This expression, "puncher's chance", has become quite common here on Sherdog. It is usually used to imply a longshot possibility, where a striker can only win a fight by landing a solid strike. Let's say the term puncher's chance encompasses any kind of standing MMA strike; punches, elbows, kicks, and knees. Is a puncher's chance always a longshot? Are all puncher's chances created equal, whether longshot or not? Tell me, what the first of the two listed fighter's puncher's chance is for each matchup. Some matchups have never happened, some have happened, and some have happened/will happen again. Again, any striking is eligible, including all 8 points. 1. Sam Stout vs Benson Henderson 2. Dan Hardy vs GSP 3. Anderson Silva vs Forrest Griffin 4. Michael McD vs Renan Barao 5. Todd Duffee vs Fabricio Werdum 6. JDS vs Cain Velasquez I haven't mentioned it yet, but obviously the "puncher's chance" in a matchup like Chuck Liddell vs Tito Ortiz, in their primes, has other variables. Chuck is the better striker. Tito's means of getting Chuck down are limited, and his odds of keeping him down are very slim. So this gives Chuck all kinds of extra time to use his puncher's chance, which increases it drastically. At this point, even if 1/40 punches has a chance of finishing the job, it doesn't matter because Chuck will throw 40 punches or more over 5 rounds for sure. Now humor me: Out of Thiago Alves, Josh Koscheck, and Dan Hardy, who had the best puncher's chance against GSP?