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UFN 82 - Post Your Bets!

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Feb 4, 2016.

  1. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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  2. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    ufn 82 Risk: 1,597.99
    Thompson +200: 50 for 100 / Hendricks
    rosholt +130: 100 for 130 / O1.5: 62.50 for 50 / nelson DEC: 25 for 248.75
    OSP-feijao
    makovsky +3.5: 50 for 80 / Benavidez
    cirkunov-nicholson
    pyle no scorecards: 108 for 100 / NOT spencer ITD: 195 for 75
    burkman SUB: 30 for 105 / ITD: 100 for 80 / noons
    grabowski DEC: 30 for 154.50 / NOT grabowski ITD: 70.50 for 50 / O2.5: 50 for 55 / lewis RD 2: 15 for 97.50 / lewis RD 3: 10 for 135
    borg RD 2: 15 for 90 / borg RD 3: 10 for 110 / borg SUB: 150 for 365 / scoggins
    lahat-rivas: idk
    gall-jackson: idk
    lobov -106: 299.99 for 281.81 / lobov KO: 50 for 155 / lobov no scorecards: 177 for 150 / white
    props
    parlays
    ---

    so far. not done by any stretch & might hedge lobov play(s).
     
  3. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    I'm obviously not a big fan of this event for betting.

    Singles
    Nelson: $16.25 to win $11.69 $27.94
    Hendricks: $7.50 to win $3.57 Loss
    Lobov/White under 2.5: $6.25 to win $5.43 Loss
    Grabowski: $5 to win $3.45 Loss
    Scoggins: $3.75 to win $8.25 $12
    Not Gall Rd 1: $3.75 to win $2.78 Loss
    Makovsky: $2.50 to win $8.63 Loss
    Feijao: $2.50 to win $7.50 Loss
    Noons: $2.50 to win $3.75 Loss
    Coyle: $1.25 to win $4.19 Loss
    Volkmann: $1.25 to win $1.99 $3.24
    Cirkunov via (T)Ko: $1.25 to win $2.13 Loss

    Risk of $53.75 $43.18

    Parlays
    Field over Fowler(Phoenix Open) + Not Lahat Sub: $2.50 to win $2.20 $4.70
    Field over Fowler (Phoenix Open) + Pyle/Spencer ITD: $2.50 to win $2.68 $5.18
    Field over Lee (Phoenix Open) + East + Ramos: $2.50 to win $1.26 Loss
    Field over Lee (Phoenix Open) + Cirkunov/Nicholson ITD + Hendricks (-3.5): 1.25 to win $2.52 Loss


    Risk of $8.75 $9.88

    TOTAL RISK OF $62.50: $53.06

    TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $192.12 Running Profit = $27.12 (Approximate ROI for year 6.78%)
    TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
    TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2014: $29 into $2741.31 Total Profit = $2722.31 (Approximate ROI: 12.7416%)
     
    Last edited: Feb 8, 2016
  4. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    1k JB/Mak over 2.5 + Borg @ -108.

    £30 Borg by sub @ +250.

    Lottery ticket: Nelson KO, JB dec, OSP sub, Spencer SU, Lahat SU, Lobov SU, Borg sub £30 for £7597.
     
    Last edited: Feb 5, 2016
  5. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Ditto the above - this card sucks for betting.
     
  6. TheKingOwl Yellow Belt

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    UFN 82

    Johny Hendricks win: R$15,00 to win R$6,00
    Nelson vs Rosholt OVER 1,5 Rounds: R$10,00 to win R$7,20
    Benavidez decision win: R$7,50 to win R$6,00
    Lobov win: R$7,50 to win R$5,40
    Grabowski win: R$7,50 to win R$4,95
     
    Last edited: Feb 6, 2016
  7. Eredin Green Belt

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    Parlay.
    OSP ML
    Hendricks ML
    Lahat ML
    Joe B/Makovsky over 2.5
    Panthers ML
    Cavs ML
     
  8. The MM Analyst Blue Belt

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    6 units on Nelson (meant to bet 4 units, but I had it set to winnings, not bet amount. Oops).
    1 unit on Rosholt and Pyle/Spencer over parlay to hedge my accidental overbet on Nelson
    2 units on Borg and Benavidez/Makovsky over parlay
    1 unit on Grabowski/Lewis over
    3 units on OSP and Lahat parlay
    .5 unit on Jackson and White parlay to win 5 units
    1 unit on Pyle
    1 unit on white
    0.4 unit on overs parlay for KJ/Burkman, Scoggins/Borg, and Lobov/White
     
  9. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    'Play as I go' for the main and co main. If its not such a good night, will live bet. If things go well, i'll bet but honestly still undecided as to what i'll do

    OSP by sub, Feijao by dec
    Makovsky by dec, o2.5
    Cirkunov by KO
    Pyle by dec
    Burkman
    Lewis itd simply cause hes the dog and this is dog or pass all day
    Borg, o2.5
    Lahat, Lahat by KO, and considering a large play on Lahat -3.5
    Jackson by dec
    Artem, Artem by KO
     
  10. jrwfsl147 Yellow Belt

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    £20 Hendricks KO +450
    £25 Grabowski sub +350
    £20 Nelson/Rosholt under 0.5r +390

    And I swear to God, Cirkunov sub was sitting at 5/1 with BetVictor on Wednesday (KO line was 1/3), but I'm banned from there so can't take advantage.

    May stick £200 on Hendricks ML, yet to decide.
     
  11. zomb No soap for you Platinum Member

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    Thompson $100 to win $207
    Rosholt $150 to win $210
    Spencer $250 to win $154
    Burkman $200 to win $121
    Lobov $250 to win $176
    Lobov/White u2.5 $200 to win $155
    Lewis/Grabowski o1.5 $100 to win $120

    OSP+JB/Mak o2.5 $250 to win $180
    OSP+JB/Mak o2.5+Borg $125 to win $153

    OSP+JB/Mak o2.5+Borg $400 to win $476 (offline bet with friend)
    Spencer+OSP $400 to win $368 (offline bet with friend)
     
  12. AldoByMurder Orange Belt

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    Lahat, Hendricks, Benavidez Treble

    £300 on returns £693.32.

    Having a good day on the horses too so will probably put more on later.
     
  13. wack3d Silver Belt

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    hendricks/thompson ov 2.5 -166 > 300$
    cavalcante +325 > 10$
    cavalcante r3 or dec +800 > 10$
    makovsky +350 > 50$
    makovsky dec +600 > 20$
    makovsky +3.5 +160 > 30$
    cirkunov ko/tko +170 > 20$
    rivas dec +520 > 20$
    jackson +335~+435 > 35$
    lobov -105 > 100$
    lobov no cards -140 > 150$
    lobov ko/tko +280 > 15$

    hendricks/thompson ov + borg + cirkunov +157 > 100$
     
    Last edited: Feb 6, 2016
  14. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Thompson +220
    Thompson/Hendricks over 2.5 -185
    Nelson dec +995 and +850
    Benevidez by dec -140
    Cirkunov by KO/TKO +170
    Burkman -160
    Grabowski/Lewis under 1.5
    Grabowski -110
    Grabowski by sub +355
    Scoggins/Borg over 2.5 (big) -135
    Borg itd +177
    Lobov +120


    Some other fun hail mary type little parlays too.
     
  15. TNT10 White Belt

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    Hendricks Dec
    Nelson
    St Preux KO
    Pyle
    Lewis
    Burkman
    Borg ITD
    Lahat Dec
    Lobov
    Benavidez Dec
     
  16. AldoByMurder Orange Belt

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    Good horse luck continued so I've just done an accumulator of;

    England Rugby, Hendricks, Benavidez, Lahat, OSP.

    £200 returns £750
     
  17. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    ufn 82 Risk: 1,765.49
    Thompson +200: 50 for 100 / Hendricks
    rosholt +130: 100 for 130 / O1.5: 130 for 100 / nelson DEC: 25 for 248.75
    OSP-feijao: idk
    makovsky +3.5: 100 for 147.50 / Benavidez
    cirkunov-nicholson: idk
    pyle no scorecards: 108 for 100 / NOT spencer ITD: 195 for 75
    noons +3.5: 100 for 76.92 / ITD: 100 for 80 / burkman SUB: 30 for 105
    grabowski DEC: 30 for 154.50 / NOT grabowski ITD: 70.50 for 50 / O2.5: 50 for 55 / lewis RD 2: 15 for 97.50 / lewis RD 3: 10 for 135
    borg RD 2: 15 for 90 / borg RD 3: 10 for 110 / borg SUB: 150 for 365 / scoggins
    lahat-rivas: idk
    gall-jackson: idk
    lobov +107: 169.99 for 181.81 / lobov KO: 50 for 155 / lobov no scorecards: 177 for 150 / white
    props
    SUB O3.5: 42 for 53.34
    SUB O4.5: 15 for 55.05
    SUB O5.5: 5 for 55.50
    SUB O6.5: 2 for 70.50
    SUB O7.5: 1 for 175
    FOTN: thompson-hendricks: 15 for 51
    parlays
    ---

    i guess i'm mostly set.

    no prefight bet (as of now) on four fights in one ufc.. that's like a record for me, lol.

    might do another half unit on thompson prefight, but idk. prolly smarter to just live bet him after the first if i'm gonna bet him more. kinda wish i did that with rosholt, too.

    borg sub would be great. and pyle and lobov better not get finished.

    not a fan of this card.
     
  18. Scythe Brown Belt

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    With everyone else on thinking this is a mediocre betting card. The Thompson/Hendricks lines were also better before the round change reset:

    Thompson Hendricks starts round 4: -156
    Thompson Hendricks goes 5 round distance: +100
    Roy Nelson: -150
    Makovsky: +375
    Scoggins: +270
    Gall/Jackson U1.5: -148
    Burkman: -170 (hedged out of this a bit post-weigh-in, but still on him)

    Into this event small enough where it doesn't hurt. Really could see every single one of these bets missing, but prefer the sides I'm on.

    Edit: Added Gall/Jackson U1.5 as well, 2 near-amateurs facing off with opposing skillsets. Good odds somebody's stopped.
     
    Last edited: Feb 6, 2016
  19. SalvadorAllende Steel Belt

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    Im keeping it simple this time:

    Alex White: $ 12 to win $ 13,20. $ 25,20
    Spencer: $ 25 to win $ 18,75 Loss
    Burkman: $ 15 to win $ 8,25. $ 23,25
    Lewis: $ 15 to win $ 16,50. $ 32,25
    Makovski: $ 8 to win $ 27,60 Loss

    Risk: $ 75 (over a $ 271 BR).
    Result: Won $ 5,70
     
    Last edited: Feb 6, 2016
  20. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    3u Hendricks
    2u Spencer (0,2u Pyle dec hedge)
    2u Artem
    2u Borg + Lahat
    2u O2.5 Ben/Mak (0,2u Ben sub hedge)
    0,5u Makovsky dec
    5u O2.5 Borg/Scog (1u Borg sub hedge)
    0,2u OSP sub
    0,2u cavalcante dec
    0,5u cavalcante ML
    1u O1.5 OSP/Cav
    1u Rosholt & 1u O1.5
    1u Grabowski & 0,5u O1.5 (0,1u Lewis r3)

    Also have a Lahat + Francisco Rivera parlay for 1u.

    Ended up having way more on this card than expected. We'll see how it goes.
     

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