UFN 149 on ESPN+ 7 Overeem vs Oleinik

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by JimGunn, Apr 7, 2019.

  1. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2013
    Messages:
    13,299
    Likes Received:
    8,519
  2. burge13

    burge13 Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 2, 2015
    Messages:
    863
    Likes Received:
    622
    Shamil is +174 v Tybura. Hopefully opens like this in Aus; don't mind it
     
    Last edited: Apr 7, 2019
  3. Wiktoruspro

    Wiktoruspro Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 26, 2017
    Messages:
    1,658
    Likes Received:
    1,018
    This card sucks for betting. I like only Nakamura
     
  4. burge13

    burge13 Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 2, 2015
    Messages:
    863
    Likes Received:
    622
    Don't have all odds out yet
     
  5. Wiktoruspro

    Wiktoruspro Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 26, 2017
    Messages:
    1,658
    Likes Received:
    1,018
    I like more obvious winners than odds. So far I see 3 maybe 4
     
  6. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 5, 2014
    Messages:
    5,534
    Likes Received:
    6,257
    Location:
    Sewers
    hammered overeem at -210.
     
  7. LiquidNuke

    LiquidNuke Green Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 13, 2018
    Messages:
    1,111
    Likes Received:
    765
    Oleynik is one of my favorite active fighters. Love his unique submission threat. His hands have developed a lot in recent years as well... Sparked Rosholt out cold, buzzed Browne and Hunt before subbing them as well. Guys won me more money than any other fighter I can think of, his odds against several opponents have been fucking absurd. I got him at +185 against Hunt even.
     
  8. buckwheatloaf

    buckwheatloaf White Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 18, 2018
    Messages:
    48
    Likes Received:
    37
    i already have money on oleineik -.-

    dunno which way the line is gonna go but i dont wanna miss +200
     
    Tirimasuperman, Doc R and LiquidNuke like this.
  9. Jordan3399

    Jordan3399 Green Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 18, 2018
    Messages:
    1,462
    Likes Received:
    1,934
    Location:
    United Kingdom
    If Yakovlev comes back and fights anywhere near his potential he will finish his new opponent Silva easily.
     
  10. LiquidNuke

    LiquidNuke Green Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 13, 2018
    Messages:
    1,111
    Likes Received:
    765
    A few thoughts well in advance...

    Sultan Aliev has some of the shittiest defense in the UFC. Blocks everything with his face, always there to be hit. Marks up/bleeds terribly. Not really a UFC level fighter.

    Crazy that Olek is having such a fast turn around after that drug snafu and all that inactivity. Good for him.
     
    Tirimasuperman likes this.
  11. 2bet

    2bet Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 22, 2016
    Messages:
    677
    Likes Received:
    732
    Location:
    Austria
    I am very surprised about the current line, I got 5u down on Overeem for 1,45.
    I want do put even more on him but let's not get stupid with this lol
     
    Tirimasuperman likes this.
  12. Wiktoruspro

    Wiktoruspro Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 26, 2017
    Messages:
    1,658
    Likes Received:
    1,018
    This Silva lost to a polish fighter Jakub Kowalewicz who isnt really that great.
     
  13. Jordan3399

    Jordan3399 Green Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 18, 2018
    Messages:
    1,462
    Likes Received:
    1,934
    Location:
    United Kingdom
    Yeah I taped that one and a few of his recent ones. Silva really is absolute shit to be quite honest.
     
    Tirimasuperman likes this.
  14. 2bet

    2bet Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 22, 2016
    Messages:
    677
    Likes Received:
    732
    Location:
    Austria
     
    Stunna77 likes this.
  15. Gugabe

    Gugabe Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 25, 2017
    Messages:
    1,590
    Likes Received:
    1,778
    Overeem should completely fuck Oleynik.

    Which means it's a 50-50.
     
    Lando, Shiifty, LEMONZEST and 14 others like this.
  16. Kyle Stephens

    Kyle Stephens Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2018
    Messages:
    744
    Likes Received:
    632
    Good value on the russian. I'm little surprised he is that big of dog here.

    I think Oli is gonna knock out the Reem. Just gut feeling, can't tell you why.
     
    Doc R and Tirimasuperman like this.
  17. Kamais_Ookin

    Kamais_Ookin Yellow Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 28, 2019
    Messages:
    212
    Likes Received:
    106
    I see him at +100 atm. Lines' prob change as it gets closer to fight day. Would you take those odds on him?
     
  18. Jordan3399

    Jordan3399 Green Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 18, 2018
    Messages:
    1,462
    Likes Received:
    1,934
    Location:
    United Kingdom
    I have 4u on him at +100 atm, depending on how he looks this week I'll probably arb some of it off but I think its a great price just hard to be confident in a guy thats had a long layoff and generally fights quite passively. He's making a hard cut down to 155 for his comeback rather than 170 which makes me think he's taking this run seriously and he really is far better everywhere compared to Silva. On the feet Yaks counter left should put him to sleep and if he wrestles he'll easily dominate and probably get a sub. Silva's got a weak chin and terrible TDD (his fight with Daniel Swain is hilarious to see both) and trains out of Astra Fight Team which are a bunch of can crushers with padded records, only reason I think the line is so close is cause of Silva's heavily padded record.
     
    Kamais_Ookin and Tirimasuperman like this.
  19. 2bet

    2bet Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 22, 2016
    Messages:
    677
    Likes Received:
    732
    Location:
    Austria
    There seems to be something fairly wrong with your guts, you better not trust that feeling man!
     
    Tirimasuperman likes this.
  20. Kyle Stephens

    Kyle Stephens Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2018
    Messages:
    744
    Likes Received:
    632
    Even if I bet on Alexey this is not gonna be a huge investment. :) Don't know, 2bet, I respect you, you do have very sharp mind for predictions, but I just think Oli has some monkey ass long arms (80" reach!) and they crack, man. Alistair's chin issues are always a factor and he is not getting younger. Last time he beat some shlub. This won't be so easy. I'm still thinking about that. Maybe I'll put some money maybe I won't. Thanks for the advice anyways. :)
     
    theTKDguy and Tirimasuperman like this.

Share This Page

  1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
    By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.