General MMA Discussion & Future Lines - January, 2018 | Page 3

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by timmyclax22, Jan 1, 2018.

  1. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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    LFA 30: Millender vs. Barnes
    JANUARY 12, 2018
    OC Fair & Event Center | Costa Mesa, California

    Fight Card - (1-12-2018 at 10 PM ET, AXS TV)

    Nick Barnes +145
    Curtis Millender -185

    Talison Soares Costa +225
    Fernando Padilla -305

    Charlie Alaniz +150
    Maikel Perez -190

    Craig Wilkerson +260
    Jordan Wright -380

    Maycon Mendonca +160
    Christian Aguilera -210
     
    #41
  2. Oblivian Aging

    Oblivian
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    Started looking into AXS and I'm liking a lot of the dogs. Costa is a competent grappler. He can give Padilla some problems. Also thought Medonca line was off. I do like Millender against Barnes though. I haven't done anything on Wright/Wilkerson and Perez/Alaniz, but leaning towards the dogs on those too.
     
    #42
  3. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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    I'm eating a lot of chalk on LFA too, just like Invicta. I'm big on Millender at the opener to win 2u, he's much taller and a better striker than the tough Barnes. I also like Perez's Cuban wrestling vs scrappy TUF veteran Alaniz. I put Wright and Padilla in a parlay as well. Padilla is the riskier of the two heavy favorites, depending on if Costa can handle his striking and make it a gritty fight. No bet on Mendonca/Aguilera yet.
     
    #43
  4. Oblivian Aging

    Oblivian
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    Upon looking a little further, I do think Wright would have a hard time losing here. I can see this being made into a fight and his opponents have mainly sucked, but I do think he has the skills.
     
    #44
  5. BatBoyJG Brown Belt

    BatBoyJG
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    Mendonca easy
     
    #45
  6. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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    I agree with Batboy, now that I looked into it a bit. Mendonca fought better competition than Aguilera and has value as an underdog. 2u at +140.
     
    #46
  7. Rapidryan88 Green Belt

    Rapidryan88
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    Betway coming with the fire! ACB invicta AND LFA lines
     
    #47
  8. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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    Non-MMA sports thread is that-a-way fellas ----->


    [​IMG]
     
    #48
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  9. Soccer Steve Orange Belt

    Soccer Steve
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    Yeah...wth sorry bout that.
     
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  10. Soccer Steve Orange Belt

    Soccer Steve
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    And just seeing that the non-MMA thread for January is gone...
     
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  11. SBJJ Yellow Card

    SBJJ
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    They've been merged
     
    #51
  12. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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    LFA 30 Risk $960.00

    Curtis Millender (-185) vs Nick Barnes $370.00 for $200.00
    Maikel Perez (-190) vs Charlie Alaniz $190.00 for $100.00
    Maycon Mendonca (+140) vs Christian Aguilera $100.00 for $140.00
    Maycon Mendonca (+140) vs Christian Aguilera $100.00 for $140.00

    Parlay:
    Jordan Wright (-380) vs Craig Wilkerson + Fernando Padilla (-305) vs Talison Soares Costa $200.00 for $135.46
     
    #52
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  13. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    Just the one bet for me.. 0.33u Barnes +255. Might do a lil more when line moves.. first example of new unit size making it harder starts on first fight of 2018 haha.
     
    #53
  14. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    fuck, man. i wanted to bet alaniz +3xx but he has fought nothing but mediocre competition outside of kanehara and elliot on tuf.. and he got INSTA finished by both (never saw the kanehara fight) -- and maikel, while raw still, is a darn good wrestler.. prolly just takes charlie down. pass, i guess

    k, i'm set:

    0.5u barnes +248 - hope he's able to keep it in boxing range, he has better hands than millender and he might be the better wrestler, tho i expect this to be a close 15 min standup fight.

    0.33u soares +255 -- this padilla kid burned me against minner, but mannnn, idk. he's what, 21? 22? and he's a freakin beanpole at 145.. ALL of his wins are rd 1 subs.. the only time he went past 1 round he lost a decision (granted, ige is legit, he's in ufc next after DW fight)... talison soares is a legit bjj blackbelt.. tho i'm ONLY going off of tape on soares, i have never seen him live. /shrug. i just figure this mexican kid who relies on scramble subs and shit is gonna lose position to the experienced bjj player and at +255 i'll take that chance.
     
    #54
  15. PuertoRican Silver Belt

    PuertoRican
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    I've never seen Barnes fight before, but he's exposing the same holes Millender has had for a long time.

    Let's see how Millender responds in R2.
     
    #55
  16. PuertoRican Silver Belt

    PuertoRican
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    Millender with the lucky head kick.

    Too bad Barnes took his foot off the gas in R2. It allowed Millender to get comfortable and start to land his 1 strike at a time.

    Millender still trash. I hope he comes back to the UFC so I can win more money betting against him.
     
    #56
  17. 1PunchKO Senior Moderator

    1PunchKO
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    Hahaha. Millender called for a second round KO pre fight and got it. 2 devastating head kick KO wins in a row.

    Lucky :rolleyes:
     
    #57
  18. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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    That highlight reel head kick by Millender was huge especially since he appeared to lose round 1. Only a 1u loss on the balance. Some good fights scheduled on the upcoming LFA cards too.

    LFA 30 Results Risk $960.00

    Curtis Millender (-185) vs Nick Barnes $370.00 for $200.00= $200.00
    Maikel Perez (-190) vs Charlie Alaniz $190.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Maycon Mendonca (+140) vs Christian Aguilera $100.00 for $140.00= -$100.00
    Maycon Mendonca (+140) vs Christian Aguilera $100.00 for $140.00= -$100.00

    Parlay:
    Jordan Wright (-380) vs Craig Wilkerson + Fernando Padilla (-305) vs Talison Soares Costa $200.00 for $135.46= -$200.00
    -----
    Total Loss= -$100.00
     
    #58
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  19. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

    Shoulder
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    #59
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  20. Obsidian Fracture No sunshine when it's on

    Obsidian Fracture
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