UFC Vegas 84: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 - Final Bets

Nolan/Motta U1.5 1,550 to win 1,100

Lapilus 525 to win 1,320

Semi 750 to win 350

Waldo Acosta U37.5 Sig strikes RD1 1,000 to win 833

Bautista U28.5 Sig Strikes RD1 1,000 to win 833
 
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Parlay:
Manel Kape by Points (+150)
Jim Miller by KO/TKO/Submission (+150)
Waldo Cortes-Acosta by Points (+300)

$10 will win you $240.00

I feel it should easily hit but someone usually finds a way to screw these things up.
 
I made the following bets one month ago when I was in Vegas. I placed the bets not knowing where the lines would move over the course of one month. If I would've known the lines would shift so much, I would've put another $1k on Basharat, and another $200 on Miller:

• Jim Miller +114 $50 for $57
• Farid Basharat -172 $258 for $150

I'll make the rest of my bets when I arrive in Vegas this Saturday morning, then post them here.

Good luck <Moves>
 
Macy Chiasson VS KV Macy ML $250 to win $612.50
 
Nolan/Motta U1.5 1,550 to win 1,100

Lapilus 525 to win 1,320

Just wondering , you think Lapilus has the tdd to
Keep it on the feet? He’s been taken down and held down by much lesser grapplers in the past - to me Basharat rolls here .

Love the under in the Motta fight

And I think kape and Waldo are safe parlay picks - just not great value
 
Just wondering , you think Lapilus has the tdd to
Keep it on the feet? He’s been taken down and held down by much lesser grapplers in the past - to me Basharat rolls here .

Love the under in the Motta fight

And I think kape and Waldo are safe parlay picks - just not great value
I also think Basharat rolls, but at the odds he got it’s worth a punt. Roughly 3.50, when I give Lapilus a 33,3% chance.

I don’t rate his wrestling that high, but his get-ups are good. The Lavrentyev fight is worth highlighting. Lavrentyev took him down all 5 rounds, but he’s higher level than either Basharat bro. Plus, Lapilus’s finishing upside isn’t that low. He can crack.
 
Just wondering , you think Lapilus has the tdd to
Keep it on the feet? He’s been taken down and held down by much lesser grapplers in the past - to me Basharat rolls here .

Love the under in the Motta fight

And I think kape and Waldo are safe parlay picks - just not great value
No, I do think he will be taken down at some point Bash has a great single. That hasn't stopped him from winning a bunch of fights though he has seen this matchup a lot in his career. Last few have been step-ups for Farid although all are guard players and Bergosso and Kleydson were done after two TDs. First time we see someone get up and have better boxing and actually be a high-level fighter for three rounds. End of the day I was passing because I felt 29-28 quite likely for Farid yet the line forced my hand for 1/3u. I will look to bet Farid live if it tightens up and cover myself.

@Macaque line was on Bet ONline. that was the best of it
 
i managed to catch tom nolan at -235... should have bet the farm
 
Got Nolan at 1.5, Basharat at 1.58, Kape at 1.50. Mcghee at 1.42. Happy with my lines. All 4 should roll imo
 
0.1 Arlovski Dec @ 13
0.1U Acosta Dec @ 4
0.1U Arlovski/Acosta FGTD @ 3.15 (probably stupid to bet all 3 but oh well)

Just added

1U Semelsberger @ 2.0
1U Ferreira @ 1.81
1U Van + McGhee @ 1.97
1U Ankalaev KO @ 1.53
1U Simon @ 1.63

Happy with those and that's me for the night. Good luck all.
 
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Nolan/Motta U1.5 1,550 to win 1,100

Lapilus 525 to win 1,320

Semi 750 to win 350

Waldo Acosta U37.5 Sig strikes RD1 1,000 to win 833

Bautista U28.5 Sig Strikes RD1 1,000 to win 833
Added pre:

Bash 810 to win 282
McGhee + Hawes U1.5 750 to win 784
Waldo 1/2 1,000 to win 800
Akalaev 1TD 500 to win 300

+1,018 = Could have been better. Onto next
 
didnt hit any no chance parlays i did hit a nhl no chance parlay for like 520 though a lot of my ufc no chance parlays were close though

bunes-van over 2.5 fucked me outta 992$ parlay i also had a single bet on the over
ankalev-walker-un 1.5 fucked me outta 160$ parlay i had a bet on the over 1.5 though
miller-benitez-un 1.5 fucked me outta 377$ parlay i had a bet on miller though
simon-bauista un 2.5 fucked me outta 182$ parlay i had a bet on bautista though
tom nolan- fucked me outta a 462$ parlay i had no bet on that fight


i took 2nd in pubsportsradio contest
 
No bets for this event unfortunately I’m dealing with financial problems. Good job to everyone who did good, it was entertaining event!
 
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