UFN 156 on ESPN+ 14 Shevchenko vs Carmouche II

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by JimGunn, Jul 15, 2019.

  1. rille31

    rille31 Brown Belt

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    Viera was making strange faces on that scale
     
  2. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    I'm on him as well. Completely agree.
     
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  3. northsofia

    northsofia Blue Belt

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    When i was watching the fight live i thought Volkan acutally won that third round with Reyes and even if i am not right it was close. If we can trust Fightmetric he has thrown the same amount sig. strikes in all 3 rounds (12-12-11), so i am not sure that his ouput was lower in that third round. I think he made some adjustments to his cardio, he is not throwing those hail mary bombs anymore. He oustriked Lionheart (77-63) for 3 rounds which is not an easy job. And he is 30 years old still making some adjustments to his game.
    At the same time Latifi is 36 and his cardio has always been absolute shit. He hasnt changed his style since he is in UFC and he is not going to knock out Volkan early, which has always been his only path to victory. I am even wondering with who is he training now, when Manuwa and Gustafson are both retired. Volkan`s TDD is questionable, but how long can Latifi wrestle before gassing hard? I am really trying to be objective in this fight, but i cant see how is Latifi winning that fight.
     
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  4. lefontes

    lefontes Green Belt

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    Da Silva is going to kill Vargas. Much better in all √°reas. Da Silva itd is the right side.
     
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  5. theTKDguy

    theTKDguy Platinum Native

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    small on vargas, line waaay too wide as some have said. liking my moffett + luque + piechota x vieria under parlay.
    thinking about playing volkan and maybe pessoa too, think that price is stupid.
     
  6. Cockadoodle

    Cockadoodle Orange Belt

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    For what it's worth I really didnt like Viera at the face offs either, he was doing anything except look at his opponent. He had nervous hands and eye flickering, very uncomfortable. Prob means he comes out and sinks in the sub in the first minute..
     
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  7. trident

    trident Water Belt

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    Liking Piechota in this one. His striking is way better than Rodolfo. Piechota rd1 is +625
     
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  8. Cockadoodle

    Cockadoodle Orange Belt

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    Yea I also couldn't resist putting a little on Piechota r1 at +750
     
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  9. theTKDguy

    theTKDguy Platinum Native

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    http://agfight.com.br/es/debutante-...dmite-que-no-esta-totalmente-adaptado-al-mma/
    It's in spanish but rodolfo basically says his transition to mma hasn't been easy and he still gets very nervous and anxious before the fights because of the fear of eating punches and having a hard time imposing his will and taking the fight to the ground. says he's been talking to maia and jacare, and thinks he'll feel more comfortable as he gains more experience.

    This is the big show now and he's getting the debut jitters 100%. it's either viera sub 1rd or piechota tko 1rd imho. i personally like the under
     
  10. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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  11. trident

    trident Water Belt

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    Wont start 2nd +110
     
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  12. matthew55

    matthew55 Yellow Belt

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    what's your guys favorite or most confident FDNGTD fight/ bet? I think Perry/ Luque might be mine, obviously Perry can get the KO but we've seen he can also be submitted and tagged, two things that Luque is highly capable
     
  13. Card

    Card Silver Belt

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    Last edited: Aug 9, 2019
  14. GoldenWolf87

    GoldenWolf87 Orange Belt

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    I will be small on Marina Rodriguez as the underdog.
     
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  15. Invictis

    Invictis Purple Belt

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    Latifi is my only play of this card. I think he mixes it up way more than Volkan, and both have shit cardio.

    I see Latifi winning rds 1/2 pretty easily, and gassing in the third, but Volkan wont have much left in the tank either.
     
  16. Soccer Steve

    Soccer Steve Purple Belt

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    The HW fight with the slob vs. the newbie seems like a sure thing.
     
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  17. GoldenWolf87

    GoldenWolf87 Orange Belt

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    Anyone have thoughts on Rodriguez vs Torres?
     
  18. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    Gianni in rare form- he thinks Raulian Paiva and Rogerio Bontorin are females. The lingo cracks me up: "My group", "buy orders" "movers", lol. Like he's a stockbroker who other people without a license need to go through to get their bets down. "Wiseguys have no problem hitting Gane at -400 since they want that 25% return on investment." You public wouldn't understand, he he.

     
  19. matthew55

    matthew55 Yellow Belt

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    when he started talkin about Paiva and Rogerio as women lolol,,I thought you meant he accidentally said it lol, I remember watching him in some videos on pregame.com and him and most others were jokes then too
     
  20. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    PolarBearPaulVarelans Brown Belt

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    Too funny. Even his numbers are wrong. The break-even percentage for +120 is NOT 43%. It's about 45.5%.

    Nevermind that betting a +120 line you think should be even is not "great". That's like a 1u bet from me if I bet it at all.
     

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