Year long NFL thread!!!!!!!

"True lines" of Sunday and Monday games, based on power ranking comparisons (adjusted to nearest half-point):

Chicago -0.5 = pick
Cleveland -10.5
LA Rams -4.5
Buffalo -2
New England -7
San Francisco -4
Pittsburgh -3
New Orleans -6
Denver -7

Arizona -2
Tampa Bay -9
Dallas -2.5
Seattle -5

Kansas City -3.5

Green Bay -5
 
Sh free $15/$15,570.62
Panthers +3.5
Texans +13
Bears ml
Steelers -6
Rams ml
Niners ml
Dolphins +3.5
Zona ml
Tennesse u 54
Baltimore +4.5
Pats -6
Cowboys +3.5

Sh free $30/$245.70
Lipski -121
Purdue +7.5
North Carolina -4
Phil Davis -125

Dk free $105/$215.88
Romero starts round 3 -250
Talia Santos -360
Bears -140

Sh free $15/$585.70
Kianzad +105
Smith -167
Niners -148
Cowboys +160
Moraes +185

Sh free 28/342.56
Cowboys +3
Arizona -4.5
Atlanta +12.5
Jax +6

Wynn Kyler to throw or rush for a td 20/20

Sh $341/$300.01
Niners -175
Packers -530

Sh free $25/$176.06
Washington -167 win
Niners -186
Panthers +3.5
Cutelaba -143

Sh free $36/$123.72
Niners -177
Medic -125
Hooker -177
 
Honestly having a hard time finding good spots this weekend.

I think I'm probably the only person playing the Vikings @ +165.

I lean Chargers, but everyone I know is on the Cowboys. Literally everyone.

So I just played FD boost Chargers win and Herbert 2+ TD's @ +160 small(max bet is $50).

Everyone is also on the Chiefs, so I may fade the public if the line continues to improve.

95% of people are on Rams ML, so despite me thinking they steamroll the Colts, it's hard for me to bet on them as well.

Plays right now:

Vikings +165 - $141
Chargers win & Herbert 2+ TD's - $50
Bears -1.5 -106, $106
 
Steelers & Under 46.5 +170 - $100
Panthers ML +150 - $50
Patriots ML -250 - $200
Lamar Jackson over 65.5 rushing yards -120 - $100
Mike Williams over 23.5 yards for longest reception -115 - $100
 
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Steelers & Under 46.5 +170 - $100
Panthers ML +150 - $50
Patriots ML -250 - $200
Lamar Jackson over 65.5 rushing yards -120 - $100
Mike Williams over 23.5 yards for longest reception -115 - $100

I like that Lamar rushing prop seems low he’s usually set around 74.5
 
Pittsburgh should be ashamed of themselves.
New Orleans Saints need an intervention.
 
Honestly having a hard time finding good spots this weekend.

I think I'm probably the only person playing the Vikings @ +165.

I lean Chargers, but everyone I know is on the Cowboys. Literally everyone.

So I just played FD boost Chargers win and Herbert 2+ TD's @ +160 small(max bet is $50).

Everyone is also on the Chiefs, so I may fade the public if the line continues to improve.

95% of people are on Rams ML, so despite me thinking they steamroll the Colts, it's hard for me to bet on them as well.

Plays right now:

Vikings +165 - $141
Chargers win & Herbert 2+ TD's - $50
Bears -1.5 -106, $106

Real question. Why do you care what “everyone’s on” when it comes to wagering?
 
Stake: $1,000.00 - Win: $5,530.63
NFL - Washington Football Team -185
Game Start 09/16/2021 @ 05:30 PM
NFL - Kansas City Chiefs -190
Game Start 09/19/2021 @ 05:30 PM
NFL - Dallas Cowboys +3½-122
Game Start 09/19/2021 @ 01:35 PM
NFL - Los Angeles Rams -190
Game Start 09/19/2021 @ 10:10 AM

Cmon Mahomes, make it a pretty tasty week 2
 
Ravens running all over the chiefs

I’m hoping chiefs come out and score so I can try to middle

Player props are looking ok so far. A few for the ravens cashed: Williams over 46 rushing and Williams 2 receptions. Should’ve went big on those. Wanted to bet Lamar over 72 but guess a got too busy today and waited too long. Props weren’t available pre kick off

I do need a Mahomes td and him to throw 2 more passing tds, one to kelce. Don’t know if any of those are going to happen. Also had mahomes over 19 tds rushing. Thought he’d get flushed out of the pocket more
 
Real question. Why do you care what “everyone’s on” when it comes to wagering?

Historically I've made a good amount of money fading the public. I just get a bit hesitant playing a team that everyone is on.

I ended up taking the Rams -3.5(lol) the Bills-3.5, and Titans ML live.

Still down a bit for the day, though. Ravens pulling a huge comeback here would be great, Chiefs can't be stopped though.
 
If mahomes rushes for a td it’s red panty night

ravens not really blitzing though so I don’t know if my mahomes rushing props hit
 
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