Weidman chances of win: vs Jones or vs DC?

[Gregoire1]

IMO against DC he has 40-50% chances:

Striking - tie
Clinch - DC
Wrestling - DC
Grappling and BJJ - Weidman
Gas tank - Tie

Against Jones he has 30% chances:

Striking - Tie
Clinch - Jones
Wrestling - Jones
Grappling and BJJ - Weidman
Gas tank - Jones