UFN 158 on ESPN+ 16 Cowboy vs Gaethje Official Bets

[Sadistics]

Cerrone/Gaethje DNGTD -455 $1000
Gaethje RD1 +335 $100

ACJ -149 $750

Teixera +119 $1000
Teixera SUB +185 $100
Tiexera/Krylov U1.5 -109 $200
Teixera/Krylov DNGTD -300 $240
Krylov KO +257 $150

Cirkunov +195 $150

Sakai +106 $450

Smith +140 $200

Azure DEC +247 $150

Smolka -164 $1100
Smolka ITD +140 $150
Smolka SUB +200 $100

Prepolec +155 $300
Prepolec DEC +225 $100
Prepolec/Hubbard GTD -250 $400

Teixera (+120) + Smolka (-115) +253 $500

Teixera (+120) + Azaitar (-235) +171 $250

Smolka (-165) + Azaitar (-235) -116 $250


These Glover rumours have me shook, may reduce action there a bit, not sure yet. Will try to get as much as I can on a certain group of event props when they open.

 

[Hellowhosthat]

Threw 0.5u on Cowboy by sub to win 4u. Seems a good price to me.

 

[Kamais_Ookin]

4u Gaethje ML (-175) to win 2.28u

2.5u ACJ ML (-188) to win 1.33u

2u Glover ML (-110) to win 1.8u
2u Griffin ML (-125) to win 1.6u
2u Smolka via KO/Sub (+150) to win 3.37u
2u Glover ML + Griffin ML + Cirkunov ML + Gaethje ML (+831) to win 16.62u

1.5u Gaethje Round 1 (+333) to win 5u

1u Cirkunov ML (+100) to win 1u
1u Azure via Decision (+250) to win 2.5u

0.5u Prepolec ML (+130) to win 0.65u
0.5u Duffee Round 1 (+375) to win 1.87u
0.5u Gaethje Round 2 (+450) to win 2.25u
0.5u Smolka via KO/Sub + ACJ via KO/Sub + Glover ML + Circkunov via KO/Sub + u2.5 Gaethje (+3612) to win 14.5u

0.25u Smith Round 3 (+2000) to win 5u
0.25u Skelly Round 1 (+700) to win 1.75u
0.25u Griffin Round 3 (+800) to win 2u

 

[edole]

Cerrone/Gaethje DNGTD -455 $1000
Gaethje RD1 +335 $100

ACJ -149 $750

Teixera +119 $1000
Teixera SUB +185 $100
Tiexera/Krylov U1.5 -109 $200
Teixera/Krylov DNGTD -300 $240
Krylov KO +257 $150

Cirkunov +195 $150

Sakai +106 $450

Smith +140 $200

Azure DEC +247 $150

Smolka -164 $1100
Smolka ITD +140 $150
Smolka SUB +200 $100

Prepolec +155 $300
Prepolec DEC +225 $100
Prepolec/Hubbard GTD -250 $400

Teixera (+120) + Smolka (-115) +253 $500

Teixera (+120) + Azaitar (-235) +171 $250

Smolka (-165) + Azaitar (-235) -116 $250


These Glover rumours have me shook, may reduce action there a bit, not sure yet. Will try to get as much as I can on a certain group of event props when they open.

What Glover rumors?

 

[Cockadoodle]

Gaethje KO r1 - .5u for 2u
Cerrone sub - .5u for 3.5u
Planning on playing Cerrone live after R1

Glover ML - 2u for 1.74u

ACJ r1 sub - .5u for 1.2u
Hall v ACJ - Planning to play Hall live if he is still awake after R1
Hall r3 KO - .25u for 5u

Hughes ML - 1u for 1.05u
FGTD - .5u for for 1.3u

Pereira v Connelly - Planning to play Connelly live after R1

Cirkunov ML - 1u for 1.08u

Griffin ML - 1u for .7u

Katona Sub - .5u for 2.5u
Azure Dec - .5u for 1.1u

Smith Dec - .5u for 1.2u

Dont have a lot of strong feels for this card so mainly played small and will have some fun live betting
Good luck!

 

[Doc R]

1u cerrone +170.

Will likely degen live bets

 

[Bastaille]

Texeira 180$ to win 180$

Smolka 1k to win 450$
Smolka ko/sub 100$ to win 250$

Griffin 300$ to win 240$

Cirkunov 230$ to win 260$

Azure dec 120$ to win 300$

Gl everyone

 

[ApplesVild]

Krylov - £45 for £90

Saki - £15 for £30

McDonald - £10 for £28

Connerly- £5 for £22 (why not...)

Cole Smith - £10 for £21

Azure, Saki, Krylov - £4 for £36

Hubbard, Justin - £20 for £50

Justin, Duffee both round 1 - £7.50 for £120

Have a few other mad parleys, if any hit I'll post them up

I did no tape for this card, went from memory, tapology and podcasts.

 

[oloke46]

2.2U Smolka ML @ 1.45 / -222
0.85U Smolka ITD @ 2.50 / +150
1U Hall @ 3.00 / +200
1.4U Griffin @ 1.73 / -137
1.2U Krylov @ 1.85 / -117
1.7U Katona @ 1.60 / -166
1U Cerrone @ 2.62 / +162
(freebet) 0.9U Gaethje RD1 @ 4.33 / +333
(freebet) 0.6U Gaethje RD2 @ 5.50 / +450

 

[PolarBearPaulVarelans]

The most frustrating MMA card for me ever in terms of betting. Fully 4 fights that I watched tape for (Hughes-Duffee, Tybura-Sakai, Teixeira-Krylov, and Cirkunov vs. Crute) ended up being passes for me. Bleh.

3.1u on Gaethje at -180
0.5u on Gaethje round 1 at +300

 

[Austisthunder]

The stars have aligned for this event i will be unloading some cash on these in vegas so the odds might not be perfectly represented watever fuck off

10U Cirkinov +145 ish as of now

10U Griffin +115

10U Katona -170

10U Vettori-220

Rdit:

Hedge time
Azure decision +250 2.6 U

 

[hugdeeznuts]

Gaethje by ko/tko
Glover
Hughes
ACJ by sub
Augusto
Misha
Miles
Katona
Skelly
Smolka/Pereira itd
Prepolec

 

[Sono07]

After some decent success these last two Ufc cards I'm back to using units like a sane person.

2.5u for 1.2u Gaethje- kinda back and forth on this one but I gotta go with my gut I think he can shut down Cerrones offence.

4.5u for 3u Griffin- I think his ground game is solid, and his athleticism and more rounded game should see him looking dominant especially after R1

2.5 for 15u parlay probably got a little ahead of myself here but I don't hate it.

Gaethje- Cerrones a badass but this quick turn around may favor the younger man
+
Hall- Probably just a hard fade against shoeface. Hall probably gets choked but I think his tool box is deeper if he can use it
+
Sakai- Didn't do enough tape before adding this. I do like Sakai's footwork for a HW and his cardio seems decent as well though. Hopefully his +260lb size and nimble feet can help stop Tybura's grappling.

Looking at one or two more plays but that's it for now

Adding a little more and getting ready for some good fights.
.5u for 1u~ Hall +225 just seems disrespectful

.5u for .5u Cirkunov just a stab

1u for 2u Smolka+Smith

 

[null]

UFN 158 on ESPN+ 16 Risk $3,695.00

Justin Gaethje wins in round 1 (+333) $75.00 for $249.75
Donald Cerrone wins in round 4 (+2000) $20.00 for $400.00
Donald Cerrone wins in round 5 (+3300) $20.00 for $660.00

Glover Teixeira (+120) vs Nikita Krylov $200.00 for $240.00
Glover Teixeira (+105) vs Nikita Krylov $300.00 for $315.00
Glover Teixeira wins by submission (+175) $75.00 for $131.25
Nikita Krylov wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+225) $75.00 for $168.75
Nikita Krylov wins in round 1 (+375) $35.00 for $131.25
Glover Teixeira/Nikita Krylov Under 1½ (-110) $110.00 for $100.00

Jeff Hughes (-109) vs Todd Duffee $218.00 for $200.00
Todd Duffee wins in round 1 (+375) $75.00 for $281.25
Jeff Hughes wins in round 2 (+650) $25.00 for $162.50
Jeff Hughes wins in round 3 (+1200) $25.00 for $300.00

Michel Pereira/Tristan Connelly Under 1½ (-136) $136.00 for $100.00
Michel Pereira/Tristan Connelly Under 1½ (-153) $153.00 for $100.00

Uriah Hall (+215) vs Antonio Carlos Junior $100.00 for $215.00
Uriah Hall wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+376) $50.00 for $188.00
Uriah Hall wins in round 2 (+1100) $50.00 for $550.00
Uriah Hall wins in round 3 (+2200) $50.00 for $1,100.00
Antonio Carlos Junior wins by submission (+135) $100.00 for $135.00
Antonio Carlos Junior wins by decision/technical decision (+450) $50.00 for $225.00

Jim Crute (-110) vs Misha Cirkunov $330.00 for $300.00
Jim Crute wins in round 2 (+500) $30.00 for $150.00
Jim Crute wins in round 3 (+1100) $30.00 for $330.00
Misha Cirkunov wins in round 1 (+400) $50.00 for $200.00
Misha Cirkunov/Jimmy Crute Under 1½ (-108) $108.00 for $100.00

Augusto Sakai (+102) vs Marcin Tybura $150.00 for $153.00
Augusto Sakai (+100) vs Marcin Tybura $0.00 for $250.00 (freeplay)
Augusto Sakai wins in round 2 (+800) $25.00 for $200.00
Augusto Sakai wins in round 3 (+1400) $25.00 for $350.00
Augusto Sakai wins by decision/technical decision (+333) $75.00 for $249.75

Cole Smith vs Miles Johns: No Bet

Brad Katona (-130) vs Hunter Azure $130.00 for $100.00

Chas Skelly vs Jordan Griffin: No Bet

Louis Smolka (-225) vs Ryan Macdonald $450.00 for $200.00
Louis Smolka wins by submission (+175) $75.00 for $131.25

Austin Hubbard vs Kyle Prepolec: No Bet

Parlay:
Glover Teixeira/Nikita Krylov won’t go 3 round distance (-510) + Justin Gaethje/Donald Cerrone won’t go 5 round distance (-625) $275.00 for $106.55

 

[Deleted member 316645]

5u Gaethje -200
1u Gaethje -170
2.5u Glover +115
2u Duffee +105

 

[SenseiSeagalMMA]

Posting late but 1-1 so far on the night

2u - Smolka -230
1u - Crute -115
1u - Hall +200
1u - Duffy/Hughes u1.5 -120
1u - Glover +115
1u - Glover/Al Capone u1.5 -120
2u - Gaethje -170

 

[Crimp_Keeper]

1u Azure + Cirkunov + Connelly to win 20u
1u on Connelly to win by KO, TKO or sub
1u on Connelly to win in rounds 1,2

 

[PolarBearPaulVarelans]

3.1u on Gaethje at -180
0.5u on Gaethje round 1 at +300

Sometimes you have to keep it simple. Don't mind any of the 4 fights I skipped, and wish I had put SLIGHTLY more (probably a full unit) on the round 1 prop.

+3.2u on the night.

 

[Crimp_Keeper]

5u on Gaethje by KO in round 1 at the last second to hedge my 10u on Cerrone

 

[Kamais_Ookin]

4u Gaethje ML (-175) to win 2.28u

2.5u ACJ ML (-188) to win 1.33u

2u Glover ML (-110) to win 1.8u
2u Griffin ML (-125) to win 1.6u
2u Smolka via KO/Sub (+150) to win 3.37u
2u Glover ML + Griffin ML + Cirkunov ML + Gaethje ML (+831) to win 16.62u

1.5u Gaethje Round 1 (+333) to win 5u

1u Cirkunov ML (+100) to win 1u
1u Azure via Decision (+250) to win 2.5u

0.5u Prepolec ML (+130) to win 0.65u
0.5u Duffee Round 1 (+375) to win 1.87u
0.5u Gaethje Round 2 (+450) to win 2.25u
0.5u Smolka via KO/Sub + ACJ via KO/Sub + Glover ML + Circkunov via KO/Sub + u2.5 Gaethje (+3612) to win 14.5u

0.25u Smith Round 3 (+2000) to win 5u
0.25u Skelly Round 1 (+700) to win 1.75u
0.25u Griffin Round 3 (+800) to win 2u

Up 6.7u from prebets above plus a few units live betting so around 10u total! Wish I went heavier on gaethje and ACJ killed my parlay which sucks. On to next week.