Your Official UFC 202 Bets

PLEASE KEEP THIS THREAD TO BET POSTS ONLY.

discuss the fights of UFC 202 here: http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/ufc-202-mcgoat-vs-diaz-ii-vegas.3306159/

 

3.2u cowboy -160
0.225u cowboy sub +445

0.2u GT SUB +605
0.2u AJ DEC +541

 

Cub-Dennis-Yair dec-Nate 10 to win 120

 

Nate in the distance + Rumble via KO

$100 to win $351

Nate in the distance

$100 to win $160


My fun bet

$25 to win $1350

Diaz in the distance
Rumble via KO
Cerrone in the distance
Maia in the distance

 

10u Nate +120
5u Nate itd + 150
Sprinkling half a unit on Nate rd 3,4,5

Yeah im going heavy on Nate, even tho I'm sure Mac will make adjustments, I still don't think he can KO Diaz and if he doesn't, he's getting finished

 

Will hedge a bit with Connor Rd 1 +300

 

$1250 to win $1000 McGregoat
$300 to win $405 McGregoat inside distance
$100 to win $2500 McGregoat by sub
$100 to win $375 McGregoat rd 1
$200 to win $1350 McGregoat rd 2


$50 to win $75 Story

 

Added:

2.5u Larkin +170

0.5u casey +175

 

• Mike Perry - To Win By KO TKO or Disqualification @ 5/1 (Method of Victory - Match)
• Marvin Vettori @ 4/7 (To Win the Bout - Match)
• Nate Diaz - To Win By Submission @ 5/2 (Method of Victory - Match)
• Cortney Casey - To Win By Decision or Technical Decision @ 4/1 (Method of Victory - Match)
• Anthony Johnson - To Win In Round 1 or 2 @ 20/23 (Round Combos - Match)

Multiple Type: 5 fold Stake: 5.00 Possible Return: 1542.39

 

2.5 units colby + cody + means @ +113

2.4 units pennington + cody @ -120

0.12 units casey dec +400

0.06 units means sub +800

0.12 units pennington sub +350

0.25 units larkin dec +250

0.10 units griffin ko +600

0.12 units colby sub +350

Messed up here i never go big on more than 3 fighters but im on 4 here as penn + cody became unplayable for me. I got them @ -120 but thats long gone so couldnt bring myself to add more.

 

5 units on Diaz @ +110

 

Round Robin - Covington, No Love, Pennington, Means, Diaz $260 / $453.37

 

Diaz 3u
Teixeira 0,5u
Larkin 0,5u

 

My degen parlay bets...

Pending 9 Team Parlay
Win 8/12/16 2:20pm MLB Baseball 952 Chicago Cubs -168* vs St. Louis Cardinals (A Wainwright - R must Start J Arrieta - R must Start)
Win 8/12/16 7:10pm MLB Baseball 978 Boston Red Sox -230* vs Arizona Diamondbacks (P Corbin - L must Start D Price - L must Start)
Win 8/12/16 10:15pm MLB Baseball 979 Baltimore Orioles -130* vs San Francisco Giants (D Bundy - R must Start M Cain - R must Start)
Pending 8/20/16 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1001 Nate Diaz -105* vs Conor McGregor
Pending 8/20/16 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1101 Glover Teixeira +175* vs Anthony Johnson
Pending 8/20/16 11:00pm UFC Fighting 1202 Donald Cerrone -160* vs Rick Story
Pending 8/20/16 9:00pm UFC Fighting 1602 Raquel Pennington -255* vs Elizabeth Phillips
Pending 8/20/16 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1802 Randa Markos -140* vs Cortney Casey
Pending 8/20/16 6:30pm UFC Fighting 2101 Marvin Vettori -155* vs Alberto Uda

Risk $100 to win $13700

7 Team Parlay

Marvin Vettori -165 Aug 20, 2016 3:30 PM
Neil Magny -130 Aug 20, 2016 4:00 PM
Randa Markos -140 Aug 20, 2016 5:00 PM
Cody Garbrandt -550 Aug 20, 2016 6:00 PM
Raquel Pennington -265 Aug 20, 2016 6:00 PM
Colby Covington -300 Aug 20, 2016 6:00 PM
Rick Story +135 Aug 20, 2016 7:00 PM

Risk $50 to win $1192

8 Team Parlay

Toronto Blue Jays -190 Aug 14, 2016 10:07 AM
Marvin Vettori -165 Aug 20, 2016 3:30 PM
Neil Magny -130 Aug 20, 2016 4:00 PM
Randa Markos -140 Aug 20, 2016 5:00 PM
Colby Covington -300 Aug 20, 2016 6:00 PM
Donald Cerrone -175 Aug 20, 2016 7:00 PM
Tim Means -450 Aug 20, 2016 7:00 PM
Conor McGregor -125 Aug 20, 2016 8:59 PM

Risk $50 to win $1663

 

Well I just had to add som on Mizugaki even though I think he will get KO'd. Diaz feels really good though.... Will also add som impossible parlays.

 

Singles
Diaz: $8.75 to win $10.06 Loss
Magny: $8.75 to win $6.73 Loss
Griffin/Covington ITD: $6.25 to win $6.88 $13.13
Glover: $5 to win $8.75 Loss
Mizugaki: $3.75 to win $15 Loss
Cerrone: $3.75 to win $2.89 $6.64
Vettori: $3.75 to win $2.42 $6.17
Gooch: $2.50 to win $3.75 $6.25
Moy: $2.50 to win $3.13 Loss
Casey: $2.50 to win $3 $5.50
Phillips: $1.25 to win $2.88 Loss
Perez: $1.25 to win $2.25 $3.50
Estrazulas: $1.25 to win $2.31 Loss

Risk of $51.25 $41.19

Parlays
Field over Stenson (Golf Olympics) + Diaz/McGregor ITD: $6.25 to win $2.66 Loss
California over Iowa (LLWS) + Lim/Perry ITD + Glover/Rumble ITD: $3.75 to win $4.31 Loss
Field over Matsuyama (Wyndham) + Tex/Johnson ITD + Perry/Lim ITD: $3.75 to win $3.68 $7.43
Cerrone + Diaz/McGregor ITD: $3.75 to win $3.51 Loss
Bessette + Means/Homasi ITD: $3.75 to win $2.42 $6.17
Field over Na (Wyndham) + Lobov: $2.50 to win $2.68 $5.18
Field over Rose (Golf Olympics) + Tex/Rumble ITD: $2.50 to win $1.78 Loss
Bollinger + Vettori: $1.25 to win $1.87 Loss

Risk of $27.50 $16.78

TOTAL RISK OF $78.75 $57.97

Spoiler

TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $205.60 Running Profit = $40.60 (Approximate ROI for year 2.0995%)
TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2016: $29 into $2754.89 Total Profit = $2735.89 (Approximate ROI: 11.8874%)

 

0.15u mcgregor DEC +630
0.25u mcgregor-diaz DEC +350

0.2u GT SUB +605
0.1u GT RD2 +975
0.1u GT RD3 +1350
0.2u AJ DEC +541

3.2u cerrone -160
0.225u cerrone SUB +445

0.15u means SUB +530
0.15u means RD3 +700

0.5u pennington SUB +920
0.2u pennington RD3 +1050

0.5u casey +175
0.2u markos SUB +705
0.1u markos RD3 +1575

1u larkin +250

0.3u covington SUB +330
0.2u covington RD3 +1000

0.2u vettori SUB +420

----

yea, i hedged the larkin opener. might just freeroll casey opener for very small.

hope these rd 3 subs come through

 

Added 1.26 units diaz @ +116. Think im done except maybe markos but holding out for better than -130

 

Vegas bets

$10 to win $66 on Diaz/Johnson/Story
$20 to win $28 on Story
$10 to win $12 on Diaz/McGregor over 3 (Vegas has shitty props)
$10 to win $16 on Teixeira

Online bets

$15 to win $384 on Markos/Pennington/Covington/Means/Story/Johnson/Diaz (dreamer parlays are fun)
$5 to win $4 on Lim/Perry under 1.5
$5 to win $60 on Story in R2
$5 to win $110 on Story in R3

FYI, I bet for fun not profit, so I know a lot of my bets are dumb.

 

Diaz 20 to win 20
Markos 10 to win 8
Mizugaki 5 to win 19
Story 10 to win 14
Glover/AJ U1.5 10 to win 8
Story/Cerrone ITD 10 to win 12.5
Pennington+Magney/Larkin O2.5+Covington 10 to win 17