This is the only way I see Nick winning if he can pull this off with an RNC or arm lock. Since Nick won't be taking Spider down by single leg, double leg or in the clinch, and will most likely not knock him down, I can only think of him dragging Spider down like how he did to Condit in the 3rd round, and locking a body triangle. Don't think I ever seen anyone take Spider's back before. Will be interesting to see if it does happen, even to roll in Diaz's guard and Diaz trying to pull a sub off his back. Or, Diaz taking Spider's back, if he can't get the RNC, he can roll into full mount.