Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by JimGunn, Apr 7, 2019.
2u Iaquinta -120
1u Iaquinta R1 KO +850
0.3u Cerrone R1 Sub +1400
0.25u Cerrone Sub +500
2u Sanchez -125
0.1u Barriult R3 KO +2500
2u Swanson +150
0.5u Swanson NSC +180
0.5u FDGTD +110
0.2u Swanson R1 KO +1400
0.3u Swanson KO +600
3u Sayles -214
3u Dvalishvili -137
1.5u Katona NSC -120
1u Taleb-Prepolec FDNGTD +150
1.5u Gagnon -127
3u Gagnon NSC +106
0.2u Gagnon KO +900
0.3u Gagnon Sub +500
0.1u Gagnon R2 KO +2500
3u Harris -160
0.5u Chiasson Dec +275
0.5u Chiasson-Moras FGTD +190
0.2u Moras Sub +1400
0.5u Bhullar Dec +225
0.3u Brunson R1 KO +650
Gagnon risk 1.29 units to win 1 unit
Bhullar risk 1 unit to win 1.21 units
Sanchez risk 1.29 units to win 1 unit
Considering Merab and Cowboy but I’ll likely pass unless their lines improve.
3.75U ragin Al -125
1U Harris -150
1.4U Adams -140
2.2U Adams/bhullar dngtd -110
Not adding anything else this week
Prepolec - £5 for £17
Burgos + Merab - £10 for £26
Al + Elias + Burgos - £5 for £26
Al + Elias + Propolec- £3 for £27
Al - £10 for £16
The Polar Bear - £10 for £23
The Polar Bear + Elias - £5 for £21
Al + Elias + Burgos £10 for £50
Katona + Sayles £8 for £25
The heavy weight triple Polar Bear + Adams + Barriult £5 for £40
Those are return plus stake. Parlays are never a good idea really but I'm betting at low value so I use them to get a better return, I'll probably play a fee more singles by the end of the week, just wanted to get a few in before odds move.
Iaquinta -122 $250
Brunson -111 $250
Dvalishvili -126 $1000
Bhullar -104 $600
Sanchez -127 $500
Sanchez/Barriault GTD -145 $145
Burgos -155 $400
Sayles -203 $1000
Harris -149 $1000
Iaquinta and Brunson bets were placed pre-tape, after tape I wish I passed on both, but letting it ride.
3 U Harris -150
3 U Sanchez -145
2 U Sayles -210
2U parlay to win 3ish U
Will probably hit theo by decision as well
Cerrone ML - 2u for 2.05u (+110/-105)
Brunson ML - 3u for 2.69u (-110/-115)
Sanchez ML - 3u for 1.99u (-145/-165)
Dvalishvili ML - 2u for 1.33u (-150)
Burgos ML - 2.5u for 1.21u (-165)
Sayles ML - 3.54u for 1.68u (-210)
Chiasson Decision - 0.25u for 0.69u (+276)
Over 1.5 Rounds - 1u for 0.91u (-110)
Harris NSC - 2.5u for 1.38u (-178/-195)
Adams ML - 1.5u for 1.15u (-130)
Gagnon NSC - 4u for 3.03u (-125/-140)
Gagnon Submission - 0.5u for 2.56u (+525)
Prepolec NSC - 1u for 2u (+200)
Fights to go distance:
O6.5 - 0.5u for 0.53u
O7.5 - 0.25u for 0.7u
O8.5 - 0.25u for 1.89u
O9.5 - 0.125u for 3.22u
O10.5 - 0.125u for 15.75u
Hoping to be in for a long card.
Can't watch this one so pre-event good luck to everyone.
£20 > £455.62
Someone needs to teach you the basics on betting I think. I make parlays knowing they're terrible bets, you keep making the.and being surprised when you lose your money. You would have been way better off putting a fiver on each of those guys, that way you have a chance of at least one bet coming in
Surprised when I lose my money? I generally laugh when I lose a bet. Couldn't take it much less seriously.
Edit: Also what is it you don't like there?
It's a 4 man prop parley. The odds reflect the likelihood of that bet coming in. Even if all 4 won, which they may well do what if one of them goes the distance? What if Macy gets a sub? You're giving yourself way too many chances to lose. It may come in but payleys like that hit a couple times a year
If Brunson wins (I think he will) he likely must win by knockout due to the opponent style, Elias has some grappling and i don't know much about Derek's subs.
Macy may well win by sub but I know that fight likely isn't going the distance anyway so I'll take my chances there as Macy will win.
Bhullar is a 50/50, but that's just him to win.
Cerrone Al isn't likely to go the distance.
Again, not worried about losing it - I play for high rewards I'm not a vet gambler by any means.
Merab Dvalishvili -170
Donald Cerrone +112
Golden state ml win
Donald cerrone +110
Can't we all get along?
Only 1 bet this event
100 Euro on Harris by finish either Ko/tko
100 Euro to win 110
$3000 Cerrone +112
$500 Cub +147
$200 Bhullar +120
AI Iaquinta 1.70 x 2u
Theodorou 1.90 x 2u
Moras 5.25 x 1u
Katona 2.25 x 3u
Here are my official bets as always all EASY MONEY BETS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Smith- wins inside+365(Sub rd 2)
Nelson-+174(KO rd 2)
Zahabi- wins by Dec+125
Chiasson- Wins by Dec+315
Burgos- Wins inside+180(Sub2)
Thedorou- Wins by dec+135
Iaquinta-WIns by dec+365
ALL BETS FOR 50$
Prop Bets all for 25$
1 Fight ends in KO+1185
7 Fights end in KO+2235
0 fights end in KO+5350
Realistically I see 2 fights ending in KO
5 fights end in sub+2525
6 fights end in sub+9500
Realistically I see 3 fights ending in sub
9 fights goes to a dec+1060
10 fights go to a dec+2875
2 fights goes to a dec+6850
3 fights goes to a Dec+1945
Realistically I see 7 fights going to a dec
I went 2-10 In my fighter bets last event. Horrible with the fighter picks but I won 2 fights end in KO+1075 and 8 fights end in Dec+1400 I ended up coming up 18$ last event lol lets hope for another winning even
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