Elections US Political Party Demographics shifting

[Two Crows]

Key Points from recent polls:

- Hispanic voters are now roughly 50/50, while as late as 2018 were overwhelmingly Democrat.


- Democrats hold the vast majority of college educated women (from 10% lead in 2010 up to a 38% lead today), but are treading water or losing ground with everyone else.

- Asian traditional Democrat groups are the source of the San Francisco removal of a DA and school board members (sorry, this one is behind a paywall) https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/17/us/san-francisco-school-board-parents.html
Edit: (here is one that is not) https://www.sfchronicle.com/opinion/openforum/article/sf-democrats-asian-americans-17218618.php

Analysis of results suggests many minorities and working-class citizens are primarily concerned with the economy, while wealthier voters are concerned with gun rights and/or abortion.
https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/us0722-crosstabs-nyt071322/a775fbafdcf9db9d/full.pdf


So, the current election cycle is seeing the Democratic Party platform shift wealthier, and whiter, than in recent memory, while Republicans are picking up voters that they have not traditionally courted.

What happens next? Do the parties adapt to the current reality and start customizing the message to the current voters ... or do they double-down and try to retake their traditional constituencies back even if it means losing some the new support they have gained?

IOW, do the parties attempt to keep their traditional roles, or do we see them switch (at least for now)?

 

[Rob Battisti]

I predict whichever party believes men can get pregnant will likely lose more voters over time.

 

[cottagecheesefan]

Lmaoooo, even liberal axios is basically saying the democrats are becoming a party of white, suburban Karens and cuck soy boys

 

[HereticBD]

I predict whichever party believes men can get pregnant will likely lose more voters over time.

As well as telling the working class to just go buy a new electric car, if they don't like high gas prices. I don't see that being a winning message, outside of a relatively small group who can just do that willy nilly.

It's almost as if the left is getting more and more out of touch with the common folk by the day, and want to run the world like a feel good movie they've envisioned in their heads...

 

[CantCucktheTuck]

The Republican Party will soon be as diverse as breakfast tacos.

 

[F1980]

if you're not in the community you wouldn't know

the elote vendor attack in LA a few years ago really started pushing mexicans away from the democrat party because mexicans at least in cali see democrats as the party of the black people. every since the elote vendor attack every violence that blacks commit against mexicans is magnified ten-fold by word of mouth

most people dont know the repercussion of that event. people died because of it and it wasn't even a blip on the local news

 

[HomeCheese]

Hispanics in the US traditionally have been somewhat conservative. This is not surprising in the least. Maybe they didn't vote republican in 2016 because Trump called some of them rapists and wanted to build a wall?

 

[Siver!]

Key Points from recent polls:

- Hispanic voters are now roughly 50/50, while as late as 2018 were overwhelmingly Democrat.


- Democrats hold the vast majority of college educated women (from 10% lead in 2010 up to a 38% lead today), but are treading water or losing ground with everyone else.

- Asian traditional Democrat groups are the source of the San Francisco removal of a DA and school board members (sorry, this one is behind a paywall) https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/17/us/san-francisco-school-board-parents.html
Edit: (here is one that is not) https://www.sfchronicle.com/opinion/openforum/article/sf-democrats-asian-americans-17218618.php

Analysis of results suggests many minorities and working-class citizens are primarily concerned with the economy, while wealthier voters are concerned with gun rights and/or abortion.
https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/us0722-crosstabs-nyt071322/a775fbafdcf9db9d/full.pdf


So, the current election cycle is seeing the Democratic Party platform shift wealthier, and whiter, than in recent memory, while Republicans are picking up voters that they have not traditionally courted.

What happens next? Do the parties adapt to the current reality and start customizing the message to the current voters ... or do they double-down and try to retake their traditional constituencies back even if it means losing some the new support they have gained?

IOW, do the parties attempt to keep their traditional roles, or do we see them switch (at least for now)?

Hispanic voters from Communist countries are overwhelmingly Republican/right-leaning in general.

 

[Rob Battisti]

If conservatives were smart they’d go bigly in on Hispanics. I feel like culturally they are aligned in values more in a traditional sense as it is. I don’t think many first gen working class Mexicans are in on the Woke game.

 

[Cajun]

Its the economy stupid "James Carville"

 

[Yehudim]

This is all the result of net migration from Mexico being zero, apparently negative in recent years (meaning more Americans moving/retiring to Mexico than Mexicans coming here)

I’ve said it for years that the Dems having Latino support was in many ways artificially pumped up by the fear of family being deported or unable to reunify.

It also says something about Mexican-Americans or at least human nature that they are now so concerned with border control now that Central Americans and Haitians are flooding the border instead of Mexicans.