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1.- Actually you do, because the remittances are not going to break Mexico, the low oil prices for which Mexico depended, didnt broke Mexico at all. Because Mexico has a free floating currency, so it balances itself quite quickly, the peso went from 13 a dollar to 17.5 a dollar and it has remained there for quite a while with inflation still remaining low (under 3%).
I would assume that losing remittances (again ridiculous, there will always be ways to send money abroad, losing western union is nothing compared to the time where there werent even wired transactions to begin with), would simply jump the peso back a few more units up, that would mean less imports from China and more exports to the USA.
You also talk about the risk of straw remittances, how does that even works? how does that even gets coded into the law? You cant send money abroad if you are sending it for an illegal, how does that gets worded in the law to begin with? pretty much every illegal has tons of relatives who are legal, these guys would simply go to western union instead of the illegal with absolutely zero risk whatsoever.
You try to draw a crappy analogy with straw purchases, but those can actually be proven in a court of law.
2.- You keep claiming that the US can impose tariffs at will, no it cant. Not without leaving NAFTA, TPP and the WTO.
3.- Those guidelines work mainly on the food industry, which is just a tiny part of the US exports, if we are talking about manufacturing, there is no leg to stand on, because of once there is no manufacturing guidelines for making a shirt, and because most US based companies are already certified.
4.- Again, your whole argument is that Mexico depends entirely on remittances, which is a joke, it doesnt. And forbidding Mexicans from visiting the US would actually strengthen the peso.
So yes, the US could do whatever it wanted to Mexico, but your ideas are far-fetched and not politically feasible, at this point you could be very well arguing that the US would threaten to bomb Mexico in order to extort money, and thats not going to happen. Your view on the world is infantile at best.
And please, im the less patriotic mexican in the world and so is my dad, but if the US tried to extort money out of Mexico i would stand by the politician who doesnt caves, i lived the 1994 crisis as a teen which nearly left my family on the streets, you cant possibly speak to me about economic hardship and what can we take or not.
1. That's not my opinion. It's the opinion of people who are writing on the subject.
2. That's not my opinion. It's based on events that have already happened under the existing NAFTA, the WTO and the TPP deals. No one had to leave the deals to do this. Understand...already happened in the last 10 years. This isn't speculation, it's history.
3. No. It doesn't apply only the food industry. The examples I've read never once involved food products. You're not doing enough research.
4. That's not my opinion. The opinion of people who think the wall is a bad idea are writing that freezing remittances would cause significant harm to Mexico's economy.
See, this is the problem. You're arguing with me as if I'm giving you my random, uninformed opinion and we're debating my opinion vs. your opinion. But we're not. I'm giving the opinion of people smarter than me who've looked into it and then added my analysis and summary. You're just giving me your opinion without having bothered to do any actual research.