UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. Korean Zombie

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Damn Curtis still disrespected by the books and opened as the dog LOL. People caught on this time though.
For real. at +155 that's a steal, he most likely ko's dricus inside 2 rds. Aside from curtis, i like torres and the o2.5 (wmma), imavov and the o2.5 (kelvin is durable af but should be overpowered here), and maybe aldana? girl's got very good hands and is huge. shades of de randamie v ladd. On the other hand, i think there might be value on the u4.5 for the volk fight (must be set at 4.5 no?). he's shown decent power and KZ is lethargic and hittable most of the time (while also being a ko threat himself).

Yan all in, of course. he should be able to stop aljo in the 3rd or 4th but idk, aljo could come out gunshy and make this a long fight to save face. can't see many ptv for him tho, yan's got him covered everywhere aside a lucky kick or injury. great great parlay piece.
 
Loving Darian Weeks as an underdog. Gavin Tucker is intriguing too.
 
Volk , yan , Garry , Aldana , dern , Imavov - all locks
hmm. I would strongly lean towards all of them except Dern. Tecia has a good resume and only lost to good tier opposition, that is just from record capping. id have to tape the fights but no way i would say ' lock ' on Dern, her striking is not good.

I think Garry is a 90-100% percent lean, the rest i'd lean 70-85%
 
Yan should be the one closest to a lock,we already saw them fight so there's much less variability.And I don't know what exactly would be Aljo's path to victory after seeing that first fight
 
hmm. I would strongly lean towards all of them except Dern. Tecia has a good resume and only lost to good tier opposition, that is just from record capping. id have to tape the fights but no way i would say ' lock ' on Dern, her striking is not good.

I think Garry is a 90-100% percent lean, the rest i'd lean 70-85%

I can agree on dern ….. I disagree with Garry being the biggest lock …. Yan is the biggest lock - there’s zero percent chance he loses
 
I can agree on dern ….. I disagree with Garry being the biggest lock …. Yan is the biggest lock - there’s zero percent chance he loses
Its still a competitive fight, i think Garry will dominate Weeks better, Yan will probably win a 5 round decision. In five rounds anything can happen.
 
Anthony Hernandez is a very solid well rounded fighter but he has the weirdest weakness to body shots. His chin actually seems fine, but I've never seen anyone else completely crumble to body shots as quickly as he has. It's the only way he has ever lost-if he didn't get flash body blowed against Holland or Perez I think he would have beaten both of them.
 
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hmm. I would strongly lean towards all of them except Dern. Tecia has a good resume and only lost to good tier opposition, that is just from record capping. id have to tape the fights but no way i would say ' lock ' on Dern, her striking is not good.

I think Garry is a 90-100% percent lean, the rest i'd lean 70-85%

If Dern gets her down it might be a wrap. Need @PolarBearPaulVarelans to chime in here on how likely it is that Dern can close distance and drag this to the mat. Because standing she has little chance vs Tecia imo.
 
If Dern gets her down it might be a wrap. Need @PolarBearPaulVarelans to chime in here on how likely it is that Dern can close distance and drag this to the mat. Because standing she has little chance vs Tecia imo.
Angela hill was able to get her down 2 times

Marina Rodriguez took her down as well

Andrade took her down 10 times, waterson 2 of 3

I’m just quickly looking at stats, so I may be mistaken but I don’t remember Tecia ever having good tdd.

Yea she’s quick and has good
Movement so it may be hard for dern to close distance, but I think she gets it done here and I’ve already bet dern at +135
 
Angela hill was able to get her down 2 times

Marina Rodriguez took her down as well

Andrade took her down 10 times, waterson 2 of 3

I’m just quickly looking at stats, so I may be mistaken but I don’t remember Tecia ever having good tdd.

Yea she’s quick and has good
Movement so it may be hard for dern to close distance, but I think she gets it done here and I’ve already bet dern at +135
Dern is almost incapable of taking someone down though. 1/8 vs Rodriguez. 2 takedowns in all her fights combined in fhe UFC.
 
OK I know Khamzat is the man......at these odds how can you not take Burns? His striking is crisp and he's obviously great on the mat. Physically he's a tank so you'd think ****maayyyybeeee**** he could crack Khamzat?

I'm parlaying the shit out of Yan-Volk and I lean Tybura since Jair really hasn't shown me anything in the UFC other than an ability to wing a shot here and there.
 
OK I know Khamzat is the man......at these odds how can you not take Burns? His striking is crisp and he's obviously great on the mat. Physically he's a tank so you'd think ****maayyyybeeee**** he could crack Khamzat?

I'm parlaying the shit out of Yan-Volk and I lean Tybura since Jair really hasn't shown me anything in the UFC other than an ability to wing a shot here and there.

One jab and Burns goes down. I think we see a repeat of Khamzat v Meerschaert
 
Dern is almost incapable of taking someone down though. 1/8 vs Rodriguez. 2 takedowns in all her fights combined in fhe UFC.
Yea I mean her takedowns do suck.

she’s be better off acting like she’s hurt and falling down hoping tecia follows.
 
Angela hill was able to get her down 2 times

Marina Rodriguez took her down as well

Andrade took her down 10 times, waterson 2 of 3

I’m just quickly looking at stats, so I may be mistaken but I don’t remember Tecia ever having good tdd.

Yea she’s quick and has good
Movement so it may be hard for dern to close distance, but I think she gets it done here and I’ve already bet dern at +135

Yeah I like that Dern will walk through punches to get there too. She kinda has to because her defense sucks, but she's not scared to get hit on the way in to get ahold of an opponent. And Tecia doesn't have the power to hurt Dern as she comes ahead.

Dern also would have likely finished Rodriguez iirc in the round she had her mounted if not for running out of time. She was beaten soundly the rest of the fight, but she likely would have ended it that round with more time (unless I'm remembering wrong).

If she does get Tecia down, it's a complete mismatch on the mat of course. It pretty much is with anyone, Dern is that much better a grappler than basically anyone else in WMMA.
 
Yeah I like that Dern will walk through punches to get there too. She kinda has to because her defense sucks, but she's not scared to get hit on the way in to get ahold of an opponent. And Tecia doesn't have the power to hurt Dern as she comes ahead.

Dern also would have likely finished Rodriguez iirc in the round she had her mounted if not for running out of time. She was beaten soundly the rest of the fight, but she likely would have ended it that round with more time (unless I'm remembering wrong).

If she does get Tecia down, it's a complete mismatch on the mat of course. It pretty much is with anyone, Dern is that much better a grappler than basically anyone else in WMMA.
I’m such a sucker for jiu jitsu

also huge gaps in skill. McKenna is a much better grappler than reed but she’s an idiot And wanted to stand and trade with her.

I have no idea why girls like dern who are specialists don’t focus on wrestling solely. She should be working with high level wrestlers honing her takedown skills and chain wrestling.

she would be unstoppable if she had a good blast double
 
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