General MMA Discussion & Future Lines - January, 2018

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by timmyclax22, Jan 1, 2018.

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  1. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    LFA 30: Millender vs. Barnes
    JANUARY 12, 2018
    OC Fair & Event Center | Costa Mesa, California

    Fight Card - (1-12-2018 at 10 PM ET, AXS TV)

    Nick Barnes +145
    Curtis Millender -185

    Talison Soares Costa +225
    Fernando Padilla -305

    Charlie Alaniz +150
    Maikel Perez -190

    Craig Wilkerson +260
    Jordan Wright -380

    Maycon Mendonca +160
    Christian Aguilera -210
     
    JimGunn, Jan 12, 2018
    #41
  2. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Started looking into AXS and I'm liking a lot of the dogs. Costa is a competent grappler. He can give Padilla some problems. Also thought Medonca line was off. I do like Millender against Barnes though. I haven't done anything on Wright/Wilkerson and Perez/Alaniz, but leaning towards the dogs on those too.
     
    Oblivian, Jan 12, 2018
    #42
  3. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    I'm eating a lot of chalk on LFA too, just like Invicta. I'm big on Millender at the opener to win 2u, he's much taller and a better striker than the tough Barnes. I also like Perez's Cuban wrestling vs scrappy TUF veteran Alaniz. I put Wright and Padilla in a parlay as well. Padilla is the riskier of the two heavy favorites, depending on if Costa can handle his striking and make it a gritty fight. No bet on Mendonca/Aguilera yet.
     
    JimGunn, Jan 12, 2018
    #43
  4. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Upon looking a little further, I do think Wright would have a hard time losing here. I can see this being made into a fight and his opponents have mainly sucked, but I do think he has the skills.
     
    Oblivian, Jan 12, 2018
    #44
  5. BatBoyJG

    BatBoyJG Brown Belt

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    Mendonca easy
     
    BatBoyJG, Jan 12, 2018
    #45
  6. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    I agree with Batboy, now that I looked into it a bit. Mendonca fought better competition than Aguilera and has value as an underdog. 2u at +140.
     
    JimGunn, Jan 12, 2018
    #46
  7. Rapidryan88

    Rapidryan88 Green Belt

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    Betway coming with the fire! ACB invicta AND LFA lines
     
    Rapidryan88, Jan 12, 2018
    #47
  8. LEMONZEST

    LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    Hey guys,

    We did this last year and it was great. Join the UFC Pick Em League to track how well you can pick winners and props. No money at stake just a great way to track results and see how well you can pick winners.

    Please follow below link

    http://bit.ly/2mBPbqf
     
    LEMONZEST, Jan 12, 2018
    #48
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  9. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    Non-MMA sports thread is that-a-way fellas ----->


    [​IMG]
     
    JimGunn, Jan 12, 2018
    #49
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  10. Soccer Steve

    Soccer Steve Orange Belt

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    Yeah...wth sorry bout that.
     
    Soccer Steve, Jan 12, 2018
    #50
  11. Soccer Steve

    Soccer Steve Orange Belt

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    And just seeing that the non-MMA thread for January is gone...
     
    Soccer Steve, Jan 12, 2018
    #51
  12. SBJJ

    SBJJ Silver Belt

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    They've been merged
     
    SBJJ, Jan 12, 2018
    #52
  13. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    LFA 30 Risk $960.00

    Curtis Millender (-185) vs Nick Barnes $370.00 for $200.00
    Maikel Perez (-190) vs Charlie Alaniz $190.00 for $100.00
    Maycon Mendonca (+140) vs Christian Aguilera $100.00 for $140.00
    Maycon Mendonca (+140) vs Christian Aguilera $100.00 for $140.00

    Parlay:
    Jordan Wright (-380) vs Craig Wilkerson + Fernando Padilla (-305) vs Talison Soares Costa $200.00 for $135.46
     
    JimGunn, Jan 12, 2018
    #53
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  14. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    Just the one bet for me.. 0.33u Barnes +255. Might do a lil more when line moves.. first example of new unit size making it harder starts on first fight of 2018 haha.
     
    EzFlyer, Jan 12, 2018
    #54
  15. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    fuck, man. i wanted to bet alaniz +3xx but he has fought nothing but mediocre competition outside of kanehara and elliot on tuf.. and he got INSTA finished by both (never saw the kanehara fight) -- and maikel, while raw still, is a darn good wrestler.. prolly just takes charlie down. pass, i guess

    k, i'm set:

    0.5u barnes +248 - hope he's able to keep it in boxing range, he has better hands than millender and he might be the better wrestler, tho i expect this to be a close 15 min standup fight.

    0.33u soares +255 -- this padilla kid burned me against minner, but mannnn, idk. he's what, 21? 22? and he's a freakin beanpole at 145.. ALL of his wins are rd 1 subs.. the only time he went past 1 round he lost a decision (granted, ige is legit, he's in ufc next after DW fight)... talison soares is a legit bjj blackbelt.. tho i'm ONLY going off of tape on soares, i have never seen him live. /shrug. i just figure this mexican kid who relies on scramble subs and shit is gonna lose position to the experienced bjj player and at +255 i'll take that chance.
     
    EzFlyer, Jan 12, 2018
    #55
  16. PuertoRican

    PuertoRican Silver Belt

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    I've never seen Barnes fight before, but he's exposing the same holes Millender has had for a long time.

    Let's see how Millender responds in R2.
     
    PuertoRican, Jan 12, 2018
    #56
  17. PuertoRican

    PuertoRican Silver Belt

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    Millender with the lucky head kick.

    Too bad Barnes took his foot off the gas in R2. It allowed Millender to get comfortable and start to land his 1 strike at a time.

    Millender still trash. I hope he comes back to the UFC so I can win more money betting against him.
     
    PuertoRican, Jan 12, 2018
    #57
  18. Dick

    Dick Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    Hahaha. Millender called for a second round KO pre fight and got it. 2 devastating head kick KO wins in a row.

    Lucky :rolleyes:
     
    Dick, Jan 12, 2018
    #58
  19. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    That highlight reel head kick by Millender was huge especially since he appeared to lose round 1. Only a 1u loss on the balance. Some good fights scheduled on the upcoming LFA cards too.

    LFA 30 Results Risk $960.00

    Curtis Millender (-185) vs Nick Barnes $370.00 for $200.00= $200.00
    Maikel Perez (-190) vs Charlie Alaniz $190.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Maycon Mendonca (+140) vs Christian Aguilera $100.00 for $140.00= -$100.00
    Maycon Mendonca (+140) vs Christian Aguilera $100.00 for $140.00= -$100.00

    Parlay:
    Jordan Wright (-380) vs Craig Wilkerson + Fernando Padilla (-305) vs Talison Soares Costa $200.00 for $135.46= -$200.00
    -----
    Total Loss= -$100.00
     
    JimGunn, Jan 12, 2018
    #59
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  20. Shoulder

    Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

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    Shoulder, Jan 13, 2018
    #60
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