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Regarding movies, I think I would add a few hundred years to any prediction. I think everyone just kind of assumed we'd have made more progress.It wasn't the expectations being too lofty, it's that they didn't even know where to look for the change to begin with. Also you're basing this off of movies. Movies are designed to sell to the masses, and the masses aren't going to be experts in future technology, a studio isn't going to pour money in to making an accurate representation. Most of the time, flying cars and neon lights are shorthand to denote to an audience that it's the future. If you look in to the literature of Sci-fi, you'll see plenty of examples of modern technology being talked about before it's existence.
It's not that we aren't making steps forward in technology, it's that they're happening so fast and so often, you can't even keep up with the changes.
Allow me to phrase it this way, if, in 1970, you'd told people " hey, we went to the moon last year, in 47 years time we won't have ever gone back or done a whole lot except send a probe tO mars" they would probably laugh at you.
A robot on mars a while ago was an achievement, but not on the kind of scale I believe people expected.