UFN 151 on ESPN+ 9 Iaquinta vs Cowboy Official Bets

3.75U ragin Al -125
1U Harris -150
1.4U Adams -140
2.2U Adams/bhullar dngtd -110

Not adding anything else this week

Famous last words. Taped more and added more.
.5U Iaquinta 5 Rd dec +365
.5U Cerrone ITD +221 (I think there's no way Cerrone wins a dec, small hedge that he can finish it. like the risk/return better than NSC)
.5U Katona Dec +225
.5U Katona Dec +325
.5U Katona ITD +460
.5U Prepolec NSC +200
.5U Burgos TKO/KO +360

Parlay
Iaquinta, Adams, Katona, Chiasson, Harris
 
I was going to take some time off from betting for a while after going an unprecedented 0-13 last week....yes 0 for fucking 13. But I am back on the horse. As they say you can't keep a good man or a degen gambler down.

2u Cowboy -105
2u Cowboy Al DNGTD -200
1u Brunson KO/TKO +292
.5u Brunson Sub +1344
1u Burgos -165

I will probably add a couple ridiculous prop bets that I always lose but like to play for shits and giggles.

Good luck Sherbros!
 
2u Bhullar 2,13
2u Taleb/Prepolec U2.5 2,85
2u Zahabi 1,64
2u Harris 1,65
2u Sanchez 1,72
2u Dvalishvili 1,59
2u Burgos 1,68
2u Theodorou 1,90
0.5u Cerrone TKO 5,00
 
1.15u Iaquinta -115

1.05u Brunson -105
0.2u Brunson DEC +332

1.5u Burgos -150
0.3u Burgos DEC +310

Looking at a few props still and will update my post if I add anything.
 
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U2.5 Taleb Propalec @2.30 1u
U2.5 Swanson Burros @1.90 1u
O1.5 Chiasson Moras @1.80 1u
Sayles ML + Zahabi ML @1.99 1u
 
Barriault 280$ to win 390$

Sayles 380$ to win 160$

Taleb-prepolec u 2.5 240$ to win 450$

Harris 550$ to win 340$

Bhullar 240$ to win 240$

Burgos 240$ To win 140$

Small card for me, waiting for next week $$$$
 
5u parlay Cowboy/Al DNGTD + Bernardo (next week) to win 5.7u


5u Sayles to win 2.3u

1.5u Cub/Burgos DNGTD to win 1.3u
 
Donald Cerrone 2.30 3U
Derek Brunson 1.90 3U
Merab Dvalishvili 2.10 0.77U
Arjan Bhullar 2.3 1U
Arjan Bhullar 2.01 0.5U

Adams wins in round 1 5.00 0.4U
Chiasson wins by TKO/KO 2.30 0.4U
Moras wins by submission 14.85 0.1U
Brunson wins inside distance 3.30 0.3U
 
Iaquinta -122 $250

Brunson -111 $250

Burgos -155 $400

Dvalishvili -126 $1000
Katona NSC -112 $250

Harris -148 $1250
Harris DEC +470 $40

Sanchez -127 $500
Sanchez/Barriault GTD -145 $145

NOT Chiasson RD1 -150 $250
Moras SUB +1325 $20

Zahabi/Morales GTD -190 $190

Taleb DEC -110 $250

Sayles -203 $1000

Bhullar -104 $600
Bhullar +3.5 -107 $300

Gagnon NSC +104 $500


Hating the Bhullar ML bet more and more.
 
UFN 151 on ESPN+ 9 Risk $2,549.43

Al Iaquinta (-115) vs Donald Cerrone $114.94 for $100.00
Al Iaquinta (-115) vs Donald Cerrone $115.00 for $100.00

Elias Theodorou (-105) vs Derek Brunson $210.00 for $200.00

Shane Burgos (-150) vs Cub Swanson $150.00 for $100.00

Merab Dvalishvili (-175) vs Brad Katona $175.00 for $100.00

Walt Harris (-169) vs Sergey Spivak $169.49 for $100.00
Walt Harris (-170) vs Sergey Spivak $170.00 for $100.00
Walt Harris wins by TKO/KO (+120) $75.00 for $90.00
Walt Harris/Sergey Spivak Under 1½ (-103) $103.00 for $100.00

Andrew Sanchez (-165) vs Marc-Andre Barriault $165.00 for $100.00

Sarah Moras (+600) vs Macy Chiasson $100.00 for $600.00
Sarah Moras wins by submission (+1222) $30.00 for $366.60

Aiemann Zahabi (-150) vs Vince Morales $150.00 for $100.00

Nordine Taleb/Kyle Prepolec Under 2½ (+195) $100.00 for $195.00

Matt Sayles (-200) vs Kyle Nelson $200.00 for $100.00

Juan Adams (-130) vs Arjan Bhullar $130.00 for $100.00
Juan Adams (-130) vs Arjan Bhullar $130.00 for $100.00
Juan Adams/Arjan Bhullar Over 2½ (-112) $112.00 for $100.00

Cole Smith (+110) vs Mitch Gagnon $100.00 for $110.00

Parlay:
Juan Adams wins by 3 round decision (+420) + Shane Burgos wins by 3 round decision (+275) + Al Iaquinta wins by 5 round decision (+335) $50.00 for $4,191.25
 
Light card for me so far. Will place more bets if my first one hits. Also, I'm actually pleased at the prices I got this week, for a change;

2.5u on Iaquinta ML at -110
1.3u on Brunson ML at +105
4u on Bhullar ML at +110
 
Donald
Brunson
Burgos
Merab
Walt
Sanchez
Zahabi by decision
Gagnon
Nelson
Adams
Taleb/Macy itd
 
Here are my official bets as always all EASY MONEY BETS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Smith- wins inside+365(Sub rd 2)
Bhullar-+108(Dec)
Nelson-+174(KO rd 2)
Prepolec-+301(Dec)
Zahabi- wins by Dec+125
Chiasson- Wins by Dec+315
Barriaut-+134(KO1)
Spivak-+145(Sub2)
Katona-+138(Dec)
Burgos- Wins inside+180(Sub2)
Thedorou- Wins by dec+135
Iaquinta-WIns by dec+365
ALL BETS FOR 50$

Prop Bets all for 25$
1 Fight ends in KO+1185
7 Fights end in KO+2235
0 fights end in KO+5350
Realistically I see 2 fights ending in KO

5 fights end in sub+2525
6 fights end in sub+9500
Realistically I see 3 fights ending in sub

9 fights goes to a dec+1060
10 fights go to a dec+2875
2 fights goes to a dec+6850
3 fights goes to a Dec+1945
Realistically I see 7 fights going to a dec

I went 2-10 In my fighter bets last event. Horrible with the fighter picks but I won 2 fights end in KO+1075 and 8 fights end in Dec+1400 I ended up coming up 18$ last event lol lets hope for another winning event
 
Light card for me so far. Will place more bets if my first one hits. Also, I'm actually pleased at the prices I got this week, for a change;

2.5u on Iaquinta ML at -110
1.3u on Brunson ML at +105
4u on Bhullar ML at +110

Oddly, I didn't put any more bets aside from those three. Not even any live bets.

Ended +3.2u for the night. Pleased with all my bets and even moreso the prices I got them at. Bhullar was pretty much a worst-case scenario and it was still a 50/50 fight in his home country, which is fine at +110. Brunson was an average-case scenario, coming through clearly despite getting plus odds.

Iaquinta looked real good for the first 2 rounds, and then Cerrone got his range and timing down, and Al uncharacteristically wilted.

Should I have hedged with Cerrone after round 2 or even 3? Eh, maybe? Then again, the memory of throwing away 3u hedging my Sakai bet last week, even if it went through on a robbery, was fresh in my mind. I hate live-betting fights I have money on already, anyways.

Anywho, +3.2u makes up for the last 2 week of losses AND the 1.2u I lost on Invicta last night, leaving me with a microscopic +0.07u profit for the last 4 cards.

On to next week!
 
Iaquinta -122 $250

Brunson -111 $250

Burgos -155 $400

Dvalishvili -126 $1000
Katona NSC -112 $250

Harris -148 $1250
Harris DEC +470 $40

Sanchez -127 $500
Sanchez/Barriault GTD -145 $145

NOT Chiasson RD1 -150 $250
Moras SUB +1325 $20

Zahabi/Morales GTD -190 $190

Taleb DEC -110 $250

Sayles -203 $1000

Bhullar -104 $600
Bhullar +3.5 -107 $300

Gagnon NSC +104 $500


Hating the Bhullar ML bet more and more.

+$4517. Always these cards I expect nothing from that pay big. Would've been a full card clean sweep without Al. Next week is gonna be a fuckin sweat with what I have staked.
 
1.15u Iaquinta -115 -1.15u

1.05u Brunson -105 +1u
0.2u Brunson DEC +332 +0.66u

1.5u Burgos -150 +1u
0.3u Burgos DEC +310 +0.93u

Live: 2u Cerrone +170 +3.4u

NET: +5.84u

Got a little bit lucky with getting Cerrone at that price after round 3. Honestly would have gone bigger but I thought it might have been a mistake. Anyway, hard to feel too bad when we have to deal judges who think Cub won that fight 30-27. Very happy overall with the result obviously.
 
3 U Harris -150

3 U Sanchez -145

2 U Sayles -210

2U parlay to win 3ish U
Harris/ Sanchez/Chiasson

Will probably hit theo by decision as well
+ a tish more than 6 U for a simple and clean 4/4 chalk favorite night

Thanks to a couple of forward looking degens on this board my 2U parlay turned into a 5U to pay 11U ish that has bernardo as the anchor

So i get to be in a habitual sweat for a week
 
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