Your Official TUF 24 Bets

[hugdeeznuts]

Clark
Kim
Maynard
Mighty Mouse/Font parlay
Cejudo
McMann by decision
Moreno/Benoit goes distance
Cutelaba/ Mighty mouse parlay
Masvidal/Mighty mouse parlay

 

[jwms]

Withdrew all $$$ from my account down to $15. Looking to build that $15 back up (had been at ~$1000).

Tonight:
'big' on Masvidal, Stansbury, Curran, Hall, o1.5 on Stansbury.

 

[t6p]

0.2u Elliot SUB +1925
0.1u Johnson RD4 +1125
0.1u Johnson RD5 +1725

1u Benavidez/Cruz (UFC 207) +114
0.15u Benavidez SUB +505

1.1u Ellenberger-Masvidal not ITD -110
0.5u Masvidal DEC +179
0.25u Ellenberger KO +1150
0.1u Ellenberger RD1 +1375

2.38u Hall NSC -159
1u Maynard-Hall not ITD +135
0.55u Hall -110
0.5u Hall DEC +425

0.5u Mutapcic DEC +410

1.04u Moyle NSC -104
0.25u Moyle ITD +350

0.5u Stansbury +105

0.5u Cejudo-Benavidez o2.5/Masvidal +103
0.5u Font/Benavidez +106
0.1u Masvidal DEC/Benavidez DEC/Johnson SUB +1934
0.1u Mutapic NSC/Moyle/Hall/Davis-McMann o2.5/Ellenberger-Masvidal o1.5/Cejudo-Benavidez o2.5 +1937
0.1u Mutapic DEC/Moyle SUB/Hall DEC +11645

 

[MMA Goodfella]

Moyle +105 risk 2.00 units
Maynard +100 risk 3.50 units
Mutapcic +105 risk 2.00 units
Masvidal TKO +345 Risk 1.70 units
Dong Hyun Kim -137 risk 3.65 units
Hall wins in round 1 +300 1.00 units
Font By Decision +225 risk 1.70 units
McMann by decisions -115 risk 3.00 units
Davis wins in round 3 +1400 risk 0.30 units
Ellenberger wins in round 1 +700 risk 0.3 units
Ellenberger/Masvidal Decisions -120 Risk 6.00 units
Demetrious Johnson wins in round 3 +650 risk 0.5 units
Demetrious Johnson wins in round 5 +1400 risk 0.3 unitsp

Parlays
DJ/Elliot under 4.5 -160+ Cejudo/JB + o2.5 -245 at +129 5.00 units

 

[null]

TUF 24 Finale Risk $2461.50


Demetrious Johnson/Tim Elliott Under 4½ (+100) $100.00 for $100.00
Demetrious Johnson wins by submission (+200) $50.00 for $100.00
Demetrious Johnson wins in round 3 (+650) $20.00 for $130.00
Demetrious Johnson wins in round 4 (+1000) $15.00 for $150.00
Demetrious Johnson wins in round 5 (+1400) $10.00 for $140.00
Demetrious Johnson wins by submission in round 4 (+2400) ~$26.83 for ~$643.92
Demetrious Johnson wins by submission in round 5 (+2900) ~$26.83 for ~$778.07

Henry Cejudo (+180) vs Joseph Benavidez $200.00 for $360.00
Joseph Benavidez wins by submission (+505) $20.00 for $101.00

Jorge Masvidal/Jake Ellenberger Over 1½ (-200) $100.00 for $50.00
Jorge Masvidal wins by decision (+150) $40.00 for $60.00
Jake Ellenberger wins by TKO/KO (+1150) $15.00 for $172.50
Jorge Masvidal/Jake Ellenberger Will End In For The First 60 Seconds Of 1st Round (+1200) ~$7.67 for ~$92.04

Ion Cutelaba wins by 3 round decision (+449) vs Jared Cannonier $25.00 for $112.25

Sara McMann (-155) vs Alexis Davis $310.00 for $200.00
Sara McMann/Alexis Davis Over 2½ (-215) $107.50 for $50.00

Brandon Moreno (-125) vs Ryan Benoit $125.00 for $100.00
Brandon Moreno wins inside distance (+170) $30.00 for $51.00
Brandon Moreno wins in round 3 (+700) $10.00 for $70.00

Gray Maynard (+105) vs Ryan Hall $250.00 for $262.50
Gray Maynard wins by 3 round decision (+240) $40.00 for $96.00
Gray Maynard/Ryan Hall Will End In For The First 60 Seconds Of 1st Round (+1100) ~$7.67 for ~$84.37

Rob Font wins by TKO/KO (+175) vs Matt Schnell $40.00 for $70.00

Dong Hyun Kim (-120) vs Brendan O'Reilly $120.00 for $100.00
Dong Hyun Kim wins in round 2 (+600) $10.00 for $60.00

Jamie Moyle (+140) vs Kailin Curran $100.00 for $140.00
Jamie Moyle wins in round 3 (+1550) $10.00 for $155.00
Jamie Moyle wins by 3 round decision (+240) $40.00 for $96.00

Elvis Mutapcic (+100) vs Anthony Smith $100.00 for $100.00
Elvis Mutapcic wins in round 2 (+725) $10.00 for $72.50
Elvis Mutapcic wins in round 3 (+1000) $10.00 for $100.00

Josh Stansbury (+100) vs Devin Clark $150.00 for $150.00

Fights to go distance under 5½ (+110) $50.00 for $55.00
Fights to go distance under 4½ (+239) $25.00 for $59.75
Fights to go distance under 3½ (+610) $15.00 for $91.50
Fights to go distance under 2½ (+1928) $10.00 for $192.80
Fights to go distance under 1½ (+8900) $5.00 for $445.00

Brandon Moreno/Ryan Benoit FOTN award winner (+695) $10.00 for $69.50


Parlays:

Rob Font (-250) vs Matt Schnell + Gray Maynard/Ryan Hall Over 1½ (-160) $150.00 for $191.25

Gray Maynard wins by 3 round decision (+225) + Jorge Masvidal wins by 3 round decision (+160) + Joseph Benavidez/Henry Cejudo goes 3 round distance (-215) $40.00 for $455.21

Elvis Mutapcic (-105) vs Anthony Smith + Gray Maynard wins by 3 round decision (+240) + Ion Cutelaba wins by TKO/KO (+165) + Jorge Masvidal wins by 3 round decision (+165) + Joseph Benavidez/Henry Cejudo goes 3 round distance (-195) $30.00 for $2,085.65

 

[Gambling Man]

Cutelaba/Cannonier u1.5 Total Rounds - 1.33 units - 2.1
Font + Benevidez Double - 1.66u - 2.3
Johnson/Elliot u4.5 Total Rounds - 5 units - 2.0
Ellenberger KO - 0.66 units - 11.0
Moyle - 1.33units - 2.38
Ellenberger/Masvidal u3.0 Total Rounds - 1.33 units - 2.0
Font/Schnell u2.5 Total Rounds - 2.66 units - 2.25
Not Maynard ITD + McMann Double - 1.66units - 2.2
Moreno/Benoit u1.5 Total Rounds - 1.33 units - 2.4
Johnson sub rd 5 Round & method - 0.33units - 101.0
Mutapcic Rd 3 - 0.33 units - 15.0

 

[YoungScholar]

Liking a lot of long props for this one.

.66u on Ryan Hall R1 SUB @ +650
.66u on Ryan Hall by DEC @ +600
.25u on Sarah McMann R1 @ +1100
.66u on U 1 minute Cutelaba/Cannonier @ +750
1.25u on U 0.5 Cutelaba/Cannonier @ +310
.33u on Jake Ellenberger R1 KO @ +2000
.5u on Jake Ellenberger ITD @ +700
1.25u on U 2.5 Hyun Kim/O'Reilly @ +105
.33u on Demetrious Johnson R3 SUB @ +1600
.5u on Demetrious Johnson R4 SUB @ +5000
.33u on Demetrious Johnson R5 SUB @ +10000

3.13u on Hyun Kim + Benavidez @ +179
2u on Cejudo/Benavidez O 2.5 + Holloway @ +148

The reason I'm so big on U 0.5 in Cutelaba/Cannonier is that it's a freebet. Rooting for DJ to tie his latest sub record and Masvidal's chin finally cracking <cheer> GL fellas!

 

[Brick Top]

5u Hall +110

And again with the 5u winner

+5.5u on Hall then bet 4u on Cannonier live @ +120 in round 2 and 3 (lol). Being a sniper as opposed to an action junkie works for me.

So another great week with +10.3u overall. Hope you all did well too

 

[LEMONZEST]

After that roller coaster i am down 2u. i will take it i guess.

 

[EzFlyer]

TUF 24 Net: -82.33
DJ ITD: 50 for 57 - 20 parlays / DJ RD3: 6 parlays / ITD: 80 for 50 / U4.5: 50 for 50 / elliot +1300: 1 for 13
benavidez -185: 185 for 100 - 50 parlays / benavidez ITD: 5 parlay / benavidez SUB: 20 for 101 / benavidez RD2: 6 parlays / benavidez NSC: 137.50 parlays / RD2: 10 for 60
ellenberger +220: 100 for 220 / ellenberger DEC: 40 for 192 / ellenberger ITD: 5 parlay / ellenberger RD1: 10 for 137.50 / masvidal DEC: 9 parlays / masvidal RD3: 9 for 99
cannonier -115: 150 for 130.43 / DEC: 30 for 49.50 / cutelaba DEC: 20 for 89.80 - 9 parlays / cutelaba ITD: 20 parlays
davis +125: 40 for 50 / davis RD3: 10 for 160 / davis NSC: 129 for 100 - 37.50 parlays / ITD: 30 for 105 / mcmann DEC: 29 parlays
moreno -134: 201.15 for 150 - 70 parlays / moreno DEC: 20 for 83 / moreno SUB: 33 for 97.35 / moreno RD3: 20 for 190 - 6 parlays / moreno NSC: 37.50 parlays
hall DEC: 25 for 106.25 / hall ITD: 24 parlays / hall RD3: 10 for 100 / hall NSC: 99.45 for 65 - 37.50 parlays / DEC: 135 for 100 / maynard +240: 40 for 96 / NOT maynard ITD: 200 parlays / maynard DEC: 9 parlays
font DEC: 9 parlays / font ITD: 24 parlays / font KO: 30 for 52.50
DHK: 50 parlays / DHK ITD: 24 parlays / DHK SUB: 10 for 89 / DHK RD1: 6 parlays / DHK NSC: 37.50 parlays / o'reilly DEC: 9 parlays
moyle +295: 72 for 212.50 - 70 parlays / moyle ITD: 24 parlays / moyle SUB: 30 for 151.50 / moyle RD2: 10 for 85 / moyle RD3: 10 for 155 - 6 parlays / moyle NSC: 104 for 100 - 37.50 parlays
mutapcic +105: 100 for 105 - 70 parlays / mutapcic DEC: 9 parlays / mutapcic RD2: 25 for 181.25 / mutpacic RD3: 25 for 331.25 - 6 parlays / mutapcic NSC: 96 for 100 - 37.50 parlays
stansbury -105: 63 for 60 - 70 parlays / stansbury SUB: 20 for 133 / stansbury RD2: 8 for 48 - 6 parlays / stansbury RD3: 7 for 77 / stansbury NSC: 44 for 40
props
DEC U1.5: 1 for 89
DEC U2.5: 4 for 77.12
DEC U3.5: 10 for 61
DEC U4.5: 25 for 59.75
FOTN: moreno-benoit: 10 for 69.50
FOTN: mutapcic-smith: 5 for 40
parlays
100 for (paid +37.17) 72.80: NOT maynard ITD -269 & benavidez NSC -385
50 for 49.76 NOT maynard ITD -269 & dantas -220 (bella 166)
50 for (paid +25) 52.88 NOT maynard ITD -269 & teixeira-lawrence O2.5 -200 (bella 167)
100 RR for (paid +26.56) 557.90: benavidez/ moreno/ DHK/ moyle/ mutapcic/ stansbury
52.50 RR for (paid -50) 427.41: benavidezNSC/ davisNSC/ morenoNSC/ hallNSC/ kimNSC/ moyleNSC/ mutapcicNSC
21 RR for 1,118.68: masvidalDEC/ cutelabaDEC/ mcmannDEC/ maynardDEC/ fontDEC/ oreillyDEC/ mutapcicDEC
21 RR for 1,463.02: DJRD3/ JBRD2/ morenoRD3/ mutapcicRD3/ moyleRD3/ DHKRD1/ stansburyRD2
35 RR for 410.98: DJITD/ cutelabaITD/ mcmannDEC/ moreno/ moyle/ mutapcic/ stansbury
8 for 110.80 hall ITD +150, font ITD +120 & DHK ITD +170
8 for 145.12 hall ITD +150, font ITD +120 & moyle ITD +248
8 for 179.92 hall ITD +150, DHK ITD +170 & moyle ITD +248
8 for 157.37 font ITD +120, DHK ITD +170 & moyle ITD +248
15 for 82.27 DJ-5.5/ JB-3.5/ cute-3.5/ davis+3.5
5 for 65.40 JB ITD +215 & ellenberger ITD +347
---

ok i'm definitely getting carried away with round robins, gambling too much.

DJ fight was painful. i knew all my plays were dead midway thru rd 2. agony watching clock tick away, knowing what would happen

JB got lucky as hell. as a whole, cejudo won that fight. i mean, with the point deduction, it was a clear rd 1 for cejudo so 9-9, and i didn't know at the time who won rd 2 or 3, but i kinda leaned cejudo on all 3 rounds. lucky as hell to get that split. 30-26 is a fucking joke.

i'm not even gonna talk about the ellenberger - herb dean debacle. jake prolly would've lost but herb dean fucked up hardcore.

davis getting caught by the slowest arm triangle setup i've ever seen = wow. shocked.

one judge giving the benoit-moreno fight to benoit = what the fuck, should we just bet nothing but NSC bets going forward? this shit is stupid

i'm in absolute shock at the mutapcic fight. it was my biggest loss of the weekend and i just don't know how anyone in hell could've predicted that. in fat, no one did. smith is one of the worst gassers in the ufc and he got SMOKED in rd 1, then finished a dude who had NEVER BEEN FINISHED in rd 2.. just fucking backwards fight. whatever.

 

[Sham5916910]

Up 9.5 units. Well happy was minus two units after the lebedev boxing match and i had a £14k swing losing splits last two weeks on matthews and johnson. Font + Mas hit for over 5 units two round one finishes great for the heart! Lb i was slightly up until i smashed cannonier on lb at crazy odds and won 3.5 units. I should have won two units lb cejudo to win or draw jb getting the dec was bs imo. MM kept my 5 unit square as hell MM + Holloway parlay alive too!

Ez no one feels the elvis pain like me. £50 on a 10 man parlay for £8k return and elvis the only one that lost. Ive lost three times in three months on a monster parlay by one leg. Can someone explain how round robins work and where a Brit can play them? Seems like you win even if a leg or two fail correct? Thanks

Ps grats winners head up losers two events next week boys.

Pps thanks for whoever gave me heads up on hall dec +600 crazy line. I also did well lb him caught his dec line end of r1 +210

 

[Brick Top]

Up 9.5 units. Well happy was minus two units after the lebedev boxing match and i had a £14k swing losing splits last two weeks on matthews and johnson. Font + Mas hit for over 5 units two round one finishes great for the heart! Lb i was slightly up until i smashed cannonier on lb at crazy odds and won 3.5 units. I should have won two units lb cejudo to win or draw jb getting the dec was bs imo. MM kept my 5 unit square as hell MM + Holloway parlay alive too!

Ez no one feels the elvis pain like me. £50 on a 10 man parlay for £8k return and elvis the only one that lost. Ive lost three times in three months on a monster parlay by one leg. Can someone explain how round robins work and where a Brit can play them? Seems like you win even if a leg or two fail correct? Thanks

Ps grats winners head up losers two events next week boys.

Pps thanks for whoever gave me heads up on hall dec +600 crazy line. I also did well lb him caught his dec line end of r1 +210

You can do round robins on any bookie they're just called different names. Put multiple bets on a slip then there will be an option such as yankee, goliath, lucky 15 depending on how many legs you have. I usually put 4 value props together which is called Yankee I think. The amount that have been one off is insane but at least you still profit

 

[Sham5916910]

You can do round robins on any bookie they're just called different names. Put multiple bets on a slip then there will be an option such as yankee, goliath, lucky 15 depending on how many legs you have. I usually put 4 value props together which is called Yankee I think. The amount that have been one off is insane but at least you still profit

Oh thats what that is! So say 7 out of 10 hit does it pay? How do you know when it wont pay? Sorry for dumb q

 

[Monster Meat]

$25/$109
cowboys -168
masvidal -260
benevidez by dec +143

$30/$109.78
guadelha by dec -140 win
usman by dec -118 win
benevidez/cejudo over 2.5 -225

got both of these and have johnson -5.5 as part of a parlay with green bay today and cerrone and halloway money lines

 

[t6p]

0.2u Elliot SUB +1925 -0.2u
0.1u Johnson RD4 +1125 -0.1u
0.1u Johnson RD5 +1725 -0.1u

1u Benavidez/Cruz (UFC 207) +114 +0u
0.15u Benavidez SUB +505 -0.15u

1.1u Ellenberger-Masvidal not ITD -110 -1.1u
0.5u Masvidal DEC +179 -0.5u
0.25u Ellenberger KO +1150 -0.25u
0.1u Ellenberger RD1 +1375 -0.1u

2.38u Hall NSC -159 +0u
1u Maynard-Hall not ITD +135 +1u
0.55u Hall -110 +0.5u
0.5u Hall DEC +425 +2.13u

0.5u Mutapcic DEC +410 -0.5u

1.04u Moyle NSC -104 +0u
0.25u Moyle ITD +350 -0.25u

0.5u Stansbury +105 -0.5u

0.5u Cejudo-Benavidez o2.5/Masvidal +103 +0.51u
0.5u Font/Benavidez +106 +0.53u
0.1u Masvidal DEC/Benavidez DEC/Johnson SUB +1934 -0.1u
0.1u Mutapic NSC/Moyle/Hall/Davis-McMann o2.5/Ellenberger-Masvidal o1.5/Cejudo-Benavidez o2.5 +1937 -0.1u
0.1u Mutapic DEC/Moyle SUB/Hall DEC +11645 -0.1u

NET: +0.62u

Tiny profit for the night. The Hall decision saved me and I lucked out on Benavidez.

 

[EzFlyer]

Oh thats what that is! So say 7 out of 10 hit does it pay? How do you know when it wont pay? Sorry for dumb q

It's every combination. So if you did a 3 team RR and put your stake as $100, your risk would be $300
$100 A+B
$100 A+C
$100 B+C

So if you do like 7 teams and do, say combos of 3's.. you'd have 35 separate parlays of 3 teamers

 

[Agent Mulder]

2.66u DHK -125
2.66u Maynard/Hall O1.5 -125
2u Maynard -110
1u Moyle +130
1u Benavidez/Cejudo O2.5 -250

1u Benavidez SUB or DEC -105
0.66u Cutelaba DEC +500
0.23u Benavidez/Cejudo ENDS IN SUB +460
0.1u Masvidal r3 +1600
0.1u Johnson TKO r5 +10000
0.1u Johnson SUB r5 +10000
0.05u Johnson TKO r4 +6600
0.05u Johnson SUB r4 +5000

2u McMann/Davis O2.5 + Font ML +110
2u Benavidez O2.5 + Holloway/Pettis O2.5 +115

EDIT: 0.22u Hall DEC +600
EDIT2: 0.66u Mutapcic DEC +450

Fell asleep during the ME but livebetting was huge for me especially Cannonier dec +850 and ML at like +350. Ended up +9.1u so best night in a while.

 

[EzFlyer]

Fell asleep during the ME

hehe.. man it was bruuuutal. it started off as FOTN potentially in the first round but then everyone fell asleep.. i was soooo bored, i knew where it was going after the second round started

 

[Agent Mulder]

hehe.. man it was bruuuutal. it started off as FOTN potentially in the first round but then everyone fell asleep.. i was soooo bored, i knew where it was going after the second round started

Yeah and imagine waching that at 06:30 AM lol. I had that DJ r5 +10 000 line and still fell asleep between r4 and 5.

 

[Sadistics]

A bit too many props and parlays, regretting the play on McMann. Good luck!

Elliot/Johnson U4.5 -105 1.05u

Benavidez -185 1u
Benavidez DEC +141 .5u

Ellenberger +225 .5u
Ellenberger RD1 +1375 .5u
Ellenberger RD3 +2550 .1u
Ellenberger NSC +385 .5u
Masvidal/Ellenberger GTD +100 1u
Masvidal DEC +165/+232 2u

Cutelaba KO +165 1u
Cannonier/Cutelaba U1.5 -105/-115 2.2u
Cutelaba RD3 +825 .2u
Cutelaba DEC +449 .2u

McMann -165 1.65u

Moreno -150/-110 4u

Maynard -110/-120 1.15u
Hall NSC -153 3u
Maynard/Hall GTD +135 1u
Maynard DEC +240 .5u

Font -210 5u
Font DEC +236 .5u

Kim/O'Reilly O2.5 -120 2.4u
Kim NSC -182 2u

Moyle +140 1.5u
Moyle/Curran O2.5 -190 1.9u
Moyle SUB +505 .5u
Moyle NSC -104 1u
Moyle DEC +240 .5u

Mutapcic +100 .5u
Mutapcic RD3 +1325 .2u
Mutapcic DEC +250 1u

Stansbury -135/-110 2u
Stansbury/Clark O1.5 -140 1.4u
Stansbury SUB +665 .3u
Stansbury DEC +370 .5u


Parlays:

Font + Moyle/Curran O2.5 + Moreno + Cutelaba + Benavidez .5u for 4u

Benavidez NSC + Not Cannonier DEC + Not Maynard ITD + Not Curran ITD 1u for 1.3u

Benavidez NSC + Ellenberger/Masvidal O1.5 + McMann + Moreno + Maynard + Mutapcic + Moyle + Font .2u for 13u

Benavidez NSC + McKee(Bellator) + Not Maynard ITD 1u for 1u

Cejudo/Benavidez GTD + Masvidal DEC + Maynard DEC 1u for 12u (Tailing Rebel on this one)

Cutelaba KO + Moyle DEC + Stansbury DEC 1u for 37u

RR Parlay: Benavidez DEC + Masvidal DEC + Cutelaba KO + Maynard DEC + Moyle SUB + Stansbury DEC .75 for 9u

-.8 units, the last minute event props saved this from being a much bigger loss. Decision overs paid off, cutelaba/cannonier fotn, and thanks to mkess for pointing out the great line on not the ME being fotn