3 (+7000) ~$8.00 for ~$560.00= -~$8.00
Jan Blachowicz wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+700) $50.00 for $350.00= -$50.00
Not Jimi Manuwa inside distance (-150) $150.00 for $100.00= $100.00

Tom Duquesnoy/Terrion Ware Over 2½ (-165) $165.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Not Tom Duquesnoy inside distance (-272) $108.80 for $40.00= $40.00
Tom Duquesnoy wins by 3 round decision (+104) $75.00 for $78.00= $78.00

Peter Sobotta (+190) vs Leon Edwards $100.00 for $190.00= -$100.00
Peter Sobotta wins by 3 round decision (+391) $75.00 for $293.25= -$75.00

Charles Byrd (-110) vs John Phillips $220.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Charles Byrd wins by submission (+400) $25.00 for $100.00= $100.00
John Phillips wins in round 1 (+335) $30.00 for $100.50= -$30.00

Oliver Enkamp (+150) vs Danny Roberts $100.00 for $150.00= -$100.00

Hakeem Dawodu (-250) vs Danny Henry $250.00 for $100.00= -$250.00
Hakeem Dawodu wins by TKO/KO (+170) $30.00 for $51.00= -$30.00

Paul Craig (+530) vs Magomed Ankalaev $75.00 for $397.50= $397.50
Paul Craig wins by submission (+1275) $30.00 for $382.50= $382.50
Magomed Ankalaev wins in round 2 (+400) $25.00 for $100.00= -$25.00
Paul Craig/Magomed Ankalaev Under 1½ (+105) $100.00 for $105.00= -$100.00

Kajan Johnson (+160) vs Stevie Ray $100.00 for $160.00= $160.00
Kajan Johnson/Stevie Ray goes 3 round distance (-180) $135.00 for $75.00= $75.00

Dmitriy Sosnovskiy wins in round 1 (+170) $25.00 for $42.50= -$25.00
Dmitriy Sosnovskiy wins by TKO/KO (+100) $50.00 for $50.00= -$50.00
Dmitriy Sosnovskiy/Mark Godbeer Under 1½ (-120) $120.00 for $100.00= -$120.00

Nad Narimani (+145) vs Nasrat Haqparast $100.00 for $145.00= Cancelled
Nad Narimani (+145) vs Nasrat Haqparast $100.00 for $145.00= Cancelled
Nad Narimani wins by 3 round decision (+250) $40.00 for $100.00= Cancelled

Fights to end in KO/TKO over 3½ (-172) $68.80 for $40.00= Cancelled
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 4½ (+162) $25.00 for $40.50= Cancelled
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 5½ (+440) $15.00 for $66.00= Cancelled
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 6½ (+1305) $10.00 for $130.50= Cancelled
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 7½ (+4500) $3.00 for $135.00= Cancelled
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 8½ (+25100) $2.00 for $502.00= Cancelled

Peter Sobotta/Leon Edwards awarded FOTN bonus (+400) ~$16.00 for ~$64.00= -~$16.00

Parlays:
Peter Sobotta (+175) vs Leon Edwards + Jan Blachowicz (+165) vs Jimi Manuwa $25.00 for $157.19= -$25.00
Charles Byrd (-105) vs John Phillips + Jan Blachowicz (+165) vs Jimi Manuwa $25.00 for $104.35= $104.35
Oliver Enkamp (+145) vs Danny Roberts + Jan Blachowicz (+165) vs Jimi Manuwa $25.00 for $137.31= -$25.00
Kajan Johnson (+155) vs Stevie Ray + Jan Blachowicz (+165) vs Jimi Manuwa $25.00 for $143.94= $143.94
Nad Narimani (+145) vs Nasrat Haqparast + Jan Blachowicz (+165) vs Jimi Manuwa $25.00 for $137.31= $41.25
Charles Byrd (-105) vs John Phillips + Peter Sobotta (+175) vs Leon Edwards $25.00 for $109.23= -$25.00
Oliver Enkamp (+145) vs Danny Roberts + Peter Sobotta (+175) vs Leon Edwards $25.00 for $143.44= -$25.00
Kajan Johnson (+155) vs Stevie Ray + Peter Sobotta (+175) vs Leon Edwards $25.00 for $150.31= -$25.00
Nad Narimani (+145) vs Nasrat Haqparast + Peter Sobotta (+175) vs Leon Edwards $25.00 for $143.44= -$25.00
Oliver Enkamp (+145) vs Danny Roberts + Charles Byrd (-105) vs John Phillips $25.00 for $94.58= -$25.00
Kajan Johnson (+155) vs Stevie Ray + Charles Byrd (-105) vs John Phillips $25.00 for $99.46= $99.46
Nad Narimani (+145) vs Nasrat Haqparast + Charles Byrd (-105) vs John Phillips $25.00 for $94.58= $23.81
Kajan Johnson (+155) vs Stevie Ray + Oliver Enkamp (+145) vs Danny Roberts $25.00 for $131.19= -$25.00
Nad Narimani (+145) vs Nasrat Haqparast + Oliver Enkamp (+145) vs Danny Roberts $25.00 for $125.06= -$25.00
Kajan Johnson (+155) vs Stevie Ray + Nad Narimani (+145) vs Nasrat Haqparast $25.00 for $131.19= $38.75
-----
Sub-Total= $1084.56
Sub-Total= ~$54.24

Total Profit= $1138.80

Inspirational shit here