From a logical point of view, the ONLY point of making this thread is BEFORE a 3rd fight between two fighters happening:
If 2 previous wins for fighter "A" absolutely determines that he will win again, as many claim here, why not bet your house on him (Henderson, in this case)?
- Because when you're talking about CONCRETE things, it's more difficult to be so bold.
Nobody here is seriously SURE that the Cowboy will lose. After all, this fight is actually happening. Soon.
It's so easy to write that Weidman would CERTAINLY beat Silva in their third match BECAUSE he already won 2 times, considering that this fight may never occur.
You're writing something that Statistics don't support and probably will never have the chance to be proved wrong.
Fighting analysis is COMPLEX, and for me the "2 wins" argument ALONE is very poor.
Write about Weidmans strengths and Silva's weaknesses, and you surely have your points.
Write that Weidman would win a 3rd match just because he already won twice and I'll call you an opportunist.
It's easy to defend your "certainties" based on things that have already happened and on outcomes that you already know; or based on matches that will probably never happen.