The thing which made Tony so great will hurt him here. Tony came down with a severe case of Hendonitis, which is when a wrestler neglects their wrestling to work on stand up and ends up getting out grappled by the likes of strikers like Anthony Pettis. Now, more than ever, he will need his wrestling, but it has been put aside for so long that it will not be good enough. Tony is also very creative but can get sloppy, and against Khabib the slightest mistakes will be capitalized on an result in his downfall. It's one thing to be all creative and out of the box vs Lando, but against Khabib, you are getting the smesh machine.
Just like people said Aldo would leg kick Conor to death, the fallacy that Tony will elbow Khabib into submission from the bottom is fake news and makes no sense from a technical standpoint. Khabib will not give him the opportunity or space, and overtime Tony tries something, Khabib will just further advance his position. I'd love Tony to win, but I really think this fight should be -2000 for Khabib. I've long been saying Tony will be one of his easiest match ups to date.