UFN Woodley vs. Burns Official Bets

Really struggled to force myself to watch tape for this event. Luckily, I roused myself in the past few days on top of a few fights where I had already seen the relevant matches from both combatants. No-bets on Sakai-Ivanov, Cifers-Dern, and Rodriguez-Green, although I might make one for Quarantillo vs. Carlyle. For now, just

2.5u on Chookagian at +120

Part of the reason for some of those no-bets is that I anticipate some juicy live-bet lines instead, including Sakai-Ivanov.
 
Burns
Shevchenko
Augusto
Dern/Roberts
Quarantillo
Abreu
Rodriguez itd
Elliott
Morales
Kenney by decision
 
ROBERTS -280 2.0U
WOODLEY -155 1.5U
MORALES +120 1.5U
HILL -120 1.0U

Posted late but I include my losses.
 
Had 2k on Dern, Chook, and Roberts all to win. Return was 6.5k, so 4.5k profit.

I've gotten 4.2k and 4.3k a few times now, but never 4.5k. Set a new record by 200 bux which I'm pretty happy about.
 
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Really struggled to force myself to watch tape for this event. Luckily, I roused myself in the past few days on top of a few fights where I had already seen the relevant matches from both combatants. No-bets on Sakai-Ivanov, Cifers-Dern, and Rodriguez-Green, although I might make one for Quarantillo vs. Carlyle. For now, just

2.5u on Chookagian at +120

Part of the reason for some of those no-bets is that I anticipate some juicy live-bet lines instead, including Sakai-Ivanov.

Added 0.5u on Burns at +165

1u on Spike Carlyle at +140 after round 2
1u on Sakai at +150 after round 1 AND 1u on Ivanov at +140 after round 2 (very rare double-play for me)

All really good live-bets, but still end with a tiny -0.5u loss when a coinflip didn't go my way. Not prebetting either Carlyle-Quarantillo or Sakai-Ivanov were definitely the right plays, though!

Ended +3.3u for the night.

I regret not going a little heavier on Chookagian and I definitely should have played the Sakai-Ivanov GTD prop at -145 like I was heavily contemplating. Strangely, I don't mind my small play on Burns as much. This solely hinged on how much Woodley had left in the tank, and the answer was "damn little".

Oh well, nice to get a solid win after the last few brutal weeks.
 
Gutt/Moraes start RD3 + Ivan/Sakai start RD3 223 to win $200

Kenny + Holland 222 to win $75 ( Holland Scratched )
Kenny + Dern 303 for $200

Hill 278 for $200
Hill/Abreu Start RD3 455 for 200

Roberts Dec or Sub 567 for $300

Roberts+Dern+O'Malley+Ribas 445 for $640 Incomplete

Billy Q 600 for $408
Spike RD1 KO 150 for $1050

Woodley KO or Dec 323 for $200

Lots of bets, pretty much my whole bankroll. Was drunk when placing some of these but I decided on them
sober before propps came out. Here is to crushing and burning lol.

Chased with Dern and Rodriguez for $300. No live bets.

+ 335.

Pretty disappointing. Knew I should of cashed out Hill fight going Rd3. Got out of hole with my bae Dern lol.
And then dropped from 600+ thanks to Woodley.
 
Burns ML +165 2u for 3.3u
Burns ML +160 5u for 8u
Burns ML +150 2u for 3u
Burns ML +135 1u for 1.3u
Burns decision +450 1.5u for 6.7u
Burns split/maj decision +1105 .5u for 5.5u
Woodley split/maj decision +1095 .5u for 5.5u
Sakai ML +105 2u for 2.1u
Sakai no scorecards -111 5.5u for 5u
Carlyle ML +140 1u for 1.4u
Carlyle submission +1175 .5u for 5.8u
Roberts ITD +193 1.5u for 2.9u
Weaver/Roberts ITD +140 1u for 1.4u
Dern TKO/KO +1250 .5u for 6.2u
Dern TKO/KO +850 1u for 8.5u
Rodriguez submission +1075 1u for 10.7u
Green submission +1005 .5u for 5u
Abreu/Hill ITD +120 1u for 1.2u
Gutierrez no scorecards +190 2u for 3.8u
Gutierrez TKO/KO +1085 .5u for 5.4u

Parlay: Cifers/Dern U1.5, Sakai no scorecards, Roberts -3.5, Gutierrez no scorecards 1u for 16.5u
Parlay: Sakai, Roberts, Kenney, Rodriguez ITD, Dern ITD 1u for 7.7u
Parlay: Burns decision, Sakai decision, Dern ITD 1u for 28u
Parlay: Dern/Cifers ITD, Sakai/Ivanov decision, Chookagian/Shevchenko decision 2u for 4.5u
Parlay: Dern ML, Roberts ML, Kenney ML 5u for 7.1u
Parlay: NOT Woodley R1, Sakai no scorecards, Carlyle/Quarantillo ITD, Roberts ITD, Dern ITD, Rodriguez ITD, Kenney no scorecards 1u for 40u
Parlay: NOT Woodley R1, Sakai no scorecards, Green/Rodriguez ITD, Roberts no scorecards, Dern TKO/KO, Kenney no scorecards .5u for 22.9u
Parlay: Cifers/Dern U1.5, Abreu ML, Sakai no scorecards, Roberts submission, Rodriguez ITD, Royval ITD .4u for 67.8u
Parlay: Burns/Woodley U4.5, Sakai/Blagoy U2.5, Carlyle/Quarantillo U2.5, Weaver/Roberts U2.5, Cifers/Dern U1.5, Abreu/Hill U2.5, Morales/Gutierrez U2.5 .1u for 35.8u
Parlay: Sakai TKO/KO, Dern TKO/KO, Shevchenko submission .1u for 96.3u
Parlay: Burns +5.5, Sakai no scorecards, Roberts -3.5, Dern -3.5, Green/Rodriguez ITD, Abreu no scorecards, Elliott -3.5, Smolka/Kenney decision .2u for 26.1u
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God damn amazing from you today. Congrats!
Thank you!

My stomach is legit hurting right now. It feels like it's in knots because I was nervous during the 25+ minutes of the Burns/Woodley fight. I had a lot of money riding on it, and a lot of potential profit, which mostly hit.
 
I start the event with 0-4, down 1g. Than rally back, I though I win the Ginger bet, came out of round 2 with a knock down than follow up with a barrage of shots. I feel Carlyle bettor got rob especially round 1 could be a 10-8 round. At worse it is a tie. But feel bless with Augusto Sakai split wins, earth is at peace again...lol.

I love finishing strong, it is much better feeling than a big win when you dig yourself out of a hole.
 
Woodley KO +180 $200
Woodley/Burns u4.5 -125 $250

Sakai +111 $300
Sakai DEC +217 $300
Sakai/Ivanov GTD -154 $600

Rodriguez -235 $1175
Rodriguez/Green O1 -125 $250

Weaver +280 $300

Dern -241 $1165
Dern ITD -145 $450

Shevchenko -122 $1200
Shevchenko DEC +115 $400

Quarantillo -105 $260
Quarantillo/Carlyle U2.5 -123 $270

Abreu +147 $400

Elliot -131 $800

Kenney -197 $1000
Kenney DEC -117 $800

Morales +124 $500

+$52. Was getting annihilated for most of the night, down 2900 going into the co-main, but a mix of pre and live bets won me 2002 on that fight. Went in on Burns DEC live after rd2 and am celebrating this $52 profit like it's $5200
 
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