Jon Jones has only been the betting underdog twice in his career, his first two UFC Fights. He's currently a slight underdog against Gane, but that could easily change as we get closer to the fight and more money starts to come in on Jones. So the answer is, it depends. It depends on if he's entering that fight coming off a loss (possibly KO loss) to Ciryl Gane or if he's just beaten Gane and is the World Champion. To the former he might be the underdog, to the latter he would not.
Probably not but he might be a bad match up for Jones since Pavlovich's base is Greco and most of Jones takedowns are clinch based and Pavlovich is tall, has long arms and hits much harder.
The reason I say probably not is a lot of people seem to be living years in the past when it comes to Jones' skillset and abilities as if his last 3 fights didn't happen.
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