Your official UFC 228 bets

Till +124 1u
Till DEC +325 .33u

Magomedsharipov/Davis O1.5 -106 1.85u
Magomedsharipov/Davis GTD +220 .5u

Andrade/Kowalkiewicz GTD -185 .6u
Andrade DEC -118 .8u

Alhassan/Price U1.5 -120 .33u

Suarez -3.5 -220 1.5u

Dodson +135 .66u
Dodson DEC +225 .33u
Dodson NSC -152 1u
Dodson +3.5 -205 1.5u

Byrd -187 3.5u

Sanchez +182 1u
Sanchez/White O1.5 -120 .33u

White -136 1u

Aldana -114 .5u
Aldana DEC +135 .33u

Brooks -245 3u
Sanchez SUB +780 .2u

Neal DEC +256 .33u


I'm set, much more action than expected. May actually end up adding to Till and Diego if lines significantly improve.
 
0.75u Woodley +120
0.5u Woodley NSC +180
0.25u Woodley KO +420

0.25u Kowalkiewicz +400
0.25u Andrade SUB +400

0.25u Davis NSC +1065
0.05u Davis RD3 +4000

0.4u Dodson DEC +249

0.1u Sterling SUB +950

0.2u Sterling/Saurez/Davis-Magomedsharipov o1.5/Woodley-Till ITD +448
0.4u RR(2s,3s,4) Dodson DEC(+249)/Price ITD(+225)/Andrade SUB(+400)/Woodley KO(+420)

No confident leans for me on this card, at least not at reasonable prices, so I'm keeping it relatively small. Hoping for some good live bet opportunities.
 
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UFC 228 Risk $4369.36

Darren Till (+100) vs Tyron Woodley $200.00 for $200.00
Darren Till/Tyron Woodley starts round 4 (-135) $135.00 for $100.00
Darren Till/Tyron Woodley Over 4½ (+105) $100.00 for $105.00
Darren Till wins by 5 round decision (+300) $35.00 for $105.00
Darren Till wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+830) $25.00 for $207.50
Tyron Woodley wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+750) $30.00 for $225.00
Darren Till/Tyron Woodley Draw (+8500) $25.00 for $2,125.00

Jessica Andrade -3½ points (-175) vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz $131.25 for $75.00

Zabit Magomedsharipov/Brandon Davis Over 1½ (-125) $125.00 for $100.00
Zabit Magomedsharipov/Brandon Davis Over 1½ (-127) $127.00 for $100.00
Zabit Magomedsharipov wins in round 3 (+650) $25.00 for $162.50
Zabit Magomedsharipov wins by submission (+150) $40.00 for $60.00

John Dodson (+135) vs Jimmie Rivera $100.00 for $135.00
John Dodson scorecards = no action (-150) $150.00 for $100.00
John Dodson wins by 3 round decision (+213) $50.00 for $106.50

Niko Price (+125) vs Abdul Razak Alhassan $200.00 for $250.00
Niko Price wins by TKO/KO (+360) $40.00 for $144.00
Niko Price wins inside distance (+161) $75.00 for $120.75
Abdul Razak Alhassan wins in round 1 (+250) $35.00 for $87.50
Niko Price wins in round 2 (+576) $20.00 for $115.20
Niko Price/Abdul Razak Alhassan Under 1½ (-137) $102.75 for $75.00
Niko Price/Abdul Razak Alhassan fight ends in KO/TKO/DQ (-182) ~$98.80 for ~$54.29

Tatiana Suarez -3½ points (-225) vs Carla Esparza $168.75 for $75.00
Tatiana Suarez wins by TKO/KO (+1165) $30.00 for $349.50

Aljamain Sterling (-130) vs Cody Stamann $260.00 for $200.00

Frank Camacho (+155) vs Geoffrey Neal $200.00 for $310.00
Frank Camacho +3½ points (-120) $120.00 for $100.00
Frank Camacho wins in round 3 (+1500) $10.00 for $150.00

Charles Byrd (-170) vs Darren Stewart $340.00 for $200.00
Charles Byrd wins by TKO/KO (+450) $30.00 for $135.00
Charles Byrd/Darren Stewart Under 1½ (+105) $100.00 for $105.00

Diego Sanchez (+190) vs Craig White $100.00 for $190.00
Diego Sanchez +3½ points (+120) $100.00 for $120.00

Jim Miller (+150) vs Alex White $100.00 for $150.00

Lucie Pudilova (+105) vs Irene Aldana $200.00 for $210.00
Lucie Pudilova +3½ points (-225) $168.75 for $75.00

Roberto Sanchez (+300) vs Jarred Brooks $75.00 for $225.00
Roberto Sanchez wins by submission (+600) $35.00 for $210.00

Niko Price/Abdul Razak Alhassan wins FOTN bonus (+495) ~$18.53 for ~$91.70
Frank Camacho/Geoff Neal wins FOTN bonus (+700) ~$18.53 for ~$129.68

Parlays:
Tatiana Suarez/Carla Esparza Over 2½ (-225) + Jessica Andrade/Karolina Kowalkiewicz Over 2½ (-245) $100.00 for $103.40
Lucie Pudilova/Irene Aldana Over 2½ (-380) + Jim Miller/Alex White Over 2½ (-150) $100.00 for $110.53
 
2U Brooks+ Zabit ITD @ 1.97
2U Niko/Abdul fight ends in KO @ 1.61
1U Diego Sanchez @ 2.87
1U Jim Miller @ 2.37
1U Sterling @ 1.67
1U Zabit submission @ 2.60
1U Dodson dec @ 3.60
1U (free bet) Till decision @ 4.33
 
Brooks/C.White
Irene
A. White itd
Stewart
Neal
Aljo
Suarez/Zabit/Andrade
Price
Rivera/Zabit
Andrade by dec/Zabit
Woodley
 
6.6u Till ML -110

3u Sterling ML -125 +2.4u
1.22u Sterling (SC=NA) -122 +1u
0.5u Sterling -3.5 +185 +0.925u

1.28u Rivera ML -128 +1u
0.5u Rivera -3.5 +185 +0.925u

0.5u Sanchez (SC=NA) +374

6.6u Aldana ML -110 +6u
0.5u Aldana -3.5 +185

Result: +5.15u
 
Naught2Sixty said:
Twood ML -115 3u
N. Price ML +135 1.5u
A. White ML -150 2.25u
C. Byrd ML -230 2.5u

J. Dodson NSC -150 1.5u
N. Price ITD +225 .2u
J. Miller SUB +700 .15u
A. Sterling SUB +950 .15u
D. Sanchez TKO/KO +850 .15u

Paid for too much juice I think. Eh. Should be a fun card though. Best of luck!
Click to expand...

-1.5u

Didn't pay attention to live betting either so..small loss.
 
Jamah said:
3.5u Byrd @1.57
2.6u Alex White @1.77

2u Till @2.20
0.2u Sterling sub @10.50
Live: 1.5u Rivera @1.66
Click to expand...

-5.1u I lost tonight, at least the fights were great. Rose please, hide from Andrade.
 
0.75u Woodley +120 +0.9u
0.5u Woodley NSC +180 +0.9u
0.25u Woodley KO +420 -0.25u

0.25u Kowalkiewicz +400 -0.25u
0.25u Andrade SUB +400 -0.25u

0.25u Davis NSC +1065 -0.25u
0.05u Davis RD3 +4000 -0.05u

0.4u Dodson DEC +249 -0.4u

0.1u Sterling SUB +950 +0.95u

0.2u Sterling/Saurez/Davis-Magomedsharipov o1.5/Woodley-Till ITD +448 +0.9u
0.4u RR(2s,3s,4) Dodson DEC(+249)/Price ITD(+225)/Andrade SUB(+400)/Woodley KO(+420) -0.4u

NET: +1.8u

Nice little win, really fun card. I'll take it. Woodley should have been a bigger bet once he hit + money, but I bought into the hype. Till had done nothing to deserve his price. Good lesson for the future.
 
MT6ix said:
1.5u Alex White ML @ -147
1u Darren Till ML @ +100
1u Aljamain Sterling ML @ -122
1u Charles Byrd ML @ -205


I kind of like this card for betting, better than some of the recent cards.
Click to expand...

Added Byrd/Stewart under 1.5 rounds for 1u prefight as a semi-hedge.

2/5. Lost around 3.25 units tonight.

Surprised Byrd lost a fight he was in complete control of but some of the losses were just bad bets on my part (Alex White). I listened to White's interviews after placing the bet and he doesn't train at a good gym, so harder for him to get better and lacks a good coaching staff to gameplan against opponents and good cornering.
 
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At least my MLB bet made up for it, Nats were down by 3 when I placed it.

bet.png
 
Dooze said:
2U Brooks+ Zabit ITD @ 1.97
2U Niko/Abdul fight ends in KO @ 1.61
1U Diego Sanchez @ 2.87
1U Jim Miller @ 2.37
1U Sterling @ 1.67
1U Zabit submission @ 2.60
1U Dodson dec @ 3.60
1U (free bet) Till decision @ 4.33
Click to expand...

7.67U profit, the two that I lost on were my least confident bets but played based on odds - I thought Dodson would probably lose a SD or 29-28 all around and was debating a bet on Woodley SU as an underdog but went with a Till decision based on the odds since I didn't think he'd finish Woodley.

Happy enough with that, had a decent few events the last few and still just going off memory due to not having time to watch old fight.

Jim Miller has been one of my favourite fighters since his fight against Matt Wiman and Mac Danzig years ago, usually, feel like I tend to have a good read on him so was surprised to get him at an underdog against Alex White who it's difficult to say is better than him in any area.

Likewise Diego Sanchez has looked poor of late and is also in the twilight of his career and definitely can't take a shot like he used to, but as a big underdog against a British grappler with a poor record (14-8 coming into this) who was 0-1 in the UFC and shown nothing to suggest he's UFC level, it seemed bizarre. I understand fading fighters who are big name but past it, but Sanchez hasn't been losing to scrubs and if you're going to fade someone their opponent needs to have proven themselves at that high a level or shown enough potential/to have a favourable style that you can clearly point to a way that they win. Especially if you're fading that fighter while they're already a big underdog, just didn't make sense here.

My one big regret is not going heavier on Abdul/Niko by KO. I knew that was a great line but limited myself to 2U for some reason despite knowing it'd play out exactly how it did (not in terms of who went down, but in terms of just winging power shots at each other until someone dropped). Should have done dropped 5U on that.
 
Dooze said:
7.67U profit, the two that I lost on were my least confident bets but played based on odds - I thought Dodson would probably lose a SD or 29-28 all around and was debating a bet on Woodley SU as an underdog but went with a Till decision based on the odds since I didn't think he'd finish Woodley.

Happy enough with that, had a decent few events the last few and still just going off memory due to not having time to watch old fight.

Jim Miller has been one of my favourite fighters since his fight against Matt Wiman and Mac Danzig years ago, usually, feel like I tend to have a good read on him so was surprised to get him at an underdog against Alex White who it's difficult to say is better than him in any area.

Likewise Diego Sanchez has looked poor of late and is also in the twilight of his career and definitely can't take a shot like he used to, but as a big underdog against a British grappler with a poor record (14-8 coming into this) who was 0-1 in the UFC and shown nothing to suggest he's UFC level, it seemed bizarre. I understand fading fighters who are big name but past it, but Sanchez hasn't been losing to scrubs and if you're going to fade someone their opponent needs to have proven themselves at that high a level or shown enough potential/to have a favourable style that you can clearly point to a way that they win. Especially if you're fading that fighter while they're already a big underdog, just didn't make sense here.

My one big regret is not going heavier on Abdul/Niko by KO. I knew that was a great line but limited myself to 2U for some reason despite knowing it'd play out exactly how it did (not in terms of who went down, but in terms of just winging power shots at each other until someone dropped). Should have done dropped 5U on that.
Click to expand...
Yeah. I feel similar on the KO-line with Price/Alhassan. My main concern was Price randomly grabbing a meme decision. Only went in for 1.5u, could easily have doubled that.
 
Sadistics said:
Till +124 1u
Till DEC +325 .33u

Magomedsharipov/Davis O1.5 -106 1.85u
Magomedsharipov/Davis GTD +220 .5u

Andrade/Kowalkiewicz GTD -185 .6u
Andrade DEC -118 .8u

Alhassan/Price U1.5 -120 .33u

Suarez -3.5 -220 1.5u

Dodson +135 .66u
Dodson DEC +225 .33u
Dodson NSC -152 1u
Dodson +3.5 -205 1.5u

Byrd -187 3.5u

Sanchez +182 1u
Sanchez/White O1.5 -120 .33u

White -136 1u

Aldana -114 .5u
Aldana DEC +135 .33u

Brooks -245 3u
Sanchez SUB +780 .2u

Neal DEC +256 .33u


I'm set, much more action than expected. May actually end up adding to Till and Diego if lines significantly improve.
Click to expand...

-5.5u, started out hot then began spiralling after the Byrd loss. Made some awful LBs and even added a unit to Till

Late/Live bets:
Screenshot_20180909-115546_Chrome.jpg
 
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