Your Official UFN 83 bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Feb 12, 2016.

  1. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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  2. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    5.2u cerroney -260 (playing movement)

    3u lineker -150

    1.55u krause -155

    1.08u brunson ITD -108

    0.33u kawajiri DEC +450

    1.25u garcia-strickland O2.5 -125
     
    Last edited: Feb 14, 2016
  3. MMAJay

    MMAJay Green Belt

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    3u Roan Carneiro/Derek Brunson Under 2½ -140*
    2u Tatsuya Kawajiri/Dennis Bermudez Over 2½ -150*
    2u Brunson wins inside distance -135*

    2u parlay:
    Roan Carneiro/Derek Brunson Under 2½ -130*
    Oluwale Bamgbose/Daniel Sarafian Under 1½ -150*

    3u parlay:
    Derek Brunson -370*
    Marion Reneau -175*

    The hail mary (1u):
    Dennis Bermudez -340
    Joe Riggs/Chris Camozzi Over 2½ -155
    Jonavin Webb -245
    Marion Reneau -175
    Fight won’t go 5 round distance -265
    Fight won’t go 3 round distance -180 (Carneiro / Brunson)
     
    Last edited: Feb 18, 2016
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  4. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Singles
    Garcia: $7.50 to win $7.14 Loss
    Carneiro/Brunson ITD: $5 to win $3.85 $8.85
    Abdurahimov: $5 to win $3.57 $8.57
    Anthony Smith: $5 to win $3.33 $8.33
    Mendes/Garbrandt ITD: $5 to win $2.38 $7.38
    Campos: $3.75 to win $7.50 $11.25
    Krause: $3.75 to win $2.50 $5.25
    Kimbo: $3.75 to win $2.34 $6.09

    Newton: $3.75 to win $2.78 Loss
    Kawijiri (+3.5): $2.50 to win $4.25 $6.75
    Pineda: $2.50 to win $3.25 Loss
    Riggs (+3.5): $2.50 to win $2.38 Loss
    Ramm: $1.25 to win $2.25 Loss
    Moreno: $1.25 to win $2 Loss
    Castillo: $1.25 to win $1.88 Loss

    Risk of $53.25 $62.47

    Parlays
    Field over Spieth (Pebble) + Cerrone: $6.25 to win $3.67 $9.92
    Field over Rose (Pebble) + Shamrock: $6.25 to win $4.57 Loss
    Field over Johnson (Northern) + Moraes + Sarafian/Bamgboose ITD: $5 to win $2.66 $7.66

    Field over Mickelson (Pebble) + Moraes + Kimbo/Dada under 1.5: $3.75 to win $2.42 Loss
    Not Evans-Smith ITD + Cerrone (-3.5): $3.75 to win $3.53 $7.28

    Field over McIlroy (Northern) + Valiev + Yager: $3.75 to win $2.39 Loss
    Field over McIlroy (Northern) + Kimbo + Webb: $2.50 to win $2.42 Loss
    Murphy + Webb: $2.50 to win $2.05 Loss
    Campos/Guillard ITD + Cerrone/Oliveira ITD: $1.25 to win $1.30 $2.55

    Risk of $35 $27.41

    RISK OF $88.75 $89.88

    TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $193.25 Running Profit = $28.25 (Approximate ROI for year 5.78%)
    TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
    TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2014: $29 into $2742.43 Total Profit = $2723.44 (Approximate ROI: 12.6945%)
     
    Last edited: Feb 22, 2016
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  5. Sham5916910

    Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    £1900 Cerrone + Brunson @ -120.

    £700 Bermudez + MM + Machida @ +139.

    £50 Brunson KO win @ +175.
     
    Last edited: Feb 18, 2016
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  6. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    1.5u guimares +150

    *edit* make that 0.5u +190. (played both sides)

    3u krause no scorecards -150

    1.24u sarafian ITD -124

    0.795u NOT garbrandt ITD -159

    0.5u riggs dec +375

    0.25u campbell dec +415 (tiny pseudo hedge to prior krause bets)
     
    Last edited: Feb 18, 2016
  7. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    ufn 83 Risk: 1,964.50
    cerrone -260: 520 for 200 / RD 3: 10 for 59.90 / DEC: 40 for 100 / oliveira
    brunson ITD: 108 for 100 / carneiro
    mendes SUB: 30 for 195 / NOT garbrandt ITD: 79.50 for 50
    kawajiri DEC: 33 for 148.50 / bermudez
    riggs DEC: 50 for 187.50 / camozzi no scorecards: 100 parlays
    krause -155: 155 for 100 / krause no scorecards: 300 for 200 / campbell DEC: 25 for 103.75
    strickland DEC: 50 for 173 / O2.5: 125 for 100 / garcia
    sarafian ITD: 124 for 100 / bamgbose
    guimares +180: 50 for 90 / smith
    webb SUB: 25 for 107.50 / coy
    reneau SUB: 50 for 160 / evanssmith
    murphy RD 2: 25 for 181.25 / murphy RD 3: 15 for 198.75 / murphy no scorecards: 50 parlay / faszholz
    hamilton +105: 50 for 52.50
    props
    parlays
    50 for 38.49 camozzi no scorecards -272 & murphy no scorecards -340
    50 for XX camozzi no scorecards -272 & TBD
    ---

    prolly waiting for weigh-ins before i finalize things at this point. still might hedge cerrone. lotta risk on krause, but i just don't think campbell finishes him. prolly gonna bet reneau, just haven't yet.
     
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  8. zomb

    zomb No soap for you Platinum Member

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    damn, almost all bets seems to be props. might skip this event as a whole. haven't got a single bet yet

    lol, 2 hours later i have $2k on this event, some medium bets and then a lot of small bets on dogs

    Oliveira $50 to win $123
    Carneiro $50 to win $163
    Mendes $50 to win $150
    Kawajiri $50 to win $150
    Riggs $50 to win $110
    Krause $200 to win $133
    Strickland $200 to win $204
    Garcia/Strickland o2.5 $400 to win $242
    Sarafian $400 to win $200
    Guimares $100 to win $125
    Webb $300 to win $121
    Hamilton $200 to win $196
     
  9. SalvadorAllende

    SalvadorAllende Interim Belt

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    Not liking his event at all but:

    Hamilton: $ 8 to win $ 8. Lost
    Serafian: $ 30 to win $ 22,50. Lost

    Smith + Cody: $ 9 to win $ 9.56.
    reneau + Camozzi/Riggs over 2.5: $ 10 to win $ 14.80. Lost
    Bermudez + Brunson + Cerrone: $ 20 to win $ 23.87
    Cerrone: $ 150 to win $ 52,50

    $ 227 of risk over a $ 277 BR. YOLO. Won $ 37,93

    New BR: $ 314,93.

    Hope you had a good evening guys. Im going to sleep.
     
    Last edited: Feb 21, 2016
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  10. Sham5916910

    Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Hamilton Shamil over 1.5, both girl fights over 2.5, Sarafian Bamg under 1.5, Camozzi Riggs over 2.5, Brunson Carneiro under 2.5, Cowboys under 2.5, Krause Campbell over 2.5, Bermudez dec, Garcia dec. £20 for £11680.
     
  11. danareem

    danareem Blue Belt

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    UFC FN 83 bets:
    Alex Oliveira vs Donald Cerrone: Donald Cerrone @1.39 (5units)
    Dennis Bermudez vs Tatsuya Kawajiri: Dennis Bermudez @1.33 (2,4units)
    Cody Garbrandt vs Augusto Mendes: Cody Garbrandt @1.30 (8units)
    Roan Carneiro vs Derek Brunson: Roan Carneiro @4.35 (0,5units)
    Oluwale Bamgbose vs Daniel Sarafian: Oluwale Bamgbose @ 2.70 (1unit)
    Cody Garbrandt vs Augusto Mendes: Garbrandt wins by TKO/KO @2.20 (1unit)

    PARLAY: @1.59 (7,5unit)
    Dennis Bermudez - Tatsuya Kawajiri: Dennis Bermudez @1.25
    Cody Garbrandt - Augusto Mendes: Cody Garbrandt @1.27


    banking heavily on cody, donald and bermudez.
     
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  12. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

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    [​IMG]

    very uncreative today, the lowest i've wagered in a long time. returns £159 then going hard on cerrone ITD
     
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  13. danareem

    danareem Blue Belt

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    $105 000 VCASH on Mr Garbrandt
     
  14. mkess101

    mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Cerrone -280
    Cerrone by sub +220
    Cerrone rd 3 +650
    Olivera rd 1 +1100
    Brunson SU in parlays -350 to -380
    Brunson by KO/TKO +220
    Mendes by sub +550
    Mendes by dec +925
    Bermudez -300 in parlays
    Bermudez by dec +125 (Big on this one)
    Bermudez/Kawajiri over 2.5 (Big)
    Webb -220
    Krause no scorecards -170 (Pretty big)
    Riggs/Camozzi over 2.5 -165
    Riggs pts handicap +3.5 -105
    Riggs by dec +300
    Bamgose/Sarafian does not start rd 2 +105
    Sarafian by sub +180
    Strickland/Garcia goes distance -140
    Strickland by dec +275
    Renau by sub +340
    Fasholz pts handicap +3.5 at +115
    Murphy in rd 2 +750
    Murphy in rd 3 +1350
    Hamilton by dec +550

    And as always some little hail mary parlays.


    BOL guys!
     
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  15. Tony J

    Tony J Blue Belt

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    Haha. So this is where you guys went.

    Hamilton (5D) - $40 @ +115
    Hamilton (BDSI) - $22 @ evens
     
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  16. Slohog

    Slohog Green Belt

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    3.5u Reneau @1.6
    2u Faszholz vs Murphy @4.1
    3u Hamilton @2.1
    4u Webb @1.4

    Also small flyers on Faszholz ITD and a bunch of other stuff.
     
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  17. lefontes

    lefontes Green Belt

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    5u on Webb
    1u on Brunson
    0,5u on Garbrandt
    0,5u on under 2,5 Murphy/Fashion
     
  18. Rawex

    Rawex -

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    Was gonna skip this event but going with Cerrone and Kawajiri singles + parlay.
     
  19. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    ufn 83 Risk: 2,329.50
    cerrone -260: 520 for 200 / cerrone ITD: 22.50 parlays / DEC: 40 for 100 / RD 3: 15 for 89.85 / oliveira RD 1: 15 for 175.80 / oliveira RD 2: 10 for 154.10
    brunson ITD: 108 for 100 / carneiro
    mendes SUB: 30 for 195 - 15 parlays / NOT garbrandt ITD: 79.50 for 50
    kawajiri DEC: 33 for 148.50 - 15 parlays / kawajiri +3.5: 67 for 107.20 / o2.5: 22.50 parlays / bermudez
    riggs DEC: 50 for 187.50 - 15 parlays / camozzi no scorecards: 100 parlays
    krause -155: 155 for 100 / krause sub: 15 parlays / krause no scorecards: 300 for 200 / campbell DEC: 25 for 103.75
    strickland DEC: 50 for 173 / O2.5: 125 for 100 - 22.50 parlays / garcia
    sarafian ITD: 94.50 for 75 / U1.5: 22.50 parlays / bamgbose
    guimares +180: 50 for 90 / U2.0: 59.50 for 50 - 22.50 parlays / U1.0: 15 parlays / smith KO: 15 for 97.50
    webb SUB: 25 for 107.50 - 15 parlays / webb no scorecards: 50 parlay / O2.5: 22.50 parlays / coy
    reneau SUB: 50 for 160 - 15 parlays / evanssmith
    murphy RD 2: 25 for 181.25 / murphy RD 3: 15 for 198.75 / murphy no scorecards: 50 parlay / faszholz
    hamilton +105: 50 for 52.50 / O1.5: 50 for 51 - 22.50 parlays / abdurakhimov
    props
    DEC O6.5: 30 for 64.20
    DEC O7.5: 6 for 31.44
    DEC O8.5: 2 for 28.56
    DEC O9.5: 1 for 48.75
    DEC O10.5: 1 for 250
    FOTN: cowboy-cowboy: 25 for 62.50
    FOTN: campbell-krause: 12.50 for 62.50
    parlays
    50 for 38.49 camozzi no scorecards -272 & murphy no scorecards -340
    50 for 33.58 camozzi no scorecards -272 & webb no scorecards -450
    35 RR for 3,401.14: mendesSUB/ kawaDEC/ riggsDEC/ krauseSUB/ smithguimRD1/ webbSUB/ reneauSUB
    52.50 RR for 420.95: cerroneITD/ kawabermO2.5/ garciastrickO2.5/ bamsaraU1.5/ smithguimU2.0/ coywebbO2.5/ hamilabdurO1.5
    ---

    pretty much set. got super creative (aka dumb) on the over-decisions and the RR's. lol.

    i'm very exposed on cerrone (if late oliveira finish) and krause (if any campbell finish). so yea. hoping neither one kill me.

    i'll prolly bet sarafian soon but we'll see.
     
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  20. wack3d

    wack3d Silver Belt

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    Brunson/Carneiro un 2,5 -117 > 150$
    Cody/Mendes un 2,5 -117 > 100$
    Mendes Sub +1250 > 15$
    Kawajiri KO/TKO +1725 > 5$
    Krause -138 > 50$
    Smith -133 > 100$
    Smith KO/TKO +650 > 30$
    Hamilton/Shamil ov 1,5 +105 > 50$
    Hamilton Dec +550 > 20$

    most likely not done yet.. waiting to see how the line movement plays out on some fights

    Hail Mary:
    $2.00 $28,081.43 Pending 9 Team Parlay
    Win 2/20/16 10:30pm WSOF Fighting 3001 Joseph Barajas/Marlon Moraes Under 2½ -130*
    Pending 2/21/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1104 Fight won’t go 3 round distance -165* vs Carneiro / Brunson goes 3 round distance
    Pending 2/21/16 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1204 Fight won’t go 3 round distance -170* vs Mendes / Garbrandt goes 3 round distance
    Pending 2/21/16 10:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1303 Kawajiri / Bermudez goes 3 rnd distance -150* vs Fight won’t go 3 round distance
    Pending 2/21/16 9:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1407 Riggs wins by 3 round decision +440* vs Not Riggs by 3 round decision
    Pending 2/21/16 9:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1511 Krause wins by 3 round decision +334* vs Not Krause by 3 round decision
    Pending 2/21/16 8:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1607 Garcia wins by 3 round decision +185* vs Not Garcia by 3 round decision
    Pending 2/21/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1829 Smith wins by TKO/KO +330* vs Any other result
    Pending 2/21/16 5:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2207 Hamilton wins by 3 round decision +550* vs Not Hamilton by 3 round decision
     
    Last edited: Feb 21, 2016

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