UFN 149 on ESPN+ 7 Overeem vs Oleinik Official Bets

Raising my unit value in spite of a poor Holloway-Poirier card.

Let's get this party started.

Abdurakhimov ML - 2u for 2.73u
Modafferi Decision - 0.25u for 1.69u
 
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Abdurakhimov ML 2u x 2.30
Aliev ML 2u x 1.95
Modaferri 2u x 3.35
 
4u Reem KO or Dec +110
3u Reem KO -139
1u Reem R1,2 or 3 +110
1u Oleinik KO +1100
0.2u Oleinik KO R1 +3100
0.2u Oleinik KO R2 +3500
0.6u Oleinik Sub R1 +1100
0.5u Oleinik Sub R2 +1800
0.4u Oleinik Sub R3 +2200

4u Yakovlev +100 - Likely going to arb some of this.

2u Abdorakhimov +162

1.5u Fiziev +150

1.5u Clark +160

2u Tsarukyan +363

1u Golm +240
0.5u FGTD +175

0.5u Nakamura Dec +200

0.65u Modafferi Dec +600
0.1u Modafferi R1 Sub +1800
0.1u Shevchenko R2 KO +2000
0.1u Shevchenko R3 KO +3300

0.35u Olek Dec +600
0.5u Antigulov R1 +600

0.5u Choi +284

Ton of different props on the Main Event. Will be fine as long as I don't get a late Oleinik sub or something ridiculous.
 
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1u Olenik +210
1u Shtyrkov -180

Added
1u on Golm +230
.5u Fiziev R1 +425
.5u Fiziev R2 +625
.5u Fiziev R3 +1125
after more tape, wanted to hedge out of Fiziev. he just got hit too much by a titanFC can.
1.7u Mustafaev +115
.5u Mustafaev R1 +350

1u Shev ITD +330
1.3u Shev DEC -130 (hedge. Confident shev wins but don’t want to be down on this if Roxys toughness prevails to a DEC)
.5u Choi +300
 
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To be honest taping this responsibly wasnt doable so if i wasnt a complete alcoholic degen this entire card minus the ME should be a full pass but fuck that

5 U Overreem -235 ML
4 U Yakolev -125 ML
4 U Evloev -270 ML

Edit: 1.5 U Choi +350 as a bit of hedge/ arb play
 
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To be honest taping this responsibly wasnt doable so if i wasnt a complete alcoholic degen this entire card minus the ME should be a full pass but fuck that

5 U Overreem -235 ML
4 U Yakolev -125 ML
4 U Evloev -270 ML

You wanna talk about it. :(
 
Overeem -199 $665

Tsarukyan +350 $400
Tsarukyan DEC +635 $45

Modafferi +225 $200

Evloev -265 $500
Evloev DEC +257 $100

Nakamura -126 $250

Abdurakhimov +165 $200

Golm +250 $100

Oleksiejczuk -190 $250

Fiziev +155 $300


Small card for me, likely adding a bit more pending line movement and full props.
 
1.5u Golm @ +230 to win 3.45u

2u Fiziev @ +140 to win 2.8u

3 leg parlay:
Overeem/Aleksei FDNGTD + Fiziev/Mustafaev FDNGTD + Shevchenko

2.5u to win 3.2u
 
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"FGDTD"
"FDNGTD"
"FDGTD"

haha what are we settling on there boys?
 
Surely FGTD = Fight Goes The Distance and FDNGTD = Fight Does Not Go The Distance?
 
Surely FGTD = Fight Goes The Distance and FDNGTD = Fight Does Not Go The Distance?
Yes, 100%. Some people putting their own spin on these abbreviations was driving me nuts too.
 
Would just make more sense to use ITD & GTD.
 
2u Aliev +101

Why would you trust that guy with any amount of your money? He's not a UFC level fighter, and is perhaps the single most vulnerable guy I have EVER seen in MMA in terms of facial swelling/damage. Warrley barely landed anything on him and his eye was ready to explode out of his head. That's a terrible disadvantage to have.
 
Would just make more sense to use ITD & GTD.
No, ITD is already used for the individual fighter wins inside the distance props. And FDNGTD and FGTD are already more established for the fight does not go the distance or fight goes the distance props even though sometimes people put their own twist on one of them and leave out the N in FDNGTD.
 
1.5u Fiziev +154
1.5u Golm +250
1u Foxy Roxy +290
1u Arman +350 (considering buying out a bit after seeing faceoffs)
.5u Shamil +158
 

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