General MMA Discussion & Future Lines - January, 2018 | Page 3

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by timmyclax22, Jan 1, 2018.

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  1. JimGunn Silver Belt

    JimGunn
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    LFA 30: Millender vs. Barnes
    JANUARY 12, 2018
    OC Fair & Event Center | Costa Mesa, California

    Fight Card - (1-12-2018 at 10 PM ET, AXS TV)

    Nick Barnes +145
    Curtis Millender -185

    Talison Soares Costa +225
    Fernando Padilla -305

    Charlie Alaniz +150
    Maikel Perez -190

    Craig Wilkerson +260
    Jordan Wright -380

    Maycon Mendonca +160
    Christian Aguilera -210
     
    #41
  2. Oblivian Aging

    Oblivian
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    Started looking into AXS and I'm liking a lot of the dogs. Costa is a competent grappler. He can give Padilla some problems. Also thought Medonca line was off. I do like Millender against Barnes though. I haven't done anything on Wright/Wilkerson and Perez/Alaniz, but leaning towards the dogs on those too.
     
    #42
  3. JimGunn Silver Belt

    JimGunn
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    I'm eating a lot of chalk on LFA too, just like Invicta. I'm big on Millender at the opener to win 2u, he's much taller and a better striker than the tough Barnes. I also like Perez's Cuban wrestling vs scrappy TUF veteran Alaniz. I put Wright and Padilla in a parlay as well. Padilla is the riskier of the two heavy favorites, depending on if Costa can handle his striking and make it a gritty fight. No bet on Mendonca/Aguilera yet.
     
    #43
  4. Oblivian Aging

    Oblivian
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    Upon looking a little further, I do think Wright would have a hard time losing here. I can see this being made into a fight and his opponents have mainly sucked, but I do think he has the skills.
     
    #44
  5. BatBoyJG Brown Belt

    BatBoyJG
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    Mendonca easy
     
    #45
  6. JimGunn Silver Belt

    JimGunn
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    I agree with Batboy, now that I looked into it a bit. Mendonca fought better competition than Aguilera and has value as an underdog. 2u at +140.
     
    #46
  7. Rapidryan88 Green Belt

    Rapidryan88
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    Betway coming with the fire! ACB invicta AND LFA lines
     
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  8. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

    LEMONZEST
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    Hey guys,

    We did this last year and it was great. Join the UFC Pick Em League to track how well you can pick winners and props. No money at stake just a great way to track results and see how well you can pick winners.

    Please follow below link

    http://bit.ly/2mBPbqf
     
    #48
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  9. JimGunn Silver Belt

    JimGunn
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    Non-MMA sports thread is that-a-way fellas ----->


    [​IMG]
     
    #49
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  10. Soccer Steve Orange Belt

    Soccer Steve
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    Yeah...wth sorry bout that.
     
    #50
  11. Soccer Steve Orange Belt

    Soccer Steve
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    And just seeing that the non-MMA thread for January is gone...
     
    #51
  12. SBJJ Red Belt

    SBJJ
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    They've been merged
     
    #52
  13. JimGunn Silver Belt

    JimGunn
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    LFA 30 Risk $960.00

    Curtis Millender (-185) vs Nick Barnes $370.00 for $200.00
    Maikel Perez (-190) vs Charlie Alaniz $190.00 for $100.00
    Maycon Mendonca (+140) vs Christian Aguilera $100.00 for $140.00
    Maycon Mendonca (+140) vs Christian Aguilera $100.00 for $140.00

    Parlay:
    Jordan Wright (-380) vs Craig Wilkerson + Fernando Padilla (-305) vs Talison Soares Costa $200.00 for $135.46
     
    #53
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  14. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    Just the one bet for me.. 0.33u Barnes +255. Might do a lil more when line moves.. first example of new unit size making it harder starts on first fight of 2018 haha.
     
    #54
  15. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    fuck, man. i wanted to bet alaniz +3xx but he has fought nothing but mediocre competition outside of kanehara and elliot on tuf.. and he got INSTA finished by both (never saw the kanehara fight) -- and maikel, while raw still, is a darn good wrestler.. prolly just takes charlie down. pass, i guess

    k, i'm set:

    0.5u barnes +248 - hope he's able to keep it in boxing range, he has better hands than millender and he might be the better wrestler, tho i expect this to be a close 15 min standup fight.

    0.33u soares +255 -- this padilla kid burned me against minner, but mannnn, idk. he's what, 21? 22? and he's a freakin beanpole at 145.. ALL of his wins are rd 1 subs.. the only time he went past 1 round he lost a decision (granted, ige is legit, he's in ufc next after DW fight)... talison soares is a legit bjj blackbelt.. tho i'm ONLY going off of tape on soares, i have never seen him live. /shrug. i just figure this mexican kid who relies on scramble subs and shit is gonna lose position to the experienced bjj player and at +255 i'll take that chance.
     
    #55
  16. PuertoRican Silver Belt

    PuertoRican
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    I've never seen Barnes fight before, but he's exposing the same holes Millender has had for a long time.

    Let's see how Millender responds in R2.
     
    #56
  17. PuertoRican Silver Belt

    PuertoRican
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    Millender with the lucky head kick.

    Too bad Barnes took his foot off the gas in R2. It allowed Millender to get comfortable and start to land his 1 strike at a time.

    Millender still trash. I hope he comes back to the UFC so I can win more money betting against him.
     
    #57
  18. 1PunchKO Senior Moderator

    1PunchKO
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    Hahaha. Millender called for a second round KO pre fight and got it. 2 devastating head kick KO wins in a row.

    Lucky :rolleyes:
     
    #58
  19. JimGunn Silver Belt

    JimGunn
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    That highlight reel head kick by Millender was huge especially since he appeared to lose round 1. Only a 1u loss on the balance. Some good fights scheduled on the upcoming LFA cards too.

    LFA 30 Results Risk $960.00

    Curtis Millender (-185) vs Nick Barnes $370.00 for $200.00= $200.00
    Maikel Perez (-190) vs Charlie Alaniz $190.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Maycon Mendonca (+140) vs Christian Aguilera $100.00 for $140.00= -$100.00
    Maycon Mendonca (+140) vs Christian Aguilera $100.00 for $140.00= -$100.00

    Parlay:
    Jordan Wright (-380) vs Craig Wilkerson + Fernando Padilla (-305) vs Talison Soares Costa $200.00 for $135.46= -$200.00
    -----
    Total Loss= -$100.00
     
    #59
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  20. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

    Shoulder
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    #60
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