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Nobody thinks he's invincible. But if no camp Diaz can ruin Conor, it makes pretty good sense that full camp Diaz will do a lot better.
..that and Conor doesn't have the tools to take advantage of the weaknesses that Nate does have. We don't have to speculate about this - we saw it unfold in the first fight. Conor tried every trick he had (including attacking the supposedly vulnerable lead leg) ...one and a half rounds in, he was getting boxed up and finished.
Now that's if we're talking Conor coming in and systematically dismantling and finishing Nate or beating him in a decision... He can still catch him with something big early and finish him. I think that people who don't think that this is possible are kidding themselves.