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I'm at a loss for words over a Brazilian having an objective opinion. Werdum's right though. JDS has nothing for Cain outside of an early puncher's chance. The last fight proved it.
The puncher's chance is bigger than most puncher's chances. Much bigger.
Based on current data, the JDS's puncher's chance stands at 50%.
Based on current data, if the fight goes past the first round, Cain wins 100% of the time.
And you know Cain himself landed a big punch in the 1st round, right?
What were the chances of that?
Based on current data, 50%. So Cain has 50% chance of landing a big punch in the 1st round.
And he has 0% chance of finishing Junior, as he was unable to do it in either of their two meetings.
I like the way you analyze and think, and as you can see, I'm trying to develop similar skills.
You're right, their first two fights just proved everything and now we know exactly what will happen in every area of the fight.