Who's going to win? Jones: 65%, DC: 35%

[RafailNadull]

Is what the bookmaker odds imply. Their track record of prediction is much better than that of any sherdogger or "experts".

If you disagree with those chances, for instance, if you think DC is going to win..

1) Bet the house on DC
2) Explain why you're right
3) Prepare to be called irrational

 

[doomy200]

Don't tell me what to do.

 

[JRodMike]

What were the silva Weidman odds?

 

[INoHespectChael]

I take it TS bet the house on jones? Post the ticket please.

 

[TdotK]

What were the Dillashaw/Barao odds?

 

[Diggem]

What were the silva Weidman odds?

If Anderson looks good against Diaz the odds will still be in his favor.

 

[Miiiiiiighty]

What were the silva Weidman odds?

Thought exactly the same when reading the OP

 

[HydralisK]

DC by throwing Jones out of the cage for a TKO. Oh wait that would probably be a DQ for DC. Oh well the fans would know. Matt Hamill redemption.

 

[prikoke]

Seems about right. DC has a decent chance to win this, but let's not act like he should be the favorite against the current LHW GOAT in his prime.

 

[wartor]

Odds are not the future, it's just a guess.

 

[Da Speeit]

Is what the bookmaker odds imply. Their track record of prediction is much better than that of any sherdogger or "experts".

If you disagree with those chances, for instance, if you think DC is going to win..

1) Bet the house on DC
2) Explain why you're right
3) Prepare to be called irrational

If you think there's anything rational about a fist fight, you're fucking high.
Plus, oddsmakers don't really care who they think will win, but rather where they think the person placing their money will win.

I've gotten teams at +220 at smaller sports book and they've been -250 at a busier sports book.

Odds shift, change and update.

Were those the updated odds or the current odds?

 

[mmass]

The bookmakers (I work for a big one) will receive advice from experts. MMA is usually a small market but it's likely. Also depends on where the money is flowing. These odds seem reasonable.

 

[Sharingan]

The bookmaker knows just about as much as you do in terms of "pre-fight information."

When the fight actually happens though, anything can happen. GSP lost to Matt Serra by TKO.

The bookmaker plays for the run long, that is thousands and millions of bets. In the short run, you can still bet on the underdog and win here and there.

 

[MilesAbove]

Champion's get the majority of decisions. Jones can play the long game. Jones has considerable reach. Bookies need more people to bet on DC so the line moves.

In all honesty this is a -135 at best for Jones. But so many people put their money on him that it moves the line.

 

[Diggem]

Is what the bookmaker odds imply. Their track record of prediction is much better than that of any sherdogger or "experts".

If you disagree with those chances, for instance, if you think DC is going to win..

1) Bet the house on DC
2) Explain why you're right
3) Prepare to be called irrational

The fact that bookmakers don't give one fuq about what dudes around here blab on about popularity,supposedly fake stuff,petty threads and who they would LIKE to be champ is just reality.

They know Jones is one bad dude and is going to wreck Cormier.

 

[BangWhosNxt]

I just had a thought; what if DC slams Jones so hard that his head gets stuck in the canvas?

 

[Raphael]

There odds are based on collective thinking, i.e. the gambling mans collective thinking.

 

[Jesse James]

Well the Poll of Pros has Cormier over Jones.....20 to 11.....I think Cormier will win also...but it's MMA, anything can happen...I mean an errant eyepoke could change the game....

 

[estranged]

should br 50/50

 

[blingking]

The fact that bookmakers don't give one fuq about what dudes around here blab on about popularity,supposedly fake stuff,petty threads and who they would LIKE to be champ is just reality.

They know Jones is one bad dude and is going to wreck Cormier.

Good god. Bookmakers dont care about what the actual result of the fight is, their goal is to set a line which receives equal action on both favorite and underdog (this means an equal payout not equal amount of money paid). Then they have guaranteed profit.