Kelvin is a betting underdog against Jacare?

Discussion in 'UFC Discussion' started by Ken Fresno, Apr 26, 2018.

  1. Ken Fresno

    Ken Fresno Conor’s poorly tied McDojo belt

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    Kelvin +120
    Jacare -150


    In a 3 round fight, does anyone here agree with that?

    Seems like a solid spot to take a big shot.

    [​IMG]

    Let's get this money playboys.
     
  2. welcometohavoc

    welcometohavoc Yellow Card

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    +120 is hardly great odds to win big
     
  3. markys00

    markys00 Black Belt

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    Not great odds either way.

    They're betting on Jacare controlling him like others have done. If Weidman can sub him in 3, Jacare should as well
     
  4. Ken Fresno

    Ken Fresno Conor’s poorly tied McDojo belt

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    If the guy wins even 7 times out of 10, then yes it certainly is. And at this point I think Kelvin wins at least 8 out of 10.

    I think it comes down to Jacare, at best, needing a submission to win in the 3rd. And maybe the fight is tough enough that he gets it 1 or 2 times out of 10.
     
  5. Schoolboy Q

    Schoolboy Q Red Belt

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    Kelvin by KO.
     
  6. Bendo MMA Hero

    Bendo MMA Hero Green Belt

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    As a Jacare fan, I am worried. Kelvin is too fast. It could get ugly.
     
  7. xMaxPower

    xMaxPower Black Belt

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    Kelvins takedown defense isnt that great.

    im honestly 50/50. Either Jaracre sub or Kelvin KO
     
  8. RockyLockridge

    RockyLockridge Red Belt

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    they fucked that one up. If i were a gambling man, I'd throw a fair share on kelvin. I don't see how jacare beats him.
     
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  9. Melas Chasma

    Melas Chasma Red Belt

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    So in your opinion Jacare should be around +400 underdog, or even more.

    [​IMG]
     
  10. Joedaman55

    Joedaman55 Don't be homeless

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    So they give him around a 45% chance to win with that line. I give him around 25-33% chance to win, I’ll prolly bet Jacare.

    I see Jacare controlling Gastelum most of the fight and grinding a decision. Gastelum I feel is a little too small to matchup with the top 5 middleweights.
     
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  11. Sjb1888

    Sjb1888 Silver Belt

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    I rate Kelvin really highly, I see him outclassing Jacare on the feet and surviving on the mat.

    Really wish he'd go back to 170, coz I think he could be the main man at that weight class.
     
  12. Gilday

    Gilday Red Belt

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    +120 isn't that great

    What are the odds of him winning by KO?
     
  13. shortlefthook

    shortlefthook 305 where I reside

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    Kelvin by ko is what I see, jacare is like 7 frames slower and will get hit with a three peice before he gets anything off.
    I don't discredit jacares ground game though, but I think it ends before jacare gets the opportunity to really impose his will, when Kelvin is fresh jacare will have problems grabbing him.
    Stamp it
     
  14. AP_RESURRECTION

    AP_RESURRECTION Gold Belt

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    i slightly favor jacare, personally, the odds make sense to me
     
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  15. SeattleFightFan

    SeattleFightFan Steel Belt

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    if it were his first fight back, i'd agree with you.

    and Gastelum is no Brunson.

    but damn, he wrecked Brunson.

    i wouldn't bet money on this fight either way.

    i can easily see 4 different outcomes. none of them would surprise me.
     
  16. Soul On Ice

    Soul On Ice Gold Belt

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    Neither are Jacare's takedowns
     
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  17. Bend NvR Break

    Bend NvR Break Standing still is actually moving back

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    So it's like a 60/40 fight by the odds
     
  18. Bend NvR Break

    Bend NvR Break Standing still is actually moving back

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    He was throwing around Whittaker until his pectoral tore.
     
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  19. Bend NvR Break

    Bend NvR Break Standing still is actually moving back

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    Yep stay away from this fight betting wise. Way too many possible outcomes.
     
  20. Spacelord13

    Spacelord13 Switchin to Glide Banned

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    I’m not touching that shit.

    [​IMG]
     

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