I think that Mike Perry is constantly improving, he's adding new tools each fight and has shown a more controlled and cautious approach his past few. Clearly he's been working on his grappling, wrestling and ground game and wants to show it off. He's tough and will stay in the fight until the end, never been finished by strikes. He's got big power, his left hook isn't to be played with with. He's strong too, going for those 'all muscle no technique pick you up over his head and dump you take downs', the down side of that is he some how seems to still end up on the bottom. All brawn no finesse. Surprisingly his gas tank holds out, especially now he is fighting a more controlled style, but he is usually still the guy pushing forward. I think the threat of his power makes people back up, he was able to walk Felder and Brazlillian Cowboy to the cage repetedly and he cuts it off well, he doesn't just follow like so many guys seem to. Perry seems to win fights either with one big knock out strike, but they have came mostly against fading KO machines like Ellenburger. The other way he wins, like the Olivera and Felder wins, come through attrition, just staying in their face and on them none stop and gutting it out, its not a bad pressure game but he takes all most as much damage as he gives in the process leading to close decisions. Plus Felder broke his arm early in their fight and still took him to a split, plus a bad cut probably also swayed judges.
But, he's fighting Luque, who isn't likely to back away from the power. Luque will bang with Mike and has just as much power matched with much better technique. He held his own against Leon Edward's in all areas of the fight and took the first round from him, showing he is a very well rounded fighter too. His sub game is sharp and he's very quick to jump on an advantages position when they are presented, gets to the back and finds position and submission quickly. Looked like he was seconds away from twisting Bam Bam's head clean off in the first. If Perry decides he wants to test his new skills, like he tried against Donald Cerrone I think he will get a similar result.
A believe in a pure style vs style fight Luque beats Perry everywhere. The better boxing, sharp low kicks, strong and tricky in the clinch, a superior ground game. He also has the height and reach advantage, and at the same age and being in good camps respectively we can expect a similar level of improvement from fight to fight from both guys.
Where I question Luque is his gas tank, he visibly slows down after round one, which could be a pacing issue, he generally goes hard in round one and it's not often people survive it, but when they do the fight gets a lot tougher for Luque from there. Bam Bam made it out of round one and gave him a tough fight from there. Although I do think Bam Bam's performance has been over rated, other than a brief knock down he never really had Luque in any trouble he did make it a scrappy 2 rounds. Leon Edward's survived the first and managed to take control in large parts in the following rounds, still a competitive fight through out but Edwards showed the better has tank and an over all more well rounded game and Luque was unable to mount any really come back attempt. Again, I am sure the gas tank played apart, but it was also due to just how good Leon is.
Perry is plodding at times, just walking forward into the next exchange, or looking to get into the clinch. One of his best weapons is his elbows on the break, which he may have opportunity for if he can corner Luque. I don't see that being likely though, this fight should mostly take place in boxing range.
Perry might have the his moments and land the odd decent shot, but over all Luque is a step or two ahead everywhere and will beat Perry up over the course of the fight. I don't see a finish by strikes for Luque, Perry is just tough enough to take it. Decision or possibly a sub is my prediction.