Your Official UFC 207 Bets

all my action so far.. still looking to bet Cruz someway and maybe add more on Borg

if TJ finishes Lineker i am fucked :eek:

0.2u Nunes KO/TKO R1 +550

1u Cruz -200
0.3u Cruz DEC +145
0.14u Cruz/Garbrandt goes to dec +130

1u Lineker +220
1.2u Lineker +190/+195

1.3u Lineker/TJ O2,5 -153
1.6u lineker/Tj O2,5 -161
1.5 Lineker/TJ O2,5 -158

0.5u Lineker Dec +650
0.15u Lineker Dec +650 (freebet)

0.5u Magny -110
1u Magny -117

1.5u Stun Gun/Saff OVER 2,5 -144
0.2u Stungun -111
0.18u Stun Gun Dec +300

1u Means -110
1u Means +125
0.23u Means KO/TKO +475
0.125u Means DEC +350

$60.00 $50.00 Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1940 Means (scorecards = no action) -120* vs Oliveira (scorecards = no action)
$57.50 $50.00 Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1940 Means (scorecards = no action) -115* vs Oliveira (scorecards = no action)
$55.00 $50.00 Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1940 Means (scorecards = no action) -110* vs Oliveira (scorecards = no action)
$52.50 $50.00 Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1940 Means (scorecards = no action) -105* vs Oliveira (scorecards = no action)
$50.00 $53.50 Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1940 Means (scorecards = no action) +107* vs Oliveira (scorecards = no action)
$55.00 $45.45 Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1940 Means (scorecards = no action) -121* vs Oliveira (scorecards = no action)
$55.00 $44.00 Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1940 Means (scorecards = no action) -125* vs Oliveira (scorecards = no action)

1u Thatch -140
0.3u Thatch KO/TKO R1 +225
0.2u Thatch R1 +250 (duh found this just after i made that tko r1 bet)

0.32u Borg -120
1u Borg -125
0.35u Borg Dec +260

0.1u Hen/Magny O2,5+Cruz/Gar O1,5+Kim/Saff O2,5+Lineker/Dilla O2,5+Pyle/Garcia ITD+Borg +1250
0.1u Lineker DEC+Kim DEC+Magny DEC +8900
0.1u Lineker DEC+Kim DEC+Means+Thatch+Cruz+Borg+Magny +46000
 
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For a card I can't even watch live, man I have a lot of action. And no chance to buy out live. Gulp.

Nunes/Rousey u1.5 1.45u at -225
Nunes 1u at +140
Nunes rd 1 .5u at +260
Nunes KO .5u at +185
Dom 3u at -175
Dom UD 1u at +210
Dom -5.5 1.25u at -125
TJ/LIneker o2.5 1.5u at -150
LIneker dec .25u at +630
Kim/Saff o2.5 3.1u at -155
Borg .65u at -110
Magny 3.7u at average of -105 (jeez...)
Magny/Hendricks .95u at -190
Vettori .7u at +140
Garcia 1.6u at -160
Garcia KO .6u at +145
Price .7u at +250 (might freeroll this now)
Means 2.2u averaged at +105

I have some more really small props and hail mary parlays too. Not listing them all, my eyes will go crossed trying to sift through them on 5d. I could get seriously burned with no ability to LB here. That said, I know the absolute most I could lose too LOL.
 
  • Magny 6U
  • Cruz 5.6U
  • Nunes 3.2U‎
  • Borg 3U
  • Means‎ 3U
  • Garcia 3U
  • TJ o2.5 3U
  • Garcia o1.5 1U
  • RR + Cruz + Kim + Borg + Magny + Means 0.4U to win 10.96U
  • Nunes + Lineker + Means + Borg + Magny 0.2U
  • Lewis + Cerrone + Gastelum + Holloway (cashed) + Cruz + Nunes 0.8U to win 21.96U
 
Singles
Cruz: $17.50 to win $7.95
DHK: $15 to win $11.54
Dillashaw: $15 to win $6.67
Means: $11.25 to win $10.23
Rousey: $11.25 to win $8.33
Borg: $10 to win $11.50
Vettori: $8.75 to win $10.06
Hendricks (+3.5): $8.75 to win $5.47
Cruz ITD: $2.50 to win $6.38

Parlays
Garcia + Rousey/Nunes doesn't start 5: $6.25 to win $5.06
Thatch + Rousey/Nunes doesn't start 4: $6.25 to win $4.39
Not Oliv ITD + Pyle/Garcia ITD + Rousey/Nunes doesn't start 4: $2.50 to win $3.21

TOTAL RISK OF $115
 
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207a.png
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207d.png


And one for the friday nite fitba in UK
FRIDAYFITBA.png
awbbb76n5
 
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4u Magny -110
2u Means -110
2u Means +115
2u Magny ITD +210
4u DHK -140
3u magny, TJ, Cruz +300
6u TJ, Cruz +130
 
6.66u Means 1.89 -110 (was gonna hedge this but now I'll just let it ride i guess)
3.33u Cruz -189
3u Dong Hyun Kim -115
2u Dillashaw/Lineker O2.5 -139
0.66u Dillashaw/Lineker O2.5 -161
2u DHK/Saffiedine O2.5 -143
2u Magny +136
1u Magny -123
1u Lineker +200
1u Carlos JR -137
1u Thatch -149
1u Garcia -154


1u Cruz ITD +300
0.4u Rousey SUB r2 +1100
0.33u Lineker DEC +650
0.33u Magny SUB +1000
0.33u Nunes r1 +400
0.2u Dillashaw SUB +1200
0.13u Nunes r2 +1000
0.13u Rousey SUB r3 +3300
0.1u Nunes r3 +1800
0.1u Cruz r4 +3300
0.1u Cruz r5 +4000


0.66u Cruz ML + Nunes/Rousey U1.5 +121
 
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4.2u Rousey -140
1u Rousey ITD +111
0.1u Rousey RD2 +725
0.1u Rousey RD3 +1425
0.1u Nunes SUB +1035

3u Cruz +112 (closes parlays)
0.1u Cruz RD4 +1400
0.1u Cruz RD5 +1875
0.15u Garbrandt RD1 +775
0.1u Garbrandt DEC +1455

3u Dillashaw -112 (closes parlays)
1.6u Dillashaw-Lineker o2.5 -160
0.1u Dillashaw RD3 +1850

1.55u Kim-Saffiedine o2.5 -155

1.3u Borg -130
0.25u Borg SUB +335

1.95u Magny -130
0.1u Magny RD3 +1400

2.725u Means +103
0.1u Means SUB +890
0.1u Means RD3 +1500

0.2u Means NSC/Borg NSC/Magny/Dillashaw/Cruz/Rousey +1931
0.1u Means ITD/Borg-Smolka ITD/Dillashaw DEC/Cruz ITD +5091
0.1u Cruz DEC/Rousey SUB +375

EDIT: Adding a couple tiny stabs

0.1u Cruz SUB +540
0.1u Dillashaw ITD +510
0.1u Dillashaw SUB +875
 
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Pretty sure I'm finalized:

3.56 u on Tim Means @ -107
2.66u on Louis Smolka @ -133
2u on Niel Magny @ +102
1.5u on Jon Lineker @ +195
1u on Ronda Rousey @ -137

.33u on Mike Pyle R3 @ +1600
.66u on Tim Means by KO/TKO @ +450
33u on Neil Magny R3 @ +1800
.2u on Johnny Hendricks R1 KO/TKO @ +1200
.66u on Neil Magny ITD @ +300
2u on Lineker/Dillashaw O 2.5 @ -139
.13u on Cody Garbrandt R1 @ +700
.2u on Dominick Cruz R4 @ +2500
.2u on Dominick Cruz R5 @ +3300
.5u on Rousey/Nunes U 1 min @ +500
.66u on Ronda Rousey R2 @ +900
1u on Rousey/Nunes to end by SUB @ +100

1.5u on Garcia + Kim @ +184
2u on Cruz + Rousey/Nunes U 1.5 @ +115

I made most of my bets really early and got destroyed on line movement on Means and Smolka - chose to ride with it and even add some on Means to get a better price. Might be my largest event in terms of units risked, hopefully it doesn't backfire too bad and wipe out my profits for the year :D

GL fellas!

EDIT: Added Magny R3, Means KO/TKO and small hedges with Hendricks R1 KO/TKO and Garbrandt R1.
 
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Final card:

$500 Cruz -189
$400 Magny -110
$200 Borg -110
$200 Means +120
$200 Means -110
$250 TJ/Lineker Over -161
$50 Lineker Decision +650
 
$31/$56
cerrone -270 win
pettis/halloway over 2.5 -225 win
garbrandt/cruz over 2.5 -235

$20/$73
magny +100
linekar/dillashaw over 2.5 -155
garbrandt/cruz over 2.5 -235

$35/$100
ravens +7 win
chiefs -175 win
garbrandt/cruz over 2.5 -230

$30/$115.33
magny/Hendricks over 2.5 -190
linekar/dillashaw over 2.5 -210
cruz by decision +115

Added
$40/$112
Dillashaw linekar over 2.5 -230
Cruz points -5.5 -155
Atlanta falcons -320
Seattle Seahawks -440
 
Keeping it real low key, best of luck to everyone!

Stun Gun, Cruz, Dillashaw treble - £75 stake returns £283

Magny, Thatch, ACJ treble (just for action) - £30 returns £140
 
3.66U Means win @ +120
1U Means ITD @ +270

2U Thatch @ -161
1U Thatch KO r1 @ +300
1U Thatch/Price quickest fight @ +350

4U Magny @ -125

1U Saffiedine dec @ +275

These are all the pre-fight bets I'm putting on right now. Going to try and stay up for this and make use of livebetting, hoping that the lines get better on TJ/Cruz for a big double and I wanna bet Rousey (possibly r1 or by submission), hoping money comes in on Nunes and it gets to a pick'em but I doubt it.
 
+8.6u last event (with 5u lost livebetting Faber-Picket ITD end R1)
---------------------------

2.5u Means (1.90)
2u Means (2.20)
1.5u A.C. Jr (1.72)
0.5u Magny (2.00)
0.5u Smolka (2.10)
0.5u Pyle (2.62)

0.2u A.C.Jr SUB (3.75)
0.2u Price DEC (7.00)
0.1u Price R3 (21.00)
0.5u Kim DEC (3.75)
0.1u Pyle R3 (15.00)
1.5u Dillashaw Lineker DEC (1.72)
0.75u Dillashaw DEC (2.20)
0.1u Cruz R3 (21.00)
0.1u Cruz R4 (29.00)
0.1u Cruz R5 (34.00)
0.33u Nunes R1 (5.00)
0.1u Nunes R2 (11.00)

parlays:
3u Cruz / Nunes-Rousey ITD (1.60)
0.25u Cruz / Nunes-Rousey ITD / Kim DEC / Means / Dillashaw DEC (25.58)
0.2u Carlos Jr / Cruz / Kim / Means / Lineker (26.60)

RR:
Nunes R1 / Cruz / Dillashaw DEC / Kim DEC / Means
0.50u to win 3.28u

Nunes R1 / Cruz / Magny DEC / Kim DEC / Means
0.50u to win 4.06u
 
UFC 207 Risk $4154.40

Ronda Rousey (-136) vs Amanda Nunes $136.00 for $100.00
Ronda Rousey (-139) vs Amanda Nunes $139.00 for $100.00
Ronda Rousey wins by submission (+125) $75.00 for $93.75
Ronda Rousey wins by submission (+105) $50.00 for $52.50
Ronda Rousey wins in round 2 (+800) $25.00 for $200.00
Ronda Rousey wins by submission in round 2 (+900) ~$14.40 for ~$129.60
Amanda Nunes wins in round 2 (+925) $25.00 for $231.25
Ronda Rousey/Amanda Nunes fight ends in round 2 (+425) $25.00 for $106.25
Ronda Rousey/Amanda Nunes Under 1½ (-220) $220.00 for $100.00

Dominick Cruz (-206) vs Cody Garbrandt $309.00 for $150.00
Dominick Cruz wins by submission (+550) $20.00 for $110.00
Dominick Cruz wins in round 4 (+2500) ~$14.40 for ~$360.00
Dominick Cruz wins in round 5 (+3300) ~$14.40 for ~$475.20
Dominick Cruz wins by 5 round decision (+110) $50.00 for $55.00
Cody Garbrandt wins in round 1 (+725) $25.00 for $181.25

John Lineker (+193) vs T.J. Dillashaw $55.00 for $106.15
John Lineker (+193) vs T.J. Dillashaw $50.00 for $96.50
John Lineker wins by 3 round decision (+620) $50.00 for $310.00
John Lineker/T.J. Dillashaw Over 2½ (-156) $156.00 for $100.00

Dong Hyun Kim/Tarec Saffiedine Over 2½ (-165) $165.00 for $100.00
Dong Hyun Kim/Tarec Saffiedine fight goes to decision (-170) $170.00 for $100.00

Ray Borg (-130) vs Louis Smolka $260.00 for $200.00
Ray Borg (-131) vs Louis Smolka $131.00 for $100.00
Ray Borg wins by decision (+215) $50.00 for $107.50

Neil Magny (-115) vs Johny Hendricks $230.00 for $200.00
Neil Magny (-135) vs Johny Hendricks $405.00 for $300.00
Neil Magny wins in round 3 (+1400) $15.00 for $210.00
Neil Magny wins in round 3 (+2000) ~$9.60 for ~$192.00
Neil Magny wins by submission in round 3 (+3200) ~$9.60 for ~$307.20
Neil Magny wins by 3 round decision (+220) $40.00 for $88.00

Alex Garcia (-157) vs Mike Pyle $235.50 for $150.00
Alex Garcia wins in round 1 (+300) $15.00 for $45.00
Alex Garcia/Mike Pyle fight ends in round 2 (+350) $25.00 for $87.50
Mike Pyle wins in round 3 (+1100) $10.00 for $110.00
Mike Pyle Wins in round 3 (+1144) $10.00 for $114.40

Antonio Carlos Junior/Marvin Vettori Under 2½ (-105) $52.50 for $50.00
Antonio Carlos Junior wins by submission (+315) $15.00 for $47.25
Antonio Carlos Junior wins in round 3 (+1000) $10.00 for $100.00

Brandon Thatch (-140) vs Niko Price $105.00 for $75.00
Brandon Thatch/Niko Price fight ends in first 60 seconds (+650) ~$9.60 for ~$62.40
Brandon Thatch wins in round 1 (+175) $20.00 for $35.00
Brandon Thatch/Niko Price Under 1½ (-140) $105.00 for $75.00

Tim Means (+125) vs Alex Oliveira $200.00 for $250.00
Tim Means wins by TKO/KO (+450) $20.00 for $90.00
Tim Means wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+355) $35.00 for $124.25
Tim Means wins by KO/TKO/DQ in round 2 (+1000) ~$14.40 for ~$144.00
Tim Means wins inside distance (+317) $25.00 for $79.25

Fights to go distance over 4½ (-135) $54.00 for $40.00
Fights to go distance over 5½ (+260) $10.00 for $26.00
Fights to go distance over 6½ (+825) $5.00 for $41.25
Fights to go distance over 7½ (+3100) $3.00 for $93.00
Fights to go distance over 8½ (+23500) $2.00 for $470.00

Ronda Rousey wins Fastest SUB (+200) $10.00 for $20.00
Brandon Thatch wins Fastest KO (+500) $10.00 for $50.00
John Lineker /T.J. Dillashaw FOTN award winner (+300) $15.00 for $45.00


Parlays:

Alex Garcia (-163) + Dong Hyun Kim/Tarec Saffiedine Over 2½ (-165) + Neil Magny (-107) + John Lineker/T.J. Dillashaw Over 2½ (-203) + Dominick Cruz (-213) + Ronda Rousey (-137) $100.00 for $1802.20

Alex Garcia wins inside distance (+119) + John Lineker wins by 3 round decision (+590) + Dominick Cruz wins by 5 round unanimous decision (+145) + Ronda Rousey wins by submission (+130) $25.00 for $2,103.76

Alex Garcia (-175) + Neil Magny (-115) + John Lineker/T.J. Dillashaw goes 3 round distance (-190) + Dominick Cruz wins by 5 round unanimous decision (+145) + Ronda Rousey wins inside distance (+101) $50.00 for $1,054.11

Antonio Carlos Junior/Marvin Vettori Under 2½ (+100) + Dong Hyun Kim/Tarec Saffiedine Over 2½ (-170) + John Lineker/T.J. Dillashaw Over 2½ (-220) + Dominick Cruz/Cody Garbrandt Over 2½ (-210) + Ronda Rousey/Amanda Nunes Under 1½ (-225) $25.00 for $221.29
 
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