That's a plus, but on the downside she is mentally weak inside of the cage and doesn't react well when everything doesn't go her way. Another plus she is very technical on the ground.
If Macedo hits her with something strong on the feet, though, I could definitely see her crumbling. Or if she gets reversed on the ground, same thing. I could also see her getting subbed from closed guard again. It's never a good sign when a WMMA fighter taps to an armbar that quickly.
I'm on Macedo at +125 for 1u for degen purposes... definitely would not lay the juice on Robertson.
I'm on Macedo at +125 too, a little salty cause I could have done better with the line movement.
Macedo being underrated a lot, being judged off a short notice debut fight up a weight class against a big AES. In her sophomore appearance, Macedo looked improved but it's hard to look good against Andrea Lee who I think is among the very best in the division at the moment. Macedo was looking effective at distance vs Lee but was too willing to clinch and grapple, she could have showed better tactics and strategy.
Meanwhile Robertson is getting soft competition, couple blue belts like Whitbum (who I just cashed as a +160 dog) and Molly the can. Lets not forget Robertson also got easily smashed by old Barb on TUF. And in Robertson's last fight, she was getting tagged up by the Brazilian on the feet, struggled to keep top position and ended up getting subbed.
This fight is a massive step down for Macedo, Robertson is no where near Lee's level. I think Robertson needs to grind out Macedo and use her wrestling to win. I don't think she can sub or hurt Macedo standing. On the other hand I can see Macedo winning several ways. Macedo wins a kickboxing match all day here and I expect a lot of scrambles on the mat, Robertson doesn't have the best top control, could get subbed too.
I should also add, a lot of people seem to be overlooking the difference in athleticism between Macedo and Robertson. Macedo is one of the more physically gifted athletes in this division, Robertson is just mediocre.
There will be a significant speed advantage for Macedo and I expect it to be a big factor.
And for Macedo I'd like to see better strategy, tactics and fight IQ. She's a young fighter and this will come with experience. Already seen improvements between for 1st and 2nd UFC fight, expect more improvements. Macedo trained at MMA Factory with Ngannou's coach for this camp.
Robertson is young and improving too but she won't have her head coach Din Thomas in her corner for this fight because he's in camp with Woodley. He wasn't there last time either and she lost.