I'm not clued up on all your curious terminology yet but in layman's terms I just put a tenner on a treble for Bigfoot via ko, ubereem r2 ko and nelson via decision. Potential return of 1289.
Singles
Cabral: $7.50 to win $4.29 Loss
Bigfoot: $5 to win $8.50 Loss
Wade: $5 to win $8.25 Loss
Sasaki: $5 to win $6.50 $11.50
Barrosso: $3.75 to win $6 Loss
Tumenov (-3.5): $3.75 to win $4.31 Loss
Anderson: $3.75 to win $2.27 $6.02
Hill: $2.50 to win $3.75 $6.25
Sherman: $2.50 to win $3.38 $5.88 Tweet: $2.50 to win $2.88 $5.38 Cedeno: $2.50 to win $2.75 $2.50
Rocha: $2.50 to win $2.17 $4.67 Nobre: $2.50 to win $1.92 $4.42
Belal/Carl under 3.5: $1.25 to win $1.98 Loss
Risk of $50 $46.62
Parlays
Field over Barnes (Texas) + Reem/AA ITD + Silva/Struve ITD: $7.50 to win $4.31 $11.81
Field over Rory (Wells Fargo) + Leon Edwards: $3.75 to win $2.53 $6.28
Field over Day (Zurich) + Reem: $3.75 to win $2.58 $6.33
Field over Vegas (Zurich) + Cedenblad: $3.75 to win $3.41 $7.16
Field over Fowler (Wells Fargo) + Evinger + AA/Reem ITD: $3.75 to win $2.19 $5.94
Field over Fowler (Wells Fargo) + Medeiros: $2.50 to win $2.03 $4.53
Field over Fowler (Wells Fargo) + Not Horiguchi Sub + Not Randamie ITD: $2.50 to win $3.71 Loss
Field over Rose (Wells Fargo) + Clark (+3.5): $2.50 to win $2.26 Loss
Field over Rose (Wells Fargo) + Tuck/Emmett ITD: $1.25 to win $2.01 Loss
Risk of $31.25 $42.05
RISK OF $81.25 $88.67
TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $187.95 Running Profit = $22.95 (Approximate ROI for year 2.29%)
TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2016: $29 into $2737.13 Total Profit = $2718.14 (Approximate ROI: 12.29%)
Everyone can cringe at the amount of juice I'm paying. It's the most since the very beginning of when I started betting and thought favorites were bigger locks than they actually were. (These ones are locks, though).
Edwards -230 to win 4u
Medadi/Cabral o2.5 -200 to win 1u
KK -240 to win 1u
Wade +170 2u -- O2.5 -220 to win 1u
Gunnar +160 2u
I'm heavy on Tumenov, Overeem and Struve, but I am very confident (as confident you can be in s guy like Struve) that they are all good bets (famous last words). The last bet on the parlay is that one of them wins on KO/TKO. I really cant see Arlovski last for 25 minutes against Overeem, but he might, just might, win early.
Willie Gates: $ 20 to win $ 13. Lost $ 20 Khabilov/Wade over 2.5 + Nelson/Tumenov over 1.5: $ 30 to win $ 30,90
Silva/Struve over 1.5: $ 20 to win $ 28. Lost $ 20
Antonio Silva: $ 10 to win $ 16. Lost $ 10 Canelo(boxing)+Cedenblad+Horiguchi+Randamie: $ 30 to win $ 45,30
Edwars+Horiguchi+Cedenblad+Wade/Rustam over 2.5+Tumenov+Overeeem: $ 10 to win $ 55,33. Lost $ 10
Overeem-AA over 1.5: $ 8 to win $ 8,16. Lost $ 8
I'm lazy and think favs are gonna clean up so just did trebles and stuff with:
Tumenov - Overeem - Struve - Khaboliv/Wade o2.5 - Kowalkiewicz - Cedenblad - Horoguchi - De Randamie.
Also put extra money on KK/Cedenblad/Horoguchi because they're really, really likely to win IMO.
I did manage to get Tumenov (3u) and Struve (2u) on the good Betsafe prices too ages ago.
otherwise the only +odds thing I've done is De Randamie by KO because pandas are cute, cuddly and going extinct - in the ring as well as real life. The size difference is completely ridiculous. WWF should be cracking down on the UFC for this matchup. 0.5u on it but might go up to £75 (1.5u)
I really want to hit the over 1.5 at +110 AA/Reem. I think it will go the first round for sure. A big feeling out round. Then. They will both open up more in the 2nd. If they can just hold on for those 2 and a half minutes. Lol.
Since they both trained together. The respect will be there. I think they will do a lot of feeling out. I also Think AA isn't taking any unnecessary risks. He's pretty quick and can avoid a Reem onslaught. I think first round is going to go to Reem because Reem will be moving forward in this fight. But not a lot of action as far as exchanges. AA is not going to take any risks in this fight. Neither is Reem. Too much on the LINE! This fight guarantees Reem a title shot. He needs the W. But how long will AAs chin hold up for? Also how long will Reem chin hold up for? This is a fight of two guys with dynamite in their fights. But a wine glass for a chin. (Well ubereem had a chin thanks to horse meat)
Decisions decisions. I kinda want to go large on this. Definitely want to do the over on Tumenov vs Gunnar.
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