PLEASE KEEP THIS THREAD TO BET POSTS ONLY. discuss the fights of UFC 202 here: http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/ufc-202-mcgoat-vs-diaz-ii-vegas.3306159/
Nate in the distance + Rumble via KO $100 to win $351 Nate in the distance $100 to win $160 My fun bet $25 to win $1350 Diaz in the distance Rumble via KO Cerrone in the distance Maia in the distance
10u Nate +120 5u Nate itd + 150 Sprinkling half a unit on Nate rd 3,4,5 Yeah im going heavy on Nate, even tho I'm sure Mac will make adjustments, I still don't think he can KO Diaz and if he doesn't, he's getting finished
$1250 to win $1000 McGregoat $300 to win $405 McGregoat inside distance $100 to win $2500 McGregoat by sub $100 to win $375 McGregoat rd 1 $200 to win $1350 McGregoat rd 2 $50 to win $75 Story
Mike Perry - To Win By KO TKO or Disqualification @ 5/1 (Method of Victory - Match) Marvin Vettori @ 4/7 (To Win the Bout - Match) Nate Diaz - To Win By Submission @ 5/2 (Method of Victory - Match) Cortney Casey - To Win By Decision or Technical Decision @ 4/1 (Method of Victory - Match) Anthony Johnson - To Win In Round 1 or 2 @ 20/23 (Round Combos - Match) Multiple Type: 5 fold Stake: 5.00 Possible Return: 1542.39
2.5 units colby + cody + means @ +113 2.4 units pennington + cody @ -120 0.12 units casey dec +400 0.06 units means sub +800 0.12 units pennington sub +350 0.25 units larkin dec +250 0.10 units griffin ko +600 0.12 units colby sub +350 Messed up here i never go big on more than 3 fighters but im on 4 here as penn + cody became unplayable for me. I got them @ -120 but thats long gone so couldnt bring myself to add more.
My degen parlay bets... Pending 9 Team Parlay Win 8/12/16 2:20pm MLB Baseball 952 Chicago Cubs -168* vs St. Louis Cardinals (A Wainwright - R must Start J Arrieta - R must Start) Win 8/12/16 7:10pm MLB Baseball 978 Boston Red Sox -230* vs Arizona Diamondbacks (P Corbin - L must Start D Price - L must Start) Win 8/12/16 10:15pm MLB Baseball 979 Baltimore Orioles -130* vs San Francisco Giants (D Bundy - R must Start M Cain - R must Start) Pending 8/20/16 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1001 Nate Diaz -105* vs Conor McGregor Pending 8/20/16 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1101 Glover Teixeira +175* vs Anthony Johnson Pending 8/20/16 11:00pm UFC Fighting 1202 Donald Cerrone -160* vs Rick Story Pending 8/20/16 9:00pm UFC Fighting 1602 Raquel Pennington -255* vs Elizabeth Phillips Pending 8/20/16 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1802 Randa Markos -140* vs Cortney Casey Pending 8/20/16 6:30pm UFC Fighting 2101 Marvin Vettori -155* vs Alberto Uda Risk $100 to win $13700 7 Team Parlay Marvin Vettori -165 Aug 20, 2016 3:30 PM Neil Magny -130 Aug 20, 2016 4:00 PM Randa Markos -140 Aug 20, 2016 5:00 PM Cody Garbrandt -550 Aug 20, 2016 6:00 PM Raquel Pennington -265 Aug 20, 2016 6:00 PM Colby Covington -300 Aug 20, 2016 6:00 PM Rick Story +135 Aug 20, 2016 7:00 PM Risk $50 to win $1192 8 Team Parlay Toronto Blue Jays -190 Aug 14, 2016 10:07 AM Marvin Vettori -165 Aug 20, 2016 3:30 PM Neil Magny -130 Aug 20, 2016 4:00 PM Randa Markos -140 Aug 20, 2016 5:00 PM Colby Covington -300 Aug 20, 2016 6:00 PM Donald Cerrone -175 Aug 20, 2016 7:00 PM Tim Means -450 Aug 20, 2016 7:00 PM Conor McGregor -125 Aug 20, 2016 8:59 PM Risk $50 to win $1663
Well I just had to add som on Mizugaki even though I think he will get KO'd. Diaz feels really good though.... Will also add som impossible parlays.
Singles Diaz: $8.75 to win $10.06 Loss Magny: $8.75 to win $6.73 Loss Griffin/Covington ITD: $6.25 to win $6.88 $13.13 Glover: $5 to win $8.75 Loss Mizugaki: $3.75 to win $15 Loss Cerrone: $3.75 to win $2.89 $6.64 Vettori: $3.75 to win $2.42 $6.17 Gooch: $2.50 to win $3.75 $6.25 Moy: $2.50 to win $3.13 Loss Casey: $2.50 to win $3 $5.50 Phillips: $1.25 to win $2.88 Loss Perez: $1.25 to win $2.25 $3.50 Estrazulas: $1.25 to win $2.31 Loss Risk of $51.25 $41.19 Parlays Field over Stenson (Golf Olympics) + Diaz/McGregor ITD: $6.25 to win $2.66 Loss California over Iowa (LLWS) + Lim/Perry ITD + Glover/Rumble ITD: $3.75 to win $4.31 Loss Field over Matsuyama (Wyndham) + Tex/Johnson ITD + Perry/Lim ITD: $3.75 to win $3.68 $7.43 Cerrone + Diaz/McGregor ITD: $3.75 to win $3.51 Loss Bessette + Means/Homasi ITD: $3.75 to win $2.42 $6.17 Field over Na (Wyndham) + Lobov: $2.50 to win $2.68 $5.18 Field over Rose (Golf Olympics) + Tex/Rumble ITD: $2.50 to win $1.78 Loss Bollinger + Vettori: $1.25 to win $1.87 Loss Risk of $27.50 $16.78 TOTAL RISK OF $78.75 $57.97 Spoiler TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $205.60 Running Profit = $40.60 (Approximate ROI for year 2.0995%) TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%) TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%) TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%) TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%) TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%) TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%) GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2016: $29 into $2754.89 Total Profit = $2735.89 (Approximate ROI: 11.8874%)
0.15u mcgregor DEC +630 0.25u mcgregor-diaz DEC +350 0.2u GT SUB +605 0.1u GT RD2 +975 0.1u GT RD3 +1350 0.2u AJ DEC +541 3.2u cerrone -160 0.225u cerrone SUB +445 0.15u means SUB +530 0.15u means RD3 +700 0.5u pennington SUB +920 0.2u pennington RD3 +1050 0.5u casey +175 0.2u markos SUB +705 0.1u markos RD3 +1575 1u larkin +250 0.3u covington SUB +330 0.2u covington RD3 +1000 0.2u vettori SUB +420 ---- yea, i hedged the larkin opener. might just freeroll casey opener for very small. hope these rd 3 subs come through
Vegas bets $10 to win $66 on Diaz/Johnson/Story $20 to win $28 on Story $10 to win $12 on Diaz/McGregor over 3 (Vegas has shitty props) $10 to win $16 on Teixeira Online bets $15 to win $384 on Markos/Pennington/Covington/Means/Story/Johnson/Diaz (dreamer parlays are fun) $5 to win $4 on Lim/Perry under 1.5 $5 to win $60 on Story in R2 $5 to win $110 on Story in R3 FYI, I bet for fun not profit, so I know a lot of my bets are dumb.
Diaz 20 to win 20 Markos 10 to win 8 Mizugaki 5 to win 19 Story 10 to win 14 Glover/AJ U1.5 10 to win 8 Story/Cerrone ITD 10 to win 12.5 Pennington+Magney/Larkin O2.5+Covington 10 to win 17
