Your official UFC 229 - Khabib x McGregor - BETS

Khabib Nurmagomedov ITD @2.15 ($20)
Anthony Pettis @3.50 ($3)
Tonya Evinger @2.50 ($2)
Jussier Formiga @2.37 ($2)
Ovince St.Preux @3.00 ($2)
Ryan LaFlare @1.70 ($3)
 
UFC 229 Risk $5194.70

Conor McGregor (+160) vs Khabib Nurmagomedov $250.00 for $400.00
Conor McGregor (+158) vs Khabib Nurmagomedov $250.00 for $395.00
Conor McGregor wins by TKO/KO (+185) $100.00 for $185.00
Conor McGregor wins in round 1 or 2 (+220) $50.00 for $110.00
Conor McGregor/Khabib Nurmagomedov won’t start round 5 (-245) $245.00 for $100.00
Conor McGregor/Khabib Nurmagomedov fight ends in KO/TKO/DQ (-145) $145.00 for $100.00
Conor McGregor to do the Billionaire Strut- Yes (-220) $55.00 for $25.00
Conor McGregor/Khabib Nurmagomedov: Will they touch gloves at the start of Round 1- No (-140) $140.00 for $100.00

Tony Ferguson wins in round 3 (+850) $25.00 for $212.50
Tony Ferguson/Anthony Pettis Under 2½ (+100) $100.00 for $100.00
Tony Ferguson/Anthony Pettis Under 2½ (+100) $100.00 for $100.00

Dominick Reyes/Ovince St. Preux Under 1½ (-155) $155.00 for $100.00

Alexander Volkov (-170) vs Derrick Lewis $340.00 for $200.00
Alexander Volkov/Derrick Lewis Over 2½ $100.00 for $115.00

Felice Herrig (-115) vs Michelle Waterson $230.00 for $200.00
Felice Herrig wins by 3 round decision (+150) $75.00 for $112.50

Jussier Formiga (+140) vs Sergio Pettis $200.00 for $280.00
Jussier Formiga wins by submission (+545) ~$26.20 for ~$142.79
Jussier Formiga wins by submission (+350) $25.00 for $87.50

Vicente Luque/Jalin Turner Under 1½ (-147) $147.00 for $100.00

Aspen Ladd (-165) vs Tonya Evinger $825.00 for $500.00
Tonya Evinger (+185) vs Aspen Ladd $50.00 for $92.50
Tonya Evinger (+155) vs Aspen Ladd $50.00 for $77.50
Tonya Evinger (+125) vs Aspen Ladd $50.00 for $62.50
Tonya Evinger (+100) vs Aspen Ladd $50.00 for $50.00
Aspen Ladd/Tonya Evinger Under 2½ (+215) $100.00 for $215.00

Alan Patrick (-247) vs Scott Holtzman $370.50 for $150.00

Yana Kunitskaya (-190) vs Lina Lansberg $380.00 for $200.00
Yana Kunitskaya wins by submission (+520) $40.00 for $208.00
Yana Kunitskaya wins in round 3 (+1400) $25.00 for $350.00

Gray Maynard (+215) vs Nik Lentz $100.00 for $215.00

Ryan LaFlare (-130) vs Tony Martin $260.00 for $200.00

Fights to end in submission over 1½ (-264) $66.00 for $25.00
Fights to end in submission over 2½ (+134) $30.00 for $40.20
Fights to end in submission over 3½ (+417) $15.00 for $62.55

Conor McGregor at Post Fight Press Conference - Says Proper Twelve (+150) $25.00 for $37.50
 
1.75u McGregor +165 -1.75u
0.25u Nurmagomedov DEC +465 -0.25u

0.5u St. Preux NSC +230 0u
0.1u Reyes SUB +1450 -0.1u

0.5u A.Pettis NSC +333 -0.5u
0.2u A.Pettis SUB +1235 -0.2u
0.1u Ferguson RD3 +1000 -0.1u

0.025u Volkov SUB +2000 -0.025u

1u Herrig +100 -1u
0.05u Herrig SUB +1125 -0.05u

1u Formiga +150 +1.5u
0.15u Formiga SUB +585 -0.15u

0.15u Turner NSC +875 -0.15u

0.5u Evinger NSC +295 -0.5u

1u Kunitskaya NSC -125 0u

0.2u Formiga/Herrig/McGregor +1140 -0.2u
0.1u Laflare/Evinger/Volkov/McGregor +1861 -0.1u
0.05u Formiga DEC/Volkov ITD/Ferguson DEC +4531 -0.05u
0.025u Ferguson RD3/McGregor RD2 +8150 -0.025u

NET: -3.65u

These last two cards haven't been good to me. This puts me at +30u for the year, which is pretty disappointing considering I finished 2017 +72u. There's no way I'm going to match that this year, but my goal at this point is at least +40u.

Really hoping we get Khabib vs Ferguson next. I'll be betting Ferguson big at + money if that materializes.
 
Nice job man, congrats!
Thanks T. Feels good to win some prefight action and not have to desperately look to hedge or chase live betting lol. Getting the confidence back with my leans and trusting my gut.
 
McGregor +173 1.33u
McGregor NSC +135 .33u
Nurmagomedov wins, lands most TDs, and lands most sig strikes +138 .8u

Pettis RD1 +1400 .2u

Reyes -155 1u
Reyes SUB +1450 .2u

Volkov -171 4u
Volkov/Lewis O1.5 -160 1u
Lewis NSC -121 1.4u

Herrig -114 2u
Herrig DEC +120 .33u

Formiga +150 .66u
Formiga NSC -148 2.5u
Formiga SUB +585 .2u

Luque -320 1u
Luque/Turner U1.5 -115 3.33u
Luque/Turner DNGTD -285 1u
Luque ITD -206 .66u

Evinger +151 6u
Evinger SUB +1615 .13u
Evinger RD3 +2500 .1u
Ladd SUB +1210 .33u

Kunitskaya -164 6u
Kunitskaya/Lansberg O2.5 -285 3u
Kunitskaya NSC -119 2.45u
Kunitskaya -3.5 +155 .33u
Kunitskaya SUB +945 .2u
Kunitskaya RD3 +1800 .2u

Patrick -228 2.5u
Patrick DEC -122 .8u
Patrick -3.5 +160 .33u

Maynard DEC +325 .4u

Martin +222 .66u
Martin NSC -157 1.5u

Would've gone big on a few of these if not for limits.
Buffer to wear a bow tie -152 $150
Bottle of proper twelve at post fight presser -180 $90
McGregor/Khabib do not touch gloves +200 $50
Dana White to say literally at presser u4.5 -120 $30
McGregor does billionaire strut -220 $55
McGregor/Khabib Introduction over 2:49 $60


Some may say I bet too many fights/lines or I risk too much, the way I see it, if a line has value it deserves a bet. That said I do need to be more disciplined.

Regretting how big I am on a Derrick Lewis fight as well as the over in the Lina/Yana fight, other than that I'm quite happy with the bets. May add to Formiga if I can get more +150.


-4.5u. I hate betting against Lewis, worst part is he looks terrible every time, convincing you to keep trying to fade him. Evinger's age was definitely showing last night, that scramble that ended with her on her back was so sloppy. Poor results, but I had the foresight to cut the unit size in half for this card as all my biggest losses are from these big hyped cards where guys overperform.
 
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