Regardless of you picks or how you feel the first fight went down lets discuss the technical points of this matchup. Conor was obviously gassed by the second round before Nate ever tagged him. He got tagged off attempting a counter left uppercut he never setup with a jab or a hook. He was showing obvious signs of gassing and Nate took advantage of it. Idk why the lead uppercut wasn't used as much, he caught Nate with it easily, and it sets up so much with a southpaw vs southpaw. Conor has a nonexistent jab game so a lead uppercut heavy gameplan would have had more success. Problem was he kept telegraphing the straight so Nate would roll with it and minimize the damage, pressing forward against Nate hurts him more then helping, hes quick enough to counterstrike Nate. He needs to catch him coming in and not leaning back. Diaz relies on a few goto's which Conor could have easily taken advantage of with speed alone. Even if Conor wants to stick to pressing forward, using that lead hand to at least have Nate already leaning back will make it so his straight connects fully, and doesn't get rolled with. Sadly more than likely for the training footage we've seen Conor is going to stick to the same gameplan, and get outworked again. Its stupid considering hes faster and much more technical than Nate. His ego will always be his downfall. tl;dr: Conor wins if he can implement a counterstriking gameplan with a good use of his hard lead uppercuts. If not its the same fight over again, just might last a little longer. first 1-2 that rocked him he was going for a uppercut with no setup which is exactly what you don't do vs a lanky bigger fighter who uses his range well. shitty gif but as you can see he covers a lot of distance with the lead uppercut and this was a min into second round. I can't find gif but he hits diaz pretty hard with one in the first. He's even got a pretty vicious knockout with one pre-ufc. Thats key to him setting up that left hand and not giving diaz a chance to roll with it. No shitposting please, just discuss the technical points of how either man can pull this fight off.